Perugia vs Forlì: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Perugia play Forlì in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match date is 21 December 2025 at 17:30. Final score: 4:0.

Current form

Perugia: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Forlì: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Perugia scores 1.06 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Forlì scores 1.14 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.26 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Perugia 58%, Forlì 53%. Over 2.5: Perugia 42%, Forlì 44%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.

xG, shots and style

Perugia has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.53. Perugia: 13.3 shots per match, Forlì: 11.8.

Match halves

Perugia: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.61. Forlì: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.69.

Goals by minute

Perugia: 61-75 (8 goals). Forlì: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

3 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

42Possession (%)58
PerugiaForlì
14Shots10
PerugiaForlì
8Shots on target3
PerugiaForlì
1.81xG1.47
PerugiaForlì
3Corners3
PerugiaForlì
51Dangerous attacks86
PerugiaForlì
19Fouls11
PerugiaForlì
1Cards2
PerugiaForlì

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.06Goals scored / match1.14
PerugiaForlì
1.22Goals conceded / match1.44
PerugiaForlì
50%Average possession53%
PerugiaForlì
3.89Shots on target / match4.11
PerugiaForlì

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.28Shots per match11.81
PerugiaForlì
3.89Shots on target4.11
PerugiaForlì
7.9%Shot conversion9.6%
PerugiaForlì
50%Possession53%
PerugiaForlì
1.57xG for1.53
PerugiaForlì
1.39xG against1.36
PerugiaForlì

Shooting quality

Perugia: BalancedForlì: Balanced
PerugiaForlì
Accuracy (shots on target)29%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Perugia is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Perugia · 1 pts / match - Forlì

Perugia
WDDLD
Season result split
22% W39% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-14-14
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-7-7
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LWDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Forlì
DLLWD
Season result split
28% W28% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-10-16
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-3-11
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.04BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Forlì is 8% better for: goals scored per match.

1.06 goals / match - Perugia · 1.14 goals / match - Forlì

Perugia is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.22 goals / match - Perugia · 1.44 goals / match - Forlì

Perugia scoring profile: very strong

Perugia scores in 69% of matches (25 of 36 matches), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).

Forlì scoring profile: very strong

Forlì scores in 69% of matches (25 of 36 matches), while Perugia keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 matches).

38Goals scored (season)41
PerugiaForlì
44Goals conceded (season)52
PerugiaForlì
2.28Average goals in match2.58
PerugiaForlì
6Goals scored (last 5)3
PerugiaForlì
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
PerugiaForlì

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal69%
PerugiaForlì
31%2 goals33%
PerugiaForlì
3%3 goals8%
PerugiaForlì
3%4 goals3%
PerugiaForlì

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal78%
PerugiaForlì
33%2 goals47%
PerugiaForlì
6%3 goals17%
PerugiaForlì
0%4 goals3%
PerugiaForlì

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time11%
PerugiaForlì
3%BTTS in both halves3%
PerugiaForlì
14%Scored in both halves17%
PerugiaForlì

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
PerugiaForlì
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
PerugiaForlì
60%BTTS - last 540%
PerugiaForlì

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time58%
PerugiaForlì
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
PerugiaForlì
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
PerugiaForlì

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
PerugiaForlì
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
PerugiaForlì
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
PerugiaForlì

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Forlì is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.08 pts / match - Perugia · 1.22 pts / match - Forlì

Perugia - half-time state
22% leading42% draw36% trailing
Forlì - half-time state
25% leading47% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.08Points per match (1st half)1.22
PerugiaForlì
0.44Goals scored (1st half)0.44
PerugiaForlì
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)0.58
PerugiaForlì
1.03Average goals (1st half)1.03
PerugiaForlì
50%Clean sheet before half-time64%
PerugiaForlì
64%No goal before half-time67%
PerugiaForlì

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per match (2nd half)1.25
PerugiaForlì
0.61Goals scored (2nd half)0.69
PerugiaForlì
0.64Goals conceded (2nd half)0.86
PerugiaForlì
1.25Average goals (2nd half)1.56
PerugiaForlì
44%Clean sheet after half-time39%
PerugiaForlì
53%No goal after half-time47%
PerugiaForlì

Perugia - second-half results

28% W42% R31% P
39
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Forlì - second-half results

31% W33% R36% P
44
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding112%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Perugia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.402.20
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-3+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Forlì - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.60
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Perugia
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
7
5
16-30
6
13
31-45
6
5
46-60
8
9
61-75
8
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Forlì
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
8
8
16-30
4
10
31-45
6
11
46-60
9
9
61-75
10
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.43
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-18%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Perugia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Forlì

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
122%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).

Teams vs league

PerugiaLigaForlì
Average goals in match 2.282.26 2.58
Both teams scored 58%49% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 42%39% 44%
Clean sheets 17%31% 22%
Goal before half-time 69%63% 58%
Goal after half-time 75%72% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.26
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.18
Home goals / match
1.08
Away goals / match
+9%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Perugia 0 - 1 - 0 Forlì. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Perugia vs Forlì?

The Serie C Group B match finished Perugia 4:0 Forlì. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Perugia vs Forlì?

Perugia score 1.06 goals per game on average and Forlì 1.14. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Perugia's matches and 53% of Forlì's.

What form are Perugia and Forlì in?

Over the last 5 games Perugia have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Forlì 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Perugia vs Forlì?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.