Persipura vs Delta Putra Sidoarjo: match statistics

Persipura displays impressive home form with an 80% win rate and only 10% defeats at their own stadium, making them the clear favorites for this match. The hosts average 1.8 goals per match at home while conceding just 0.5, keeping clean sheets in 70% of their home matches. Delta Putra Sidoarjo has a solid away record (50% wins), but their FTS% rate of 40% and higher average xG Against (1.42) indicate issues in both attack and defense on the road. The recent form of both teams (Persipura 1.4 PPG vs Delta 1.2 PPG) and the goal difference (13 vs 3) further support the hosts. Considering all statistics, Persipura should win, although Delta Putra Sidoarjo has the potential to cause an upset or secure a draw.

Persipura generates a significantly stronger offense (xG 1.98, 17.91 shots and 7.0 on target per match) and with a low clean sheet rate (18%), they usually play in matches with goals for both sides (BTTS 55%). Delta Putra has lower attacking metrics this season (xG 1.06) and a high failure to score rate (FTS 40%), which elevates the risk for the 'NO' option. At the same time, the form from the last 5 matches favors BTTS: Persipura 80% BTTS and concedes 1.4 goals/match, while Delta Putra has 60% BTTS and a high 1.6 goals conceded/match. The visitors' defense also allows a high xG against (1.42), which increases the chances of Persipura scoring. In summary, despite Delta's scoring inconsistency, recent match trends and Persipura's match profile give a slight edge to the BTTS 'YES' scenario.

Persipura clearly generates higher quality and volume of chances (xG for 1.98, 17.91 shots, 7.0 on target), while Delta has an elevated xG against (1.42), which supports a scenario of at least 2 goals. The total expected goals of 2.75 result from combining the strong creation by the hosts with the solid potential of the visitors (xG for 1.06 with a high conversion rate of 17% and an average of 1.30 goals scored away). The trend of the last 5 matches increases the goal risk: both teams have a 60% rate of Over 2.5 matches and high BTTS percentages (Persipura 80%, Delta 60%), while their goals conceded are also on the rise (1.4 and 1.6). Seasonally, Over 1.5 for Persipura is very frequent (82%), and with low clean sheet rates (18% and 30%), a 0-1 goal match is hard to expect. At the same time, the Over 3.5 line is still more often not reached (Under 3.5: 70%), therefore the most reliable and strongest signal is Over 1.5.

The strongest half-time signal points to a draw: Delta Putra very frequently draws at HT (70%), also boasts a high first-half CS% (80%) and a low concededAVGHT (0.3), which favors a tight start. At the same time, Persipura holds a clear advantage in both the quality and volume of chances over the full match (xG for 1.98 vs 1.06; shots 17.91 vs 7.6; on target 7.0 vs 3.6), increasing the likelihood of a turnaround after the interval. Persipura's goal profile (strong final segment 76–90: 7 goals) combined with Delta's decreased defensive stability in the last 5 matches (conceded 1.6) supports a 'deciding' scenario in the second half. Therefore, the most probable Half-Time/Full-Time outcome is a draw at the break and a home win at full-time. Alternatively, 1/1 is plausible because Persipura leads at the break quite often (45%), but Delta's tendency to draw in the first half diminishes this variant.