Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce: match statistics
Pogoń Szczecin presents significantly better home form with a 58% win rate and an impressive streak of four victories in their last five home matches. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per home game with a high shot conversion rate (12%) and an advantage in xG (1.92 vs 1.63), which confirms their attacking proficiency. Korona Kielce has only a 33% win rate in away fixtures, ends a staggering 42% of matches without scoring, and their recent form (1.2 points per game) is noticeably weaker. The disparity in Pogoń's home quality (+8 goal difference) and Korona's struggles with consistent goalscoring on the road strongly favor the hosts. A draw remains a viable option due to the visitors' solid defense (1.08 goals conceded per away game), however, Pogoń Szczecin's edge in the majority of statistics makes them the favorite for this fixture.
Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Pogoń Szczecin played against Korona Kielce in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The game was played on March 16, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Pogoń Szczecin has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Korona Kielce has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Pogoń Szczecin scores 1.38 goals per game and allows 1.54. Korona Kielce scores 1.21 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 2.74 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 58% of Pogoń Szczecin's games and 50% of Korona Kielce's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 42%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Pogoń Szczecin has the higher season xG average, 1.70 to 1.59 per game. Pogoń Szczecin takes 15.3 shots per game, while Korona Kielce takes 14.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Pogoń Szczecin leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Korona Kielce leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Pogoń Szczecin's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). For Korona Kielce, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ekstraklasa games average 2.74 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pogoń Szczecin presents significantly better home form with a 58% win rate and an impressive streak of four victories in their last five home matches. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per home game with a high shot conversion rate (12%) and an advantage in xG (1.92 vs 1.63), which confirms their attacking proficiency. Korona Kielce has only a 33% win rate in away fixtures, ends a staggering 42% of matches without scoring, and their recent form (1.2 points per game) is noticeably weaker. The disparity in Pogoń's home quality (+8 goal difference) and Korona's struggles with consistent goalscoring on the road strongly favor the hosts. A draw remains a viable option due to the visitors' solid defense (1.08 goals conceded per away game), however, Pogoń Szczecin's edge in the majority of statistics makes them the favorite for this fixture.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Pogoń Szczecin | Korona Kielce | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Pogoń Szczecin is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.2 pts / game - Korona Kielce
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pogoń Szczecin is 14% better for: goals scored per game.
1.38 goals / game - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.21 goals / game - Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce is 36% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.54 goals / game - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.13 goals / game - Korona Kielce
Pogoń Szczecin scores in 75% of games (18 of 24 meczów), while Korona Kielce keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 meczów).
Korona Kielce scores in 71% of games (17 of 24 meczów), while Pogoń Szczecin keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pogoń Szczecin
Over / Under - Korona Kielce
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Korona Kielce is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / game - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.42 pts / game - Korona Kielce
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pogoń Szczecin - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Korona Kielce - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Pogoń Szczecin
Korona Kielce
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Pogoń Szczecin | Liga | Korona Kielce | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.92 | 2.74 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | • 58% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 52% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 25% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 74% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Pogoń Szczecin's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Korona Kielce. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Pogoń Szczecin 2:1 Korona Kielce. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
Pogoń Szczecin score 1.38 goals per game on average and Korona Kielce 1.21. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Pogoń Szczecin's matches and 50% of Korona Kielce's.
What form are Pogoń Szczecin and Korona Kielce in?
Over the last 5 games Pogoń Szczecin have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Korona Kielce 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.