Picerno vs Catania: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Picerno play Catania in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match date is 29 November 2025 at 14:30. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Picerno: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Catania: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Picerno scores 1.13 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Catania scores 1.42 and concedes 0.66. League average: 2.49 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Picerno 63%, Catania 37%. Over 2.5: Picerno 55%, Catania 29%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Catania has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.17. Picerno: 9.1 shots per match, Catania: 12.3.

Match halves

Picerno: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.42. Catania: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.79.

Goals by minute

Picerno: 16-30 (12 goals). Catania: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group C: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

62Possession (%)38
PicernoCatania
7Shots11
PicernoCatania
3Shots on target5
PicernoCatania
1.29xG1.68
PicernoCatania
2Corners6
PicernoCatania
86Dangerous attacks87
PicernoCatania
22Fouls23
PicernoCatania
1Cards4
PicernoCatania

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.13Goals scored / match1.42
PicernoCatania
1.45Goals conceded / match0.66
PicernoCatania
49%Average possession49%
PicernoCatania
3.03Shots on target / match4.55
PicernoCatania

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.13Shots per match12.29
PicernoCatania
3.03Shots on target4.55
PicernoCatania
12.4%Shot conversion11.6%
PicernoCatania
49%Possession49%
PicernoCatania
1.17xG for1.53
PicernoCatania
1.6xG against1.02
PicernoCatania

Shooting quality

Picerno: BalancedCatania: Balanced
PicernoCatania
Accuracy (shots on target)33%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Picerno is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Picerno · 1 pts / match - Catania

Picerno
DWWLD
Season result split
24% W34% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-13-16
1.05 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-10-5
Last 5 at home
1-4-0
DDDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Catania
WLLDD
Season result split
50% W34% R16% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-13-6
1.84 pts / match · goal difference +29
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-8-5
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LWWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Catania is 26% better for: goals scored per match.

1.13 goals / match - Picerno · 1.42 goals / match - Catania

Catania is 120% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.45 goals / match - Picerno · 0.66 goals / match - Catania

Picerno scoring profile: mixed

Picerno scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Catania keeps a clean sheet in 58% (22 of 38 matches).

Catania scoring profile: very strong

Catania scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Picerno keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).

43Goals scored (season)54
PicernoCatania
55Goals conceded (season)25
PicernoCatania
2.58Average goals in match2.08
PicernoCatania
6Goals scored (last 5)4
PicernoCatania
4Goals conceded (last 5)6
PicernoCatania

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal82%
PicernoCatania
37%2 goals37%
PicernoCatania
5%3 goals11%
PicernoCatania
0%4 goals8%
PicernoCatania

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal42%
PicernoCatania
47%2 goals16%
PicernoCatania
8%3 goals5%
PicernoCatania
3%4 goals3%
PicernoCatania

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time13%
PicernoCatania
0%BTTS in both halves3%
PicernoCatania
18%Scored in both halves29%
PicernoCatania

BTTS and goal count

53%Min. 3 goals and BTTS18%
PicernoCatania
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
PicernoCatania
60%BTTS - last 560%
PicernoCatania

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
PicernoCatania
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time21%
PicernoCatania
16%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
PicernoCatania

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
PicernoCatania
37%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
PicernoCatania
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
PicernoCatania

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Catania is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.47 pts / match - Picerno · 1.55 pts / match - Catania

Picerno - half-time state
37% leading37% draw26% trailing
Catania - half-time state
37% leading45% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.47Points per match (1st half)1.55
PicernoCatania
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.63
PicernoCatania
0.66Goals conceded (1st half)0.32
PicernoCatania
1.37Average goals (1st half)0.95
PicernoCatania
53%Clean sheet before half-time74%
PicernoCatania
47%No goal before half-time50%
PicernoCatania

After half-time (2nd half)

1.03Points per match (2nd half)1.76
PicernoCatania
0.42Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
PicernoCatania
0.79Goals conceded (2nd half)0.34
PicernoCatania
1.21Average goals (2nd half)1.13
PicernoCatania
45%Clean sheet after half-time71%
PicernoCatania
63%No goal after half-time39%
PicernoCatania

Picerno - second-half results

21% W39% R39% P
56
Half-time points
27
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding65%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 24%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Catania - second-half results

45% W42% R13% P
59
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+12
Goal difference (1st half)
67
Second-half points
+17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding135%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Picerno - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal40%40%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Catania - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.202.00
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.2
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-4+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Picerno
ScoredConceded
8
10
0-15
12
8
16-30
7
7
31-45
4
9
46-60
5
6
61-75
7
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

Catania
ScoredConceded
9
3
0-15
6
4
16-30
9
5
31-45
4
6
46-60
12
1
61-75
14
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.33
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Picerno

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
77%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
141%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Catania

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-23.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
138%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
45%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.84
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).

Teams vs league

PicernoLigaCatania
Average goals in match 2.582.49 2.08
Both teams scored 63%51% 37%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 55%46% 29%
Clean sheets 18%28% 58%
Goal before half-time 76%67% 63%
Goal after half-time 74%79% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.49
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.46
Home goals / match
1.03
Away goals / match
+42%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Picerno 1 - 0 - 0 Catania. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Picerno vs Catania?

The Serie C Group C match finished Picerno 0:1 Catania. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Picerno vs Catania?

Picerno score 1.13 goals per game on average and Catania 1.42. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Picerno's matches and 37% of Catania's.

What form are Picerno and Catania in?

Over the last 5 games Picerno have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Catania 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Picerno vs Catania?

The statistical background for Picerno vs Catania — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.