Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec: match statistics
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki play Stal Mielec in 1. Liga (Poland). The match date is 6 April 2026 at 19:30. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Stal Mielec: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki scores 1.50 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Stal Mielec scores 1.50 and concedes 1.82. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 71%, Stal Mielec 74%. Over 2.5: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 71%, Stal Mielec 71%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.47. Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: 13.6 shots per match, Stal Mielec: 12.4.
Match halves
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.71. Stal Mielec: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: 76-90+ (12 goals). Stal Mielec: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back the home win. Pogoń sits 4th with 11 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses this season; at home they average 2.31 goals scored and 1.23 conceded, translating to a +14 goal difference on their own pitch. Stal are 15th with 6 wins and 15 losses; away they score 1.31 on average and concede 2.23, and suffer 62% defeats on the road. Home xG for Pogoń is 1.69 with xG against 1.76, while visitors have away xG 1.43 with xG against 1.92; although xG gaps are not huge, Pogoń converts chances better (2.31 actual goals vs 1.69 xG) and register 6.08 shots on target versus Stal’s 3.85. Additionally, Pogoń have had no home matches without a goal (0% such games) while Stal have 23% of away matches goalless, which alongside higher finishing efficiency (16% vs 11%) gives the hosts the edge, although Stal’s form (11 goals in the last 5 matches and an average 1.8 points across those five) presents some risk for Pogoń.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | Stal Mielec | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stal Mielec is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · 1.4 pts / match - Stal Mielec
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.59 goals / match - Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · 1.82 goals / match - Stal Mielec
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Stal Mielec keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 34 matches).
Stal Mielec scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Over / Under — Stal Mielec
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stal Mielec is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · 1.21 pts / match - Stal Mielec
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Stal Mielec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Stal Mielec
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | Liga | Stal Mielec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.09 | 2.98 | ▲ 3.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 65% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 60% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 20% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | • 74% | 74% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 81% | • 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 - 0 - 0 Stal Mielec. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?
The 1. Liga match finished Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1:2 Stal Mielec. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki score 1.50 goals per game on average and Stal Mielec 1.50. The 1. Liga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki's matches and 74% of Stal Mielec's.
What form are Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and Stal Mielec in?
Over the last 5 games Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Stal Mielec 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.