Poland - EkstraklasaData current as of September 11, 2026

Pogoń Szczecin vs Arka Gdynia: match statistics

Pogoń Szczecin crest
Pogoń Szczecin
1 : 0half-time 1:0
Arka Gdynia crest
Arka Gdynia
165%(1.68)
X20%(3.90)
215%(4.70)

Pogoń Szczecin displays significantly superior home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive average of 2.2 goals per home match, backed by an xG of 2.01. Arka Gdynia has catastrophic away stats – 0% away wins, 89% losses, and a mere 0.22 goals scored on average per away match. Arka's -21 goal difference in away games versus Pogoń's +6 at home clearly points to the hosts' advantage. Furthermore, Arka failed to score in 78% of their away matches, which, given Pogoń's offensive potential (averaging 17.9 shots per match), grants the hosts a distinct edge. The form in the last five matches also favors Pogoń, who, despite general difficulties, remain dangerous at home, while Arka is on a series of away defeats.

Pogoń Szczecin vs Arka Gdynia: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Pogoń Szczecin played against Arka Gdynia in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The game was played on February 15, 2026. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

Pogoń Szczecin has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Arka Gdynia has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Pogoń Szczecin scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.75. Arka Gdynia scores 0.89 and allows 1.79. Games in this league average 2.79 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 70% of Pogoń Szczecin's games and 47% of Arka Gdynia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 65% and 53%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Pogoń Szczecin has the higher season xG average, 1.81 to 1.21 per game. Pogoń Szczecin takes 16.4 shots per game, while Arka Gdynia takes 9.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Pogoń Szczecin leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Arka Gdynia leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.53 after halftime.

When the teams score

Pogoń Szczecin's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). For Arka Gdynia, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ekstraklasa games average 2.79 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Pogoń Szczecin displays significantly superior home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive average of 2.2 goals per home match, backed by an xG of 2.01. Arka Gdynia has catastrophic away stats – 0% away wins, 89% losses, and a mere 0.22 goals scored on average per away match. Arka's -21 goal difference in away games versus Pogoń's +6 at home clearly points to the hosts' advantage. Furthermore, Arka failed to score in 78% of their away matches, which, given Pogoń's offensive potential (averaging 17.9 shots per match), grants the hosts a distinct edge. The form in the last five matches also favors Pogoń, who, despite general difficulties, remain dangerous at home, while Arka is on a series of away defeats.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

56Possession (%)44
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
20Shots11
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
4Shots on target1
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
1.97xG1.12
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
8Corners7
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
62Dangerous attacks51
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
14Fouls15
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
3Cards4
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
1.5Goals scored / game0.89
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
1.75Goals allowed / game1.79
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
53%Average possession46%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
5.1Shots on target / game2.95
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

16.35Shots per game9.74
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
5.1Shots on target2.95
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
9.2%Shot conversion9.2%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
53%Possession46%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
1.81xG for1.21
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
1.79xG against1.8
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia

Shooting quality

Pogoń Szczecin: AttackingArka Gdynia: Balanced
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
Accuracy (shots on target)31%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Arka Gdynia is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.4 pts / game - Arka Gdynia

Pogoń Szczecin
WLDLD
Season result split
30% W20% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-10
1.10 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-3
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WLWDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.95Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Arka Gdynia
WLLWD
Season result split
32% W21% D47% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-9
1.16 pts / game · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-8
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Pogoń Szczecin is 69% better for: goals scored per game.

1.5 goals / game - Pogoń Szczecin · 0.89 goals / game - Arka Gdynia

Pogoń Szczecin scoring profile: very strong

Pogoń Szczecin scores in 75% of games (15 of 20 meczów), while Arka Gdynia keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 meczów).

Arka Gdynia scoring profile: very strong

Arka Gdynia scores in 58% of games (11 of 19 meczów), while Pogoń Szczecin keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 20 meczów).

30Goals scored (season)17
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
35Goals conceded (season)34
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
3.25Average goals per game2.68
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
9Goals scored (last 5)7
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
8Goals conceded (last 5)9
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal58%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
45%2 goals26%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
15%3 goals5%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
10%4 goals0%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia

How often they concede at least...

