Poland - 1. LigaData current as of October 22, 2026

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań: match statistics

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki played against Warta Poznań in 1. Liga (Poland). The game was played on September 4, 2026. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Warta Poznań has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 0.83. Warta Poznań scores 1.83 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 2.72 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki's games and 67% of Warta Poznań's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 83%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Warta Poznań has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 1.59 per game. Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki takes 13.3 shots per game, while Warta Poznań takes 14.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.83 goals per game after halftime. Warta Poznań leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.67 after halftime.

When the teams score

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For Warta Poznań, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

1. Liga games average 2.72 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki remain unbeaten after 6 rounds, with a record of 3 wins and 3 draws, and have collected 9 points in their last five matches. The hosts are particularly difficult to beat at home: they have lost 0% of their matches, although as many as 67% of their home fixtures have ended in draws. Warta post higher average attacking numbers away from home, scoring 1.83 goals and creating 1.62 xG per match compared with Pogoń’s 1.33 goals and 1.32 xG, but they also concede 1.67 goals per game. The visitors’ form is inconsistent, having lost 3 of their last 5 matches and scored just 5 goals during that period, while Pogoń remain unbeaten. Home advantage and the hosts’ more consistent results slightly shift the prediction in Pogoń’s favor, with a high probability of a closely contested match.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The signal for both teams to score is clear in their current form: in their last 5 matches, both Pogoń and Warta recorded BTTS in 60% of games. During this period, Pogoń averaged 1.4 goals scored with an xG of 1.50, while Warta scored 1.0 goal per match, despite posting a solid xG of 1.61. Both defenses have also allowed opponents opportunities, with the hosts conceding 1.78 xG and Warta averaging 1.4 goals conceded per game across their last five outings. Warta also have a season BTTS rate of 67%, averaging 1.83 goals scored and 1.67 conceded, which supports an open game scenario. The lack of Pogoń's complete season data lowers confidence in the prediction, but the current figures for both teams slightly favor BTTS - Yes.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The available home-team data from the current season is incomplete, so greater weight should be placed on the last five matches, in which Pogoń averaged 1.4 goals scored, while Warta conceded 1.4. During this period, Pogoń created chances worth 1.50 xG per match, whereas their defense allowed opponents 1.78 xG, which also supports the prospect of a goal for the away side. Despite averaging only 1.0 goal scored in their last five fixtures, Warta generated 1.61 xG, while both teams recorded a Both Teams to Score result in 60% of those matches. In Warta’s available season data, as many as 83% of matches went Over 1.5 goals and Over 2.5 goals, with an average of 3.50 goals per match. The projected total of 2.70 goals provides a clear edge towards Over 1.5 goals, while the 2.5 and 3.5 lines are considerably more balanced.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Pogoń have remained unbeaten in their last five matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and conceding just 1.0 per game, while Warta have lost 60% of their matches and conceded an average of 1.4 goals. The hosts held a lead at the break in 40% of their recent matches and scored 0.8 goals per game before half-time, compared with Warta’s 0.6. The Poznań side were trailing at half-time in 40% of their last five outings, with a first-half record of 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. The most likely scenario is therefore a 1/1 HT/FT outcome, with Pogoń’s stronger recent stability enabling them to take the lead before the break and maintain it until full-time.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

50Possession (%)50
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
13Shots11
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
5Shots on target4
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
1.71xG1.24
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
6Corners6
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
74Dangerous attacks37
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
14Fouls13
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
2Cards3
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
1.67Goals scored / game1.83
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
0.83Goals allowed / game1.67
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
49%Average possession50%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
5Shots on target / game4.67
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.33Shots per game14
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
5Shots on target4.67
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
12.5%Shot conversion13.1%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
49%Possession50%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
1.59xG for1.62
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
1.68xG against1.37
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań

Shooting quality

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: BalancedWarta Poznań: Attacking
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
Accuracy (shots on target)38%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
WWDDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
50% W50% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-0
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Last 5 at home
1-2-0
WDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.80BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Warta Poznań
WWLWL
Season result split
50% W0% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-3
1.50 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-3
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WWLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Warta Poznań is 10% better for: goals scored per game.

1.67 goals / game - Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · 1.83 goals / game - Warta Poznań

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is 101% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.83 goals / game - Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · 1.67 goals / game - Warta Poznań

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki scoring profile: very strong

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 games), while Warta Poznań keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 games).

Warta Poznań scoring profile: very strong

Warta Poznań scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 games), while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 games).

10Goals scored (season)11
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
5Goals conceded (season)10
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
2.5Average goals per game3.5
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
7Goals scored (last 5)8
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
50%2 goals50%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
17%3 goals33%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
0%4 goals0%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal67%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
33%2 goals50%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
0%3 goals33%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
0%4 goals17%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

50%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.3 of 6 games
52%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time33%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
17%BTTS in both halves17%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
50%Scored in both halves33%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
60%BTTS - last 560%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.83 pts / game - Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · 1.67 pts / game - Warta Poznań

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki - half-time state
50% leading33% draw17% trailing
Warta Poznań - half-time state
50% leading17% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.83Points per game (1st half)1.67
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
0.83Goals scored (1st half)1.17
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.83
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
1.33Average goals (1st half)2
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
67%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
17%No goal before half-time17%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per game (2nd half)0.83
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
0.83Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
1.17Average goals (2nd half)1.5
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
67%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
33%No goal after half-time50%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki - second-half results

33% W67% D0% L
11
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Warta Poznań - second-half results

0% W83% D17% L
10
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.40
Goals scored / game0.80.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game1.41.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Warta Poznań - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.000.80
Goals scored / game1.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.81.0
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Warta Poznań
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
1
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
3
2
46-60
0
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.7 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.93
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.85
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Warta Poznań

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
9% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
9%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).

Teams vs league

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiLigaWarta Poznań
Average goals per game▼ 2.502.72▲ 3.50
Both teams scored▼ 50%52%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%48%▲ 83%
Clean sheets▲ 50%25%▲ 33%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%81%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%74%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.72
Average goals per game
52%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / game
1.28
Away goals / game
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defensive advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Warta PoznańYellow cardAleksander Wołczek
  2. Warta PoznańSubstitutionOn: Patryk KusztalOff: Aleksander Wołczek
  3. Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiYellow cardJakub Niewiadomski
  4. Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiYellow cardNikodem Niski
  5. Warta PoznańYellow cardKarol Łysiak
  6. Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiGoalDamian JaronAssist: Bartlomiej Ciepiela
  7. Warta PoznańYellow cardPatryk Kusztal

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań?

The 1. Liga match finished Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1:0 Warta Poznań. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań?

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki score 1.67 goals per game on average and Warta Poznań 1.83. The 1. Liga average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki's matches and 67% of Warta Poznań's.

What form are Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and Warta Poznań in?

Over the last 5 games Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Warta Poznań 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań?

The statistical background for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.