Plymouth Argyle vs Burton Albion: match statistics
The match promises to be a very tight clash between two teams from the bottom of the table. Plymouth Argyle sits in 21st place and has poor home form with just 25% wins at home, conceding an average of 1.58 goals per match. Burton Albion, in 20th position, shows slightly better efficiency in away matches, scoring an average of 1.09 goals, but also struggles with consistency (36% draws on the road). Recent form for both teams is average – Plymouth with 1.6 points per match in the last 5 games, Burton with only 1.0 point. xG statistics are close, suggesting a similar level of chance creation. Given the hosts' poor home form and Burton's tendency to draw away, a split of points seems the most likely scenario, although a slight advantage is given to the hosts due to playing in front of their own crowd.
Plymouth Argyle vs Burton Albion: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Plymouth Argyle play Burton Albion in EFL League One (England). The match date is 4 January 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Plymouth Argyle: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Burton Albion: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Plymouth Argyle scores 1.63 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Burton Albion scores 1.09 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Plymouth Argyle 54%, Burton Albion 48%. Over 2.5: Plymouth Argyle 59%, Burton Albion 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Plymouth Argyle has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.36. Plymouth Argyle: 13.8 shots per match, Burton Albion: 11.5.
Match halves
Plymouth Argyle: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.89. Burton Albion: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Plymouth Argyle: 31-45+ (16 goals). Burton Albion: 46-60 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
The match promises to be a very tight clash between two teams from the bottom of the table. Plymouth Argyle sits in 21st place and has poor home form with just 25% wins at home, conceding an average of 1.58 goals per match. Burton Albion, in 20th position, shows slightly better efficiency in away matches, scoring an average of 1.09 goals, but also struggles with consistency (36% draws on the road). Recent form for both teams is average – Plymouth with 1.6 points per match in the last 5 games, Burton with only 1.0 point. xG statistics are close, suggesting a similar level of chance creation. Given the hosts' poor home form and Burton's tendency to draw away, a split of points seems the most likely scenario, although a slight advantage is given to the hosts due to playing in front of their own crowd.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Plymouth Argyle | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Plymouth Argyle is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Plymouth Argyle · 1.4 pts / match - Burton Albion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Plymouth Argyle is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Plymouth Argyle · 1.09 goals / match - Burton Albion
Burton Albion is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - Plymouth Argyle · 1.3 goals / match - Burton Albion
Plymouth Argyle scores in 80% of matches (37 of 46 matches), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 46 matches).
Burton Albion scores in 65% of matches (30 of 46 matches), while Plymouth Argyle keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Plymouth Argyle
Over / Under — Burton Albion
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Plymouth Argyle is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / match - Plymouth Argyle · 1.22 pts / match - Burton Albion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Plymouth Argyle - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Burton Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Plymouth Argyle
Burton Albion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Plymouth Argyle | Liga | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 52% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 51% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 70% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 81% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Plymouth Argyle 1 - 0 - 0 Burton Albion. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Plymouth Argyle vs Burton Albion?
The EFL League One match finished Plymouth Argyle 3:0 Burton Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Plymouth Argyle vs Burton Albion?
Plymouth Argyle score 1.63 goals per game on average and Burton Albion 1.09. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Plymouth Argyle's matches and 48% of Burton Albion's.
What form are Plymouth Argyle and Burton Albion in?
Over the last 5 games Plymouth Argyle have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Burton Albion 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Plymouth Argyle vs Burton Albion?
The statistical background for Plymouth Argyle vs Burton Albion — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.