Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay: match statistics
Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Phoenix Rising play Monterey Bay in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 19 July 2026 at 04:30. Venue: Phoenix Rising Soccer Complex. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Phoenix Rising: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Monterey Bay: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Phoenix Rising scores 1.44 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Monterey Bay scores 1.00 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Phoenix Rising 56%, Monterey Bay 50%. Over 2.5: Phoenix Rising 50%, Monterey Bay 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Phoenix Rising has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.21. Phoenix Rising: 12.4 shots per match, Monterey Bay: 9.6.
Match halves
Phoenix Rising: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00. Monterey Bay: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Phoenix Rising: 76-90+ (8 goals). Monterey Bay: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 1-0-3. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Phoenix Rising holds a clear advantage in quality of chances: the hosts average 1.71 goals per home match with an average xG of 1.83, while Monterey Bay scores just 0.57 goals on average away with xG 1.06. The gap in chance creation is significant — Phoenix averages 15.43 shots per home game of which 6.57 are on target, versus the visitors’ 8.43 shots and only 1.71 on target away, with conversion rates of 11% vs 7%. Defensively the hosts concede 1.43 goals at home on average, while Monterey concedes 2.0 away; the goal differential in the hosts’ home matches is +2 compared to the visitors’ -10 on the road. It is important to note Phoenix’s poor recent form over the last 5 matches — averaging 0.2 points and 12 goals conceded (2.4 per game) — whereas Monterey have 1.4 points in that period, but have not yet achieved an away win (0) and failed to score in 43% of their away trips. Considering the superiority in chance production and the visitors’ dreadful away record, I forecast a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Phoenix Rising | Monterey Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Monterey Bay is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Phoenix Rising · 1.4 pts / match - Monterey Bay
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Phoenix Rising is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
1.44 goals / match - Phoenix Rising · 1 goals / match - Monterey Bay
Phoenix Rising scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Monterey Bay keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Monterey Bay scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Phoenix Rising keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Phoenix Rising
Over / Under — Monterey Bay
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Phoenix Rising is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Phoenix Rising · 1.06 pts / match - Monterey Bay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Phoenix Rising - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Monterey Bay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Phoenix Rising
Monterey Bay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Phoenix Rising | Liga | Monterey Bay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.94 | 2.79 | ▼ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 67% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 80% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Phoenix Rising 1 - 0 - 3 Monterey Bay. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay?
The USL Championship match finished Phoenix Rising 3:2 Monterey Bay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Phoenix Rising and Monterey Bay?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Phoenix Rising won 1, Monterey Bay won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay?
Phoenix Rising score 1.44 goals per game on average and Monterey Bay 1.00. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Phoenix Rising's matches and 50% of Monterey Bay's.
What form are Phoenix Rising and Monterey Bay in?
Over the last 5 games Phoenix Rising have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Monterey Bay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.