Perugia vs Forlì: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Perugia played against Forlì in Serie C Group B (Italy). The game was played on December 21, 2025. Final score: 4:0.

Recent form

Perugia has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Forlì has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Perugia scores 0.82 goals per game and allows 1.41. Forlì scores 1.41 and allows 1.35. Games in this league average 2.22 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 47% of Perugia's games and 59% of Forlì's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 47%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 35% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Forlì has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.41 per game. Perugia takes 11.6 shots per game, while Forlì takes 11.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Perugia leads at halftime in 6% of its games and scores 0.53 goals per game after halftime. Forlì leads at halftime in 24% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Perugia's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Forlì, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group B games average 2.22 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 35% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

3 : 0
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

42Possession (%)58
PerugiaForlì
14Shots10
PerugiaForlì
8Shots on target3
PerugiaForlì
1.81xG1.47
PerugiaForlì
3Corners3
PerugiaForlì
51Dangerous attacks86
PerugiaForlì
19Fouls11
PerugiaForlì
1Cards2
PerugiaForlì

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.82Goals scored / game1.41
PerugiaForlì
1.41Goals allowed / game1.35
PerugiaForlì
53%Average possession54%
PerugiaForlì
3.47Shots on target / game4.18
PerugiaForlì

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.59Shots per game11.12
PerugiaForlì
3.47Shots on target4.18
PerugiaForlì
7.1%Shot conversion12.7%
PerugiaForlì
53%Possession54%
PerugiaForlì
1.41xG for1.49
PerugiaForlì
1.22xG against1.45
PerugiaForlì

Shooting quality

Perugia: BalancedForlì: Balanced
PerugiaForlì
Accuracy (shots on target)30%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Perugia
DWLLL
Season result split
12% W35% D53% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-6-9
0.71 pts / game · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Forlì
LLDLW
Season result split
41% W18% D41% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-3-7
1.41 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-5
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WWLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.74Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Forlì is 72% better for: goals scored per game.

0.82 goals / game - Perugia · 1.41 goals / game - Forlì

Perugia scoring profile: strong

Perugia scores in 53% of games (9 of 17 meczów), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 meczów).

Forlì scoring profile: very strong

Forlì scores in 76% of games (13 of 17 meczów), while Perugia keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 meczów).

14Goals scored (season)24
PerugiaForlì
24Goals conceded (season)23
PerugiaForlì
2.24Average goals per game2.76
PerugiaForlì
4Goals scored (last 5)9
PerugiaForlì
6Goals conceded (last 5)12
PerugiaForlì

How often they score at least...

53%1 goal76%
PerugiaForlì
29%2 goals41%
PerugiaForlì
0%3 goals18%
PerugiaForlì
0%4 goals6%
PerugiaForlì

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal82%
PerugiaForlì
47%2 goals35%
PerugiaForlì
12%3 goals18%
PerugiaForlì
0%4 goals0%
PerugiaForlì

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time6%
PerugiaForlì
6%BTTS in both halves6%
PerugiaForlì
6%Scored in both halves18%
PerugiaForlì

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
PerugiaForlì
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
PerugiaForlì
60%BTTS - last 580%
PerugiaForlì

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time41%
PerugiaForlì
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
PerugiaForlì
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
PerugiaForlì

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
PerugiaForlì
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
PerugiaForlì
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time41%
PerugiaForlì

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Forlì is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.76 pts / game - Perugia · 1.29 pts / game - Forlì

Perugia - half-time state
6% leading59% draw35% trailing
Forlì - half-time state
24% leading59% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.76Points per game (1st half)1.29
PerugiaForlì
0.29Goals scored (1st half)0.41
PerugiaForlì
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.35
PerugiaForlì
1Average goals (1st half)0.76
PerugiaForlì
41%Clean sheet before half-time76%
PerugiaForlì
76%No goal before half-time76%
PerugiaForlì

After half-time (2nd half)

1.06Points per game (2nd half)1.53
PerugiaForlì
0.53Goals scored (2nd half)1
PerugiaForlì
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)1
PerugiaForlì
1.24Average goals (2nd half)2
PerugiaForlì
47%Clean sheet after half-time24%
PerugiaForlì
65%No goal after half-time29%
PerugiaForlì

Perugia - second-half results

24% W35% D41% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 6% of games and wins 12%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Forlì - second-half results

47% W12% D41% L
22
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding171%

Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.7

Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Perugia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.40
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.80.4
Average goals per game1.01.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Forlì - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.40
Goals scored / game0.81.0
Goals allowed / game1.01.4
Average goals per game1.82.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Perugia
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
1
4
16-30
2
6
31-45
3
2
46-60
3
6
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Forlì
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
4
1
16-30
2
4
31-45
3
8
46-60
6
4
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Perugia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.59
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
138%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Forlì

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
138%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.61
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).

Teams vs league

PerugiaLigaForlì
Average goals per game 2.242.22 2.76
Both teams scored 47%47% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%35% 47%
Clean sheets 18%31% 18%
Goal before half-time 59%58% 41%
Goal after half-time 71%72% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.22
Average goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.19
Home goals / game
1.02
Away goals / game
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. ForlìSubstitutionOn: Christian ScorzaOff: Nicola Farinelli
  2. PerugiaGoalGiacomo Manzari
  3. PerugiaGoalGiacomo Manzari
  4. ForlìYellow cardGiulio Manenti
  5. ForlìSubstitutionOn: Andrea FranzoliniOff: Valentino Coveri
  6. PerugiaYellow cardLinas Mėgelaitis
  7. PerugiaSubstitutionOn: Claudio GiardinoOff: Linas Mėgelaitis
  8. ForlìYellow cardLorenzo Saporetti

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Perugia vs Forlì?

The Serie C Group B match finished Perugia 4:0 Forlì. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Perugia vs Forlì?

Perugia score 0.82 goals per game on average and Forlì 1.41. The Serie C Group B average is 2.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Perugia's matches and 59% of Forlì's.

What form are Perugia and Forlì in?

Over the last 5 games Perugia have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Forlì 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Perugia vs Forlì?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.