Italy - Serie C Group CStadio Comunale Donato CurcioData current as of November 05, 2026

Picerno vs Bari 1908: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Picerno vs Bari 1908: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Picerno plays Bari 1908 in Serie C Group C (Italy). The game is scheduled for November 9, 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio.

Recent form

Picerno has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Bari 1908 has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Picerno scores 1.83 goals per game and allows 1.58. Bari 1908 scores 1.25 and allows 0.67. Games in this league average 2.79 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 67% of Picerno's games and 33% of Bari 1908's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 42%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Picerno has the higher season xG average, 1.40 to 1.36 per game. Picerno takes 10.8 shots per game, while Bari 1908 takes 11.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Picerno leads at halftime in 42% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. Bari 1908 leads at halftime in 42% and scores 0.58 after halftime.

When the teams score

Picerno's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Bari 1908, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group C games average 2.79 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.03)
(3.14)
(2.17)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.83Goals scored / game1.25
PicernoBari 1908
1.58Goals allowed / game0.67
PicernoBari 1908
49%Average possession51%
PicernoBari 1908
4.08Shots on target / game4.5
PicernoBari 1908

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.83Shots per game11.42
PicernoBari 1908
4.08Shots on target4.5
PicernoBari 1908
16.9%Shot conversion10.9%
PicernoBari 1908
49%Possession51%
PicernoBari 1908
1.4xG for1.36
PicernoBari 1908
1.71xG against1.72
PicernoBari 1908

Shooting quality

Picerno: Efficient finishingBari 1908: Balanced
PicernoBari 1908
Accuracy (shots on target)38%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.450.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Picerno
LLLWW
Season result split
50% W0% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-0-6
1.50 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-2
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.87BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Bari 1908
LWDDD
Season result split
50% W33% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-2
1.83 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LWWLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.84BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Picerno is 46% better for: goals scored per game.

1.83 goals / game - Picerno · 1.25 goals / game - Bari 1908

Bari 1908 is 136% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.58 goals / game - Picerno · 0.67 goals / game - Bari 1908

Picerno scoring profile: strong

Picerno scores in 83% of games (10 of 12 games), while Bari 1908 keeps a clean sheet in 58% (7 of 12 games).

Bari 1908 scoring profile: very strong

Bari 1908 scores in 75% of games (9 of 12 games), while Picerno keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 games).

22Goals scored (season)15
PicernoBari 1908
19Goals conceded (season)8
PicernoBari 1908
3.42Average goals per game1.92
PicernoBari 1908
8Goals scored (last 5)5
PicernoBari 1908
8Goals conceded (last 5)4
PicernoBari 1908

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal75%
PicernoBari 1908
67%2 goals33%
PicernoBari 1908
25%3 goals17%
PicernoBari 1908
8%4 goals0%
PicernoBari 1908

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal42%
PicernoBari 1908
42%2 goals17%
PicernoBari 1908
17%3 goals8%
PicernoBari 1908
17%4 goals0%
PicernoBari 1908

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time8%
PicernoBari 1908
17%BTTS in both halves0%
PicernoBari 1908
42%Scored in both halves25%
PicernoBari 1908

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS17%
PicernoBari 1908
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
PicernoBari 1908
60%BTTS - last 560%
PicernoBari 1908

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time58%
PicernoBari 1908
58%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
PicernoBari 1908
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
PicernoBari 1908

2nd half

92%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
PicernoBari 1908
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time42%
PicernoBari 1908
42%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
PicernoBari 1908

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bari 1908 is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.58 pts / game - Picerno · 1.75 pts / game - Bari 1908

Picerno - half-time state
42% leading33% draw25% trailing
Bari 1908 - half-time state
42% leading50% draw8% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.58Points per game (1st half)1.75
PicernoBari 1908
0.92Goals scored (1st half)0.67
PicernoBari 1908
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.17
PicernoBari 1908
1.58Average goals (1st half)0.83
PicernoBari 1908
58%Clean sheet before half-time83%
PicernoBari 1908
33%No goal before half-time50%
PicernoBari 1908

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per game (2nd half)1.5
PicernoBari 1908
0.92Goals scored (2nd half)0.58
PicernoBari 1908
0.92Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
PicernoBari 1908
1.83Average goals (2nd half)1.08
PicernoBari 1908
25%Clean sheet after half-time67%
PicernoBari 1908
42%No goal after half-time50%
PicernoBari 1908

Picerno - second-half results

42% W8% D50% L
19
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.58
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Bari 1908 - second-half results

33% W50% D17% L
21
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Picerno - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.600.60
Goals scored / game1.00.6
Goals allowed / game0.61.0
Average goals per game1.61.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Bari 1908 - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.800.80
Goals scored / game0.80.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game1.00.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+3-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Picerno
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
4
1
16-30
6
5
31-45
4
4
46-60
2
4
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Bari 1908
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
3
46-60
3
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.67
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Picerno

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.56
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
134%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Bari 1908

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.94
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+1.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
41%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.63
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).

Teams vs league

PicernoLigaBari 1908
Average goals per game▲ 3.422.79▼ 1.92
Both teams scored▲ 67%54%▼ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 75%52%▼ 42%
Clean sheets▼ 17%28%▲ 58%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%72%▼ 58%
Goal after half-time▲ 92%74%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per game
54%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.62
Home goals / game
1.18
Away goals / game
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Picerno and Bari 1908 play?

Picerno face Bari 1908 on November 9, 2026 in Serie C Group C at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Picerno vs Bari 1908?

Picerno score 1.83 goals per game on average and Bari 1908 1.25. The Serie C Group C average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Picerno's matches and 33% of Bari 1908's.

What form are Picerno and Bari 1908 in?

Over the last 5 games Picerno have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Bari 1908 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Picerno vs Bari 1908?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Picerno vs Bari 1908: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.