Italy - Serie C Group BData current as of September 12, 2026

Perugia vs Bra: match statistics

Perugia crest
Perugia
1 : 1half-time 0:1
Bra crest
Bra
155%(1.59)
X30%(3.41)
215%(5.60)

Perugia appears to be the favorite in this encounter, primarily due to solid home results. The hosts have won 33% of their home matches and maintain a positive goal difference (+2) at their own stadium, whereas Bra is yet to win an away match this season. The visiting side concedes an average of 2 goals per away game and holds a disastrous -10 goal difference on the road. Perugia demonstrates superior xG statistics (1.56 vs 0.96), more shots on target (4 vs 2.25), and higher offensive efficiency. Although recent form is similar for both teams (1.2 PPG), Bra has failed to earn a single point in their last five away matches, which strongly favors the hosts. However, a draw remains a viable possibility given Perugia's high draw percentage at home (22%) and Bra's tendency to share points on the road (25% away draws).

Perugia vs Bra: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Perugia played against Bra in Serie C Group B (Italy). The game was played on January 11, 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Perugia has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Bra has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Perugia scores 1.05 goals per game and allows 1.32. Bra scores 1.05 and allows 1.53. Games in this league average 2.28 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 47% of Perugia's games and 63% of Bra's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 47%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Perugia has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.05 per game. Perugia takes 11.9 shots per game, while Bra takes 8.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Perugia leads at halftime in 16% of its games and scores 0.58 goals per game after halftime. Bra leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.68 after halftime.

When the teams score

Perugia's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Bra, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group B games average 2.28 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Perugia appears to be the favorite in this encounter, primarily due to solid home results. The hosts have won 33% of their home matches and maintain a positive goal difference (+2) at their own stadium, whereas Bra is yet to win an away match this season. The visiting side concedes an average of 2 goals per away game and holds a disastrous -10 goal difference on the road. Perugia demonstrates superior xG statistics (1.56 vs 0.96), more shots on target (4 vs 2.25), and higher offensive efficiency. Although recent form is similar for both teams (1.2 PPG), Bra has failed to earn a single point in their last five away matches, which strongly favors the hosts. However, a draw remains a viable possibility given Perugia's high draw percentage at home (22%) and Bra's tendency to share points on the road (25% away draws).

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

66Possession (%)34
PerugiaBra
19Shots6
PerugiaBra
4Shots on target2
PerugiaBra
2.44xG0.84
PerugiaBra
10Corners1
PerugiaBra
134Dangerous attacks43
PerugiaBra
13Fouls7
PerugiaBra
3Cards1
PerugiaBra

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.05Goals scored / game1.05
PerugiaBra
1.32Goals allowed / game1.53
PerugiaBra
52%Average possession45%
PerugiaBra
3.68Shots on target / game2.58
PerugiaBra

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.89Shots per game8.58
PerugiaBra
3.68Shots on target2.58
PerugiaBra
8.8%Shot conversion12.3%
PerugiaBra
52%Possession45%
PerugiaBra
1.44xG for1.05
PerugiaBra
1.24xG against1.65
PerugiaBra

Shooting quality

Perugia: BalancedBra: Counter-attacking
PerugiaBra
Accuracy (shots on target)31%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Perugia
LLLWW
Season result split
21% W32% D47% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-6-9
0.95 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-4
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Bra
DWLDD
Season result split
16% W37% D47% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-7-9
0.84 pts / game · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-6
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LDLDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.03Opponent xG: 2.05BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Perugia is 16% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.32 goals / game - Perugia · 1.53 goals / game - Bra

Perugia scoring profile: strong

Perugia scores in 58% of games (11 of 19 meczów), while Bra keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 meczów).

Bra scoring profile: very strong

Bra scores in 74% of games (14 of 19 meczów), while Perugia keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 meczów).

