Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec: match statistics
Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pogoń Siedlce play Stal Mielec in 1. Liga (Poland). The match date is 15 May 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Pogoń Siedlce: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Stal Mielec: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pogoń Siedlce scores 0.97 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Stal Mielec scores 1.50 and concedes 1.82. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pogoń Siedlce 47%, Stal Mielec 74%. Over 2.5: Pogoń Siedlce 38%, Stal Mielec 71%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Stal Mielec has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.25. Pogoń Siedlce: 10.3 shots per match, Stal Mielec: 12.4.
Match halves
Pogoń Siedlce: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.56. Stal Mielec: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Pogoń Siedlce: 31-45+ (12 goals). Stal Mielec: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Pogoń Siedlce is a slight favorite in this fixture due to superior home defensive metrics: the hosts concede an average of 1.06 goals per home match, while Stal Mielec concedes 2.06 on the road; Pogoń also records 31% clean sheets at home versus Stal’s 13% away. Offensively Stal looks stronger on paper — 44 goals this season compared to Pogoń’s 32, averaging 1.25 goals away with xG 1.45, while Pogoń averages 1.06 goals at home with xG 1.37; the visitors also register more shots per game (11.88 vs 10.94). However, chance quality is balanced: average on-target shots 3.88 for the hosts vs 3.81 for the visitors and similar conversion rates (10% vs 11%) indicate Stal’s higher chance volume may not translate into more goals. In the last 5 matches Pogoń has scored 5 goals and holds a form line of W W L L L with 1.2 points per game, whereas Stal scored 7 goals with a W L L D L sequence and 0.8 points per game, which favors the hosts in terms of form. Given the more stable defense, a higher recent points share for Pogoń and Stal’s 63% away loss rate, I expect a narrow Pogoń victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pogoń Siedlce | Stal Mielec | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stal Mielec is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Pogoń Siedlce · 1.4 pts / match - Stal Mielec
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stal Mielec is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Pogoń Siedlce · 1.5 goals / match - Stal Mielec
Pogoń Siedlce is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Pogoń Siedlce · 1.82 goals / match - Stal Mielec
Pogoń Siedlce scores in 65% of matches (22 of 34 matches), while Stal Mielec keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 34 matches).
Stal Mielec scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Pogoń Siedlce keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Pogoń Siedlce
Over / Under — Stal Mielec
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stal Mielec is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Pogoń Siedlce · 1.21 pts / match - Stal Mielec
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pogoń Siedlce - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Stal Mielec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pogoń Siedlce
Stal Mielec
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Pogoń Siedlce | Liga | Stal Mielec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.24 | 2.98 | ▲ 3.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 65% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 60% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 20% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 74% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 81% | • 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pogoń Siedlce 0 - 1 - 0 Stal Mielec. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec?
The 1. Liga match finished Pogoń Siedlce 1:3 Stal Mielec. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec?
Pogoń Siedlce score 0.97 goals per game on average and Stal Mielec 1.50. The 1. Liga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Pogoń Siedlce's matches and 74% of Stal Mielec's.
What form are Pogoń Siedlce and Stal Mielec in?
Over the last 5 games Pogoń Siedlce have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Stal Mielec 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.