Persija vs Persib: match statistics

Persib sit 3rd, while Persija are fifth, and the visitors’ advantage is even more evident in their recent form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and remain unbeaten. Over the same period, Persija recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 11 goals but conceding as many as 6. Persib have scored 8 goals in their last five matches, while their defense has conceded only 3—twice fewer than the hosts. The visitors also made the stronger start in the current season, winning 3:1, whereas Persija managed only a 1:0 victory. Persija’s home advantage reduces the risk of defeat, but Persib’s more consistent run and better defensive organization point towards an away win.

The signal for both sides to score is positive, as Persija recorded BTTS in 80% of their last five matches, while Persib did so in 60%, compared with the league average of 56%. During this period, Persija averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, whereas Persib scored 1.6 goals per match, supporting their chances of finding a reply. The attacking potential is confirmed by similar xG figures: 1.57 for Persija and 1.26 for Persib, while the home side allowed opponents 1.29 xG per match. The main risk to BTTS is Persib’s stronger defense, which conceded just 0.6 goals on average across five matches and allowed 0.91 xG. However, the data indicating consistent scoring slightly favor the BTTS - Yes scenario. BTTS - No means that at least one team fails to score; it does not automatically mean a 0:0 result or that neither team will score.

Persija have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over their last five matches, while Persib have scored 1.6 goals per game. During this period, the hosts generated an xG of 1.57, compared with 1.26 for Persib, indicating a realistic potential of around 2.7 goals in total. Both teams regularly feature in matches where both sides score: this scenario occurred in 80% of Persija’s last five matches and in 60% of Persib’s games. However, Persib conceded only 0.6 goals per match in this sample, making the 2.5 line considerably tighter than the hosts’ attacking numbers suggest. The strongest signal is Over 1.5, as just two goals are needed to cover the line, while both teams’ scoring rates are significantly above the league average of 2.33 goals per match.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Persija win in the match, as Persib were level at the break in 60% of their last five fixtures. Persija averaged 0.8 goals scored before half-time but conceded 1.0, whereas after the interval they scored 1.4 goals per match and allowed opponents just 0.2. The hosts won the second half in 80% of their last five appearances, compared with 60% of such wins for Persib, and their post-break goal difference was +6 versus the visitors’ +4. Persija also hold the edge in overall attacking output across the last five matches, averaging 2.2 goals compared with Persib’s 1.6, although the visitors remain unbeaten in this sequence. Data from Persija’s current home-match sample is very limited, but it shows three goals scored after half-time and none conceded, further supporting a post-break turnaround in favor of the hosts.