Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Lipno Stęszew: match statistics
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Lipno Stęszew: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce play Lipno Stęszew in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The match date is 9 May 2026 at 13:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Lipno Stęszew: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce scores 1.03 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Lipno Stęszew scores 1.38 and concedes 1.59. League average: 3.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 45%, Lipno Stęszew 50%. Over 2.5: Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 48%, Lipno Stęszew 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Lipno Stęszew has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.34. Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce: 6.3 shots per match, Lipno Stęszew: 9.3.
Match halves
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.52. Lipno Stęszew: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce: 0-15 (10 goals). Lipno Stęszew: 0-15 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 2: 3.02 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis favors Lipno Stęszew: the visitors have 12 wins this season versus Pogoń's 7 wins and have scored 37 goals this season compared to the hosts' 27. In attack Lipno averages 1.29 goals on the road with an average xG of 1.45, while Pogoń at home scores only 0.38 goals per match with xG 1.20, indicating significant home inefficiency (home conversion 3% vs 11% for the visitors). Additionally Pogoń fails to score in 69% of home matches, whereas Lipno fails to score in only 21% of their away matches, which substantially increases the visitors' chances. Pogoń’s only advantage is a slightly better home defense (on average 1.31 goals conceded) versus 1.93 conceded by Lipno away, but the possession gap (52% Lipno vs 47% Pogoń) and quality of chances (xG 1.45 vs 1.20) favor the visitors. Considering form (2.2 points per game for Lipno in the last 5 matches vs 1.4 for Pogoń) and the cited figures, I assess Lipno’s win probability at 60%, draw 25% and home win 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce | Lipno Stęszew | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce · 1.8 pts / match - Lipno Stęszew
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lipno Stęszew is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce · 1.38 goals / match - Lipno Stęszew
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce · 1.59 goals / match - Lipno Stęszew
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce scores in 67% of matches (22 of 33 matches), while Lipno Stęszew keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
Lipno Stęszew scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce keeps a clean sheet in 36% (12 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Over / Under — Lipno Stęszew
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lipno Stęszew is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce · 1.47 pts / match - Lipno Stęszew
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lipno Stęszew - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Lipno Stęszew
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce | Liga | Lipno Stęszew | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.36 | 3.02 | • 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 70% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 75% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 1 - 0 - 0 Lipno Stęszew. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Lipno Stęszew?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 2:0 Lipno Stęszew. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Lipno Stęszew?
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce score 1.03 goals per game on average and Lipno Stęszew 1.38. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 3.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce's matches and 50% of Lipno Stęszew's.
What form are Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce and Lipno Stęszew in?
Over the last 5 games Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Lipno Stęszew 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Lipno Stęszew?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.