20Goals scored (season)20
PerugiaBra
25Goals conceded (season)29
PerugiaBra
2.37Average goals per game2.58
PerugiaBra
7Goals scored (last 5)6
PerugiaBra
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
PerugiaBra

How often they score at least...

58%1 goal74%
PerugiaBra
37%2 goals32%
PerugiaBra
5%3 goals0%
PerugiaBra
5%4 goals0%
PerugiaBra

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal84%
PerugiaBra
42%2 goals47%
PerugiaBra
11%3 goals16%
PerugiaBra
0%4 goals5%
PerugiaBra

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time11%
PerugiaBra
5%BTTS in both halves0%
PerugiaBra
16%Scored in both halves16%
PerugiaBra

BTTS and goal count

37%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
PerugiaBra
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
PerugiaBra
40%BTTS - last 560%
PerugiaBra

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
PerugiaBra
37%Min. 2 goals before half-time21%
PerugiaBra
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
PerugiaBra

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
PerugiaBra
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
PerugiaBra
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time26%
PerugiaBra

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bra is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Perugia · 1.05 pts / game - Bra

Perugia - half-time state
16% leading53% draw32% trailing
Bra - half-time state
21% leading42% draw37% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)1.05
PerugiaBra
0.47Goals scored (1st half)0.37
PerugiaBra
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
PerugiaBra
1.11Average goals (1st half)1
PerugiaBra
47%Clean sheet before half-time58%
PerugiaBra
68%No goal before half-time68%
PerugiaBra

After half-time (2nd half)

1.16Points per game (2nd half)1
PerugiaBra
0.58Goals scored (2nd half)0.68
PerugiaBra
0.68Goals conceded (2nd half)0.89
PerugiaBra
1.26Average goals (2nd half)1.58
PerugiaBra
47%Clean sheet after half-time37%
PerugiaBra
58%No goal after half-time42%
PerugiaBra

Perugia - second-half results

26% W37% D37% L
19
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding131%

Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Bra - second-half results

21% W37% D42% L
20
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.05
PPG before half-time
Lead holding76%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 16%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Perugia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.00
Goals scored / game1.00.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.41.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Bra - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.40
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.01.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Perugia
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
3
4
16-30
4
6
31-45
4
2
46-60
4
6
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Bra
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
7
31-45
2
8
46-60
5
3
61-75
6
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.48
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+62%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
43%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Perugia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
126%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Bra

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.60
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
124%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.36
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).

Teams vs league

PerugiaLigaBra
Average goals per game 2.372.28 2.58
Both teams scored 47%49% 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%38% 47%
Clean sheets 21%31% 16%
Goal before half-time 63%59% 63%
Goal after half-time 74%73% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.28
Average goals per game
49%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.23
Home goals / game
1.05
Away goals / game
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. PerugiaYellow cardPaolo Bartolomei
  2. BraYellow cardRiccardo Campedelli
  3. PerugiaSubstitutionOn: Alessio NepiOff: Daniele Montevago
  4. PerugiaYellow cardLinas Mėgelaitis
  5. PerugiaSubstitutionOn: Giovanni GiuntiOff: Giorgio Tumbarello
  6. BraSubstitutionOn: Matteo LeonciniOff: Stefano Tuzza
  7. PerugiaYellow cardLuca Gemello
  8. PerugiaSubstitutionOn: Claudio GiardinoOff: Paolo Bartolomei
  9. PerugiaGoalAlessio Nepi

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Perugia's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Bra. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Bra
2 : 2
Perugia

FAQ

What was the result of Perugia vs Bra?

The Serie C Group B match finished Perugia 1:1 Bra. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Perugia vs Bra?

Perugia score 1.05 goals per game on average and Bra 1.05. The Serie C Group B average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Perugia's matches and 63% of Bra's.

What form are Perugia and Bra in?

Over the last 5 games Perugia have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Bra 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Perugia vs Bra?

The statistical background for Perugia vs Bra — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.