Philadelphia Union vs New York RB: match statistics
Philadelphia Union vs New York RB: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Philadelphia Union played against New York RB in MLS (United States). The game was played on July 22, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Philadelphia Union has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. New York RB has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Philadelphia Union scores 1.20 goals per game and allows 2.00. New York RB scores 1.67 and allows 2.13. Games in this league average 3.30 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Philadelphia Union's games and 73% of New York RB's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 67%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Philadelphia Union has the higher season xG average, 1.67 to 1.58 per game. Philadelphia Union takes 14.9 shots per game, while New York RB takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Philadelphia Union leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. New York RB leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.87 after halftime.
When the teams score
Philadelphia Union's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For New York RB, it is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS games average 3.30 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the away win (2): New York RB shows clearly superior form and efficiency — in the last 5 matches the visitors scored 9 goals and recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, while Philadelphia also scored 9 goals in the same period but has not won a single game (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). At home Philadelphia have yet to win (0% home wins), average only 0.5 goals per game and fail to score in 50% of matches, while conceding on average 1.0 goals per home game. New York on the road averages 1.5 goals per game, registers 5.63 shots on target per match and has a markedly higher finishing rate — conversion rate around 11% versus Philadelphia’s 3%; offensive xG are similar (1.60 for NYRB vs 1.65 for Philadelphia), suggesting the visitors’ advantage stems from better finishing rather than significantly more created chances. Admittedly NYRB concede an average of 2.25 goals away and have no clean sheets (0% away clean sheets), but their points average over the last 5 matches is 2.0 versus just 0.4 for Philadelphia, illustrating the form gap. Considering Philadelphia’s lack of home wins, the high share of goalless home games (50%) and the visitors’ superior efficiency, I assess the probabilities as: home 15%, draw 25%, away 60%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams strongly indicate BTTS - Yes: Philadelphia has a seasonal BTTS of 57%, New York RB 88%, and in the last 5 matches both sides register 80% BTTS. Both teams concede frequently — seasonally Philadelphia concedes on average 2.0 goals per game, New York RB 2.25, and in the last 5 matches Philadelphia conceded 2.6 on average versus New York 1.4. xG offensively is similar: xG for 1.55 for Philadelphia versus 1.60 for New York, in the last 5 matches xG is 1.88 vs 1.28; shot averages 12.71 vs 14.0 and shots on target 4.29 vs 5.63 indicate chance creation at both ends. Additionally New York RB has 0% clean sheets this season, Philadelphia 14% clean sheets, and the combination Over2.5 and BTTS rates are 43% and 75% respectively, which supports a both-teams-to-score scenario. Considering New York’s 88% seasonal BTTS, 80% BTTS in the last 5 for both teams, high average goals conceded (2.0 and 2.25) and a league BTTS rate of 61%, I tip BTTS 'Yes' with an estimated probability of 82%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A model combining xG and defensive metrics projects 1.58 expected goals for Philadelphia and 1.50 for New York RB, totaling 3.08 goals. Historically both teams frequently clear benchmarks: Over 1.5 in 86% of Philadelphia’s matches and 100% of NYRB’s, and Over 2.5 in 57% and 75% of matches respectively; the league averages 3.3 goals per game with 62% of fixtures over 2.5. Additionally, the high share of both-teams-to-score matches—57% for Philadelphia and 88% for NYRB—together with xG splits (Philadelphia xG_for 1.55 vs NYRB xG_against 1.61; NYRB xG_for 1.60 vs Philadelphia xG_against 1.41) indicate an exchange of chances and goals from both sides. While Over 2.5 is plausible (recent 5 matches ~60% for both and historical 57–75%), the 3.5 line looks less reliable: share of matches over 3.5 goals is 43% for Philadelphia and 50% for NYRB, and the expected 3.08 is below 3.5. For these reasons I recommend a stake on Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (high 86%/100% historical rates and strong xG support), whereas Over 3.5 is considered too risky.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Philadelphia Union led at the break in 43% of their home matches and have a 43% chance of winning the match overall, which strongly supports the scenario of maintaining a lead from half-time to full-time. xG is similar (1.55 for Philadelphia vs. 1.60 for New York RB), but the hosts concede fewer expected goals (xG against 1.41 vs. 1.61) and have a higher shot conversion rate, 15% versus 11%, meaning they are more efficient in finishing chances. By half-time Philadelphia scores an average of 0.86 goals, while New York concedes an average of 0.88 goals by the break; additionally the visitors have 0% clean sheets on the road, which increases the probability of the hosts scoring before the break. Although the percentage of games where both teams scored is 57% for Philadelphia and as high as 88% for New York RB and the visitors register more shots on target (5.63 vs. 4.29), the hosts’ superior finishing efficiency and lower xG conceded argue in favor of them holding the lead. On this basis the most likely scenario is 1/1: Philadelphia Union leading at half-time and the home side winning by full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Philadelphia Union | New York RB | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
New York RB is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Philadelphia Union · 2 pts / game - New York RB
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New York RB is 39% better for: goals scored per game.
1.2 goals / game - Philadelphia Union · 1.67 goals / game - New York RB
Philadelphia Union is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.
2 goals / game - Philadelphia Union · 2.13 goals / game - New York RB
Philadelphia Union scores in 67% of games (10 of 15 meczów), while New York RB keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 15 meczów).
New York RB scores in 80% of games (12 of 15 meczów), while Philadelphia Union keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Philadelphia Union
Over / Under - New York RB
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New York RB is 101% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.73 pts / game - Philadelphia Union · 1.47 pts / game - New York RB
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Philadelphia Union - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 7%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
New York RB - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Philadelphia Union
New York RB
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Philadelphia Union | Liga | New York RB | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.20 | 3.30 | ▲ 3.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 62% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 22% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▲ 87% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 80% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Philadelphia Union vs New York RB?
The MLS match finished Philadelphia Union 3:1 New York RB. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Philadelphia Union vs New York RB?
Philadelphia Union score 1.20 goals per game on average and New York RB 1.67. The MLS average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Philadelphia Union's matches and 73% of New York RB's.
What form are Philadelphia Union and New York RB in?
Over the last 5 games Philadelphia Union have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and New York RB 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Philadelphia Union vs New York RB?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Philadelphia Union vs New York RB: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.