Italy - Serie C Group BData current as of September 12, 2026

Pineto vs Forlì: match statistics

Pineto crest
Pineto
3 : 2half-time 1:0
Forlì crest
Forlì
150%(2.04)
X28%(3.35)
222%(3.30)

Pineto presents a solid disposition at their own stadium with a 38% win rate and a zero goal difference in home matches, testifying to their stability. Forlì, meanwhile, records poor results on away trips with only 21% wins, a negative goal difference of minus ten, and a high loss rate amounting to 57%. Additionally, the visitors fail to score goals in as many as 43% of their away matches, which constitutes a significant offensive weakness. Although Pineto's last five matches look weak overall, their home form remains significantly better than Forlì's away form. Taking all statistics into account, the hosts have the advantage, though the difference in team strength is not drastic, justifying a moderate probability of victory and a real chance of a draw.

Pineto vs Forlì: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Pineto played against Forlì in Serie C Group B (Italy). The game was played on March 4, 2026. Final score: 3:2.

Recent form

Pineto has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Forlì has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Pineto scores 1.26 goals per game and allows 1.22. Forlì scores 1.22 and allows 1.41. Games in this league average 2.26 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 48% of Pineto's games and 52% of Forlì's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 44%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Forlì has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.28 per game. Pineto takes 10.4 shots per game, while Forlì takes 11.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Pineto leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 0.33 goals per game after halftime. Forlì leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.78 after halftime.

When the teams score

Pineto's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (11 goals). For Forlì, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group B games average 2.26 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Pineto presents a solid disposition at their own stadium with a 38% win rate and a zero goal difference in home matches, testifying to their stability. Forlì, meanwhile, records poor results on away trips with only 21% wins, a negative goal difference of minus ten, and a high loss rate amounting to 57%. Additionally, the visitors fail to score goals in as many as 43% of their away matches, which constitutes a significant offensive weakness. Although Pineto's last five matches look weak overall, their home form remains significantly better than Forlì's away form. Taking all statistics into account, the hosts have the advantage, though the difference in team strength is not drastic, justifying a moderate probability of victory and a real chance of a draw.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
2 : 2
Second half

Game stats

44Possession (%)56
PinetoForlì
8Shots14
PinetoForlì
3Shots on target2
PinetoForlì
1.04xG1.46
PinetoForlì
1Corners4
PinetoForlì
42Dangerous attacks60
PinetoForlì
7Fouls20
PinetoForlì
1Cards4
PinetoForlì

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.26Goals scored / game1.22
PinetoForlì
1.22Goals allowed / game1.41
PinetoForlì
48%Average possession54%
PinetoForlì
3.78Shots on target / game4.33
PinetoForlì

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.41Shots per game11.59
PinetoForlì
3.78Shots on target4.33
PinetoForlì
12.1%Shot conversion10.5%
PinetoForlì
48%Possession54%
PinetoForlì
1.28xG for1.53
PinetoForlì
1.46xG against1.44
PinetoForlì

Shooting quality

Pineto: BalancedForlì: Balanced
PinetoForlì
Accuracy (shots on target)36%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Forlì is 167% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - Pineto · 1.6 pts / game - Forlì

Pineto
LLLLW
Season result split
37% W33% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-9-8
1.44 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-4-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WDWLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Forlì
DWDLW
Season result split
33% W22% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-6-12
1.22 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-8
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DLDDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.72Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Pineto is 16% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.22 goals / game - Pineto · 1.41 goals / game - Forlì

Pineto scoring profile: very strong

Pineto scores in 81% of games (22 of 27 meczów), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 meczów).

Forlì scoring profile: strong

Forlì scores in 70% of games (19 of 27 meczów), while Pineto keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 meczów).

