Picerno vs Potenza Calcio: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, with a slight advantage for a draw. Picerno shows poor home form with just 9% of wins at home; however, in their last five matches, they have not lost once, recording four draws and one victory. Potenza Calcio has a disastrous away record with 67% of losses and has not kept a single clean sheet on the road, which points to major defensive issues. Picerno has a better average of goals conceded at home (1.55) than Potenza away (2.33), giving the hosts a defensive edge. Considering that Picerno has drawn in 45% of their home matches and Potenza in 25% of their away matches, and taking into account the current form of both sides, the most probable outcome is a share of the points. The xG values for both teams are very close (1.31 vs 1.30), which further supports the draw forecast.
Picerno vs Potenza Calcio: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Picerno played against Potenza Calcio in Serie C Group C (Italy). The game was played on February 1, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Picerno has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Potenza Calcio has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Picerno scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 1.74. Potenza Calcio scores 1.26 and allows 1.48. Games in this league average 2.49 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 65% of Picerno's games and 48% of Potenza Calcio's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 57%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Potenza Calcio has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.15 per game. Picerno takes 9.2 shots per game, while Potenza Calcio takes 13.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Picerno leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 0.48 goals per game after halftime. Potenza Calcio leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.57 after halftime.
When the teams score
Picerno's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). For Potenza Calcio, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group C games average 2.49 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, with a slight advantage for a draw. Picerno shows poor home form with just 9% of wins at home; however, in their last five matches, they have not lost once, recording four draws and one victory. Potenza Calcio has a disastrous away record with 67% of losses and has not kept a single clean sheet on the road, which points to major defensive issues. Picerno has a better average of goals conceded at home (1.55) than Potenza away (2.33), giving the hosts a defensive edge. Considering that Picerno has drawn in 45% of their home matches and Potenza in 25% of their away matches, and taking into account the current form of both sides, the most probable outcome is a share of the points. The xG values for both teams are very close (1.31 vs 1.30), which further supports the draw forecast.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Picerno | Potenza Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Picerno is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Picerno · 0.8 pts / game - Potenza Calcio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Potenza Calcio is 12% better for: goals scored per game.
1.13 goals / game - Picerno · 1.26 goals / game - Potenza Calcio
Potenza Calcio is 18% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.74 goals / game - Picerno · 1.48 goals / game - Potenza Calcio
Picerno scores in 74% of games (17 of 23 meczów), while Potenza Calcio keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 meczów).
Potenza Calcio scores in 65% of games (15 of 23 meczów), while Picerno keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Picerno
Over / Under - Potenza Calcio
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Picerno - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 17%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Potenza Calcio - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 30%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Picerno
Potenza Calcio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Picerno | Liga | Potenza Calcio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.87 | 2.49 | ▲ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 50% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 48% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 29% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 65% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Picerno's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Potenza Calcio. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Picerno vs Potenza Calcio?
The Serie C Group C match finished Picerno 2:0 Potenza Calcio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Picerno vs Potenza Calcio?
Picerno score 1.13 goals per game on average and Potenza Calcio 1.26. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Picerno's matches and 48% of Potenza Calcio's.
What form are Picerno and Potenza Calcio in?
Over the last 5 games Picerno have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Potenza Calcio 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Picerno vs Potenza Calcio?
The statistical background for Picerno vs Potenza Calcio — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.