Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of October 28, 2026

Piratas vs Tapatío: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Piratas vs Tapatío: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Piratas plays Tapatío in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for November 1, 2026.

Recent form

Piratas has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Tapatío has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Piratas scores 1.86 goals per game and allows 1.00. Tapatío scores 1.71 and allows 1.93. Games in this league average 3.28 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 36% of Piratas's games and 64% of Tapatío's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 71%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Piratas has the higher season xG average, 1.98 to 1.44 per game. Piratas takes 17.8 shots per game, while Tapatío takes 12.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Piratas leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 1.21 goals per game after halftime. Tapatío leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.93 after halftime.

When the teams score

Piratas's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Tapatío, it is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ascenso MX games average 3.28 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.86Goals scored / game1.71
PiratasTapatío
1Goals allowed / game1.93
PiratasTapatío
58%Average possession49%
PiratasTapatío
6.57Shots on target / game4.64
PiratasTapatío

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

17.79Shots per game12.5
PiratasTapatío
6.57Shots on target4.64
PiratasTapatío
10.4%Shot conversion13.7%
PiratasTapatío
58%Possession49%
PiratasTapatío
1.98xG for1.44
PiratasTapatío
0.95xG against1.97
PiratasTapatío

Shooting quality

Piratas: DominantTapatío: Efficient finishing
PiratasTapatío
Accuracy (shots on target)37%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Piratas is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - Piratas · 0.6 pts / game - Tapatío

Piratas
LWLWW
Season result split
50% W21% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-3-4
1.71 pts / game · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-0-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
LWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 2.41Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 100%
Tapatío
LLWLL
Season result split
36% W14% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-7
1.21 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-4
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WDLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 2.48BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Piratas is 9% better for: goals scored per game.

1.86 goals / game - Piratas · 1.71 goals / game - Tapatío

Piratas is 93% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Piratas · 1.93 goals / game - Tapatío

Piratas scoring profile: very strong

Piratas scores in 71% of games (10 of 14 games), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 games).

Tapatío scoring profile: strong

Tapatío scores in 79% of games (11 of 14 games), while Piratas keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 games).

26Goals scored (season)24
PiratasTapatío
14Goals conceded (season)27
PiratasTapatío
2.86Average goals per game3.64
PiratasTapatío
14Goals scored (last 5)7
PiratasTapatío
7Goals conceded (last 5)13
PiratasTapatío

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal79%
PiratasTapatío
50%2 goals43%
PiratasTapatío
36%3 goals29%
PiratasTapatío
21%4 goals21%
PiratasTapatío

How often they concede at least...

57%1 goal79%
PiratasTapatío
21%2 goals57%
PiratasTapatío
14%3 goals36%
PiratasTapatío
7%4 goals14%
PiratasTapatío

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time29%
PiratasTapatío
0%BTTS in both halves0%
PiratasTapatío
36%Scored in both halves29%
PiratasTapatío

BTTS and goal count

21%Min. 3 goals and BTTS57%
PiratasTapatío
36%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
PiratasTapatío
20%BTTS - last 560%
PiratasTapatío

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
PiratasTapatío
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
PiratasTapatío
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
PiratasTapatío

2nd half

64%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
PiratasTapatío
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time71%
PiratasTapatío
36%Min. 3 goals after half-time36%
PiratasTapatío

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Piratas is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.64 pts / game - Piratas · 1.21 pts / game - Tapatío

Piratas - half-time state
43% leading36% draw21% trailing
Tapatío - half-time state
29% leading36% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.64Points per game (1st half)1.21
PiratasTapatío
0.64Goals scored (1st half)0.79
PiratasTapatío
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.79
PiratasTapatío
1.21Average goals (1st half)1.57
PiratasTapatío
57%Clean sheet before half-time43%
PiratasTapatío
43%No goal before half-time50%
PiratasTapatío

After half-time (2nd half)

1.71Points per game (2nd half)1.07
PiratasTapatío
1.21Goals scored (2nd half)0.93
PiratasTapatío
0.43Goals conceded (2nd half)1.14
PiratasTapatío
1.64Average goals (2nd half)2.07
PiratasTapatío
71%Clean sheet after half-time36%
PiratasTapatío
50%No goal after half-time43%
PiratasTapatío

Piratas - second-half results

43% W43% D14% L
23
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.64
PPG before half-time
Lead holding116%

Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Tapatío - second-half results

21% W43% D36% L
17
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Piratas - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.401.80
Goals scored / game1.01.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game1.62.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+2+5
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Tapatío - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.80
Goals scored / game1.00.4
Goals allowed / game1.21.4
Average goals per game2.21.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Piratas
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
6
4
31-45
1
4
46-60
5
0
61-75
11
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

Tapatío
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
2
4
16-30
3
3
31-45
4
3
46-60
3
8
61-75
6
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.25
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.9 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Piratas

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
42% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
42%

Tapatío

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
127%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.61
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

PiratasLigaTapatío
Average goals per game▼ 2.863.28▲ 3.64
Both teams scored▼ 36%60%▲ 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 57%64%▲ 71%
Clean sheets▲ 43%22%• 21%
Goal before half-time• 79%78%• 79%
Goal after half-time▼ 64%83%▲ 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.28
Average goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.93
Home goals / game
1.35
Away goals / game
+43%
Home attack advantage
+30%
Home defensive advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
59%
2 goals
33%
3 goals
14%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Piratas and Tapatío play?

Piratas face Tapatío on November 1, 2026 in Ascenso MX. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Piratas vs Tapatío?

Piratas score 1.86 goals per game on average and Tapatío 1.71. The Ascenso MX average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Piratas's matches and 64% of Tapatío's.

What form are Piratas and Tapatío in?

Over the last 5 games Piratas have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Tapatío 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Piratas vs Tapatío?

The statistical background for Piratas vs Tapatío — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.