34Goals scored (season)33
PinetoForlì
33Goals conceded (season)38
PinetoForlì
2.48Average goals per game2.63
PinetoForlì
2Goals scored (last 5)8
PinetoForlì
8Goals conceded (last 5)5
PinetoForlì

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal70%
PinetoForlì
30%2 goals37%
PinetoForlì
15%3 goals11%
PinetoForlì
0%4 goals4%
PinetoForlì

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal78%
PinetoForlì
30%2 goals44%
PinetoForlì
26%3 goals15%
PinetoForlì
0%4 goals4%
PinetoForlì

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time7%
PinetoForlì
4%BTTS in both halves4%
PinetoForlì
15%Scored in both halves19%
PinetoForlì

BTTS and goal count

22%Min. 3 goals and BTTS37%
PinetoForlì
19%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
PinetoForlì
20%BTTS - last 560%
PinetoForlì

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

89%Min. 1 goal before half-time56%
PinetoForlì
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
PinetoForlì
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
PinetoForlì

2nd half

59%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
PinetoForlì
22%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
PinetoForlì
4%Min. 3 goals after half-time26%
PinetoForlì

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Pineto is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.59 pts / game - Pineto · 1.22 pts / game - Forlì

Pineto - half-time state
44% leading26% draw30% trailing
Forlì - half-time state
26% leading44% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.59Points per game (1st half)1.22
PinetoForlì
0.93Goals scored (1st half)0.44
PinetoForlì
0.7Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
PinetoForlì
1.63Average goals (1st half)1.07
PinetoForlì
52%Clean sheet before half-time67%
PinetoForlì
33%No goal before half-time70%
PinetoForlì

After half-time (2nd half)

1.07Points per game (2nd half)1.48
PinetoForlì
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.78
PinetoForlì
0.52Goals conceded (2nd half)0.78
PinetoForlì
0.85Average goals (2nd half)1.56
PinetoForlì
56%Clean sheet after half-time41%
PinetoForlì
70%No goal after half-time41%
PinetoForlì

Pineto - second-half results

19% W52% D30% L
43
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.59
PPG before half-time
Lead holding84%

Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 37%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Forlì - second-half results

41% W26% D33% L
33
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Pineto - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.600.60
Goals scored / game0.40.0
Goals allowed / game1.20.4
Average goals per game1.60.4
1 goal100%40%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference-4-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Forlì - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.402.20
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.80.2
Average goals per game1.61.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Pineto
ScoredConceded
11
2
0-15
7
9
16-30
7
8
31-45
3
2
46-60
3
7
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Forlì
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
6
6
16-30
4
8
31-45
5
9
46-60
7
6
61-75
9
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.55
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-22%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
57%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Pineto

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.84
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
9% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 32% come in the first quarter-hour.
9%

Forlì

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).

Teams vs league

PinetoLigaForlì
Average goals per game 2.482.26 2.63
Both teams scored 48%49% 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%38% 44%
Clean sheets 33%30% 22%
Goal before half-time 89%64% 56%
Goal after half-time 59%71% 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.26
Average goals per game
49%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.20
Home goals / game
1.06
Away goals / game
+13%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. ForlìYellow cardValentino Coveri
  2. PinetoGoalFederico Baggi
  3. ForlìYellow cardGiulio Manenti
  4. ForlìSubstitutionOn: Nicola MandrelliOff: Giulio Manenti
  5. ForlìSubstitutionOn: Carlo De RisioOff: Valentino Coveri
  6. PinetoGoalLuca Schirone
  7. ForlìSubstitutionOn: Abdel Rachid ZagréOff: Alessandro Selvini
  8. PinetoYellow cardLuca Schirone
  9. PinetoSubstitutionOn: Erdis KrajaOff: Gianluca Germinario
  10. PinetoSubstitutionOn: Giulio NebulosoOff: Luca Lombardi
  11. ForlìYellow cardCarlo De Risio
  12. ForlìYellow cardGiacomo Cavallini

Head-to-head

Record from Pineto's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Forlì. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Forlì
1 : 1
Pineto

FAQ

What was the result of Pineto vs Forlì?

The Serie C Group B match finished Pineto 3:2 Forlì. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Pineto vs Forlì?

Pineto score 1.26 goals per game on average and Forlì 1.22. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Pineto's matches and 52% of Forlì's.

What form are Pineto and Forlì in?

Over the last 5 games Pineto have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Forlì 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pineto vs Forlì?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pineto vs Forlì: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.