95%1 goal79%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
50%2 goals42%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
15%3 goals26%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
10%4 goals26%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

35%BTTS at half-time16%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
5%BTTS in both halves0%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
30%Scored in both halves16%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
80%BTTS - last 560%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

90%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time26%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time37%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Pogoń Szczecin is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.2 pts / game - Pogoń Szczecin · 1 pts / game - Arka Gdynia

Pogoń Szczecin - half-time state
30% leading30% draw40% trailing
Arka Gdynia - half-time state
21% leading37% draw42% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per game (1st half)1
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0.37
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
0.8Goals conceded (1st half)0.84
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
1.6Average goals (1st half)1.21
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
30%Clean sheet before half-time47%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
45%No goal before half-time68%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per game (2nd half)0.95
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
0.7Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
0.95Goals conceded (2nd half)0.95
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
1.65Average goals (2nd half)1.47
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
50%Clean sheet after half-time42%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia
50%No goal after half-time58%
Pogoń SzczecinArka Gdynia

Pogoń Szczecin - second-half results

35% W20% D45% L
24
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Arka Gdynia - second-half results

21% W32% D47% L
19
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Pogoń Szczecin - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.00
Goals scored / game1.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.80.8
Average goals per game2.21.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+3-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7
Arka Gdynia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.40
Goals scored / game0.21.2
Goals allowed / game1.00.8
Average goals per game1.22.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-4+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Pogoń Szczecin
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
2
6
16-30
11
5
31-45
3
8
46-60
3
2
61-75
8
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Arka Gdynia
ScoredConceded
4
8
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
7
31-45
3
7
46-60
3
5
61-75
4
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.96
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+1%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
43%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Pogoń Szczecin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
147%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Arka Gdynia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.59
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+10.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).

Teams vs league

Pogoń SzczecinLigaArka Gdynia
Average goals per game 3.252.79 2.68
Both teams scored 70%59% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 65%53% 53%
Clean sheets 5%24% 21%
Goal before half-time 90%73% 68%
Goal after half-time 80%80% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / game
1.19
Away goals / game
+34%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defensive advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Pogoń SzczecinGoalPaul Omo MukairuAssist: Kamil Grosicki
  2. Arka GdyniaYellow cardMarc Navarro Ceciliano
  3. Pogoń SzczecinYellow cardJosé Ángel Pozo la Rosa
  4. Arka GdyniaYellow cardKamil Jakubczyk
  5. Arka GdyniaYellow cardTornike Gaprindashvili
  6. Pogoń SzczecinYellow cardKellyn Kai Perry-Acosta
  7. Pogoń SzczecinSubstitutionOn: Sam GreenwoodOff: José Ángel Pozo la Rosa
  8. Arka GdyniaSubstitutionOn: Vladislavs GutkovskisOff: Nazariy Rusyn
  9. Pogoń SzczecinSubstitutionOn: Benjamin MendyOff: Leonardo Pablo Koutris
  10. Pogoń SzczecinSubstitutionOn: Jan BiegańskiOff: Kellyn Kai Perry-Acosta
  11. Pogoń SzczecinSubstitutionOn: Danijel LončarOff: Kamil Grosicki
  12. Pogoń SzczecinYellow cardBenjamin Mendy
  13. Arka GdyniaYellow cardDawid Abramowicz

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Bartosz FrankowskiMatches officiated: 16
4.25Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 238%Home wins38%Draws25%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Pogoń Szczecin's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Arka Gdynia. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Arka Gdynia 1929
2 : 1
MKS Pogoń Szczecin

FAQ

What was the result of Pogoń Szczecin vs Arka Gdynia?

The Ekstraklasa match finished Pogoń Szczecin 1:0 Arka Gdynia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Pogoń Szczecin vs Arka Gdynia?

Pogoń Szczecin score 1.50 goals per game on average and Arka Gdynia 0.89. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Pogoń Szczecin's matches and 47% of Arka Gdynia's.

What form are Pogoń Szczecin and Arka Gdynia in?

Over the last 5 games Pogoń Szczecin have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Arka Gdynia 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pogoń Szczecin vs Arka Gdynia?

The statistical background for Pogoń Szczecin vs Arka Gdynia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.