Poland - EkstraklasaData current as of September 11, 2026

Pogoń Szczecin vs Nieciecza: match statistics

Pogoń Szczecin crest
Pogoń Szczecin
1 : 1half-time 1:0
Nieciecza crest
Nieciecza
155%(1.57)
X25%(4.30)
220%(4.60)

Pogoń Szczecin displays significantly better form in home matches, winning 56% of their games at home and recording an impressive +6 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.33 goals per home game with an xG of 2.03, which indicates high efficiency. Nieciecza performs much worse in away matches, winning only 33% of games and conceding an average of 1.89 goals per match with a negative goal difference of -4. The form from the last five overall matches favors the visitors (1.8 PPG vs 0.8 PPG), however, the home/away match statistics, along with the advantage in possession (49% vs 43%) and the higher quality of shots from the hosts (5.89 vs 4.33 on target per match), give Pogoń a real edge. I expect a close encounter with a slight advantage for the hosts, who should capitalize on their home field advantage.

Pogoń Szczecin vs Nieciecza: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Pogoń Szczecin played against Nieciecza in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The game was played on February 8, 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Pogoń Szczecin has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Nieciecza has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Pogoń Szczecin scores 1.53 goals per game and allows 1.79. Nieciecza scores 1.26 and allows 1.89. Games in this league average 2.87 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 68% of Pogoń Szczecin's games and 63% of Nieciecza's. The Over 2.5 rates are 68% and 53%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Pogoń Szczecin has the higher season xG average, 1.80 to 1.42 per game. Pogoń Szczecin takes 16.3 shots per game, while Nieciecza takes 11.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Pogoń Szczecin leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.74 goals per game after halftime. Nieciecza leads at halftime in 37% and scores 0.47 after halftime.

When the teams score

Pogoń Szczecin's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). For Nieciecza, it is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ekstraklasa games average 2.87 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Pogoń Szczecin displays significantly better form in home matches, winning 56% of their games at home and recording an impressive +6 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.33 goals per home game with an xG of 2.03, which indicates high efficiency. Nieciecza performs much worse in away matches, winning only 33% of games and conceding an average of 1.89 goals per match with a negative goal difference of -4. The form from the last five overall matches favors the visitors (1.8 PPG vs 0.8 PPG), however, the home/away match statistics, along with the advantage in possession (49% vs 43%) and the higher quality of shots from the hosts (5.89 vs 4.33 on target per match), give Pogoń a real edge. I expect a close encounter with a slight advantage for the hosts, who should capitalize on their home field advantage.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

57Possession (%)43
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
17Shots20
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
6Shots on target8
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
1.9xG2.31
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
7Corners5
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
57Dangerous attacks70
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
11Fouls14
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
3Cards2
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
1.53Goals scored / game1.26
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
1.79Goals allowed / game1.89
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
52%Average possession46%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
5.05Shots on target / game4.05
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

16.32Shots per game11.63
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
5.05Shots on target4.05
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
9.4%Shot conversion10.9%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
52%Possession46%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
1.8xG for1.42
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
1.76xG against1.93
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza

Shooting quality

Pogoń Szczecin: AttackingNieciecza: Balanced
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
Accuracy (shots on target)31%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Nieciecza is 125% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.8 pts / game - Nieciecza

Pogoń Szczecin
LWLDL
Season result split
32% W16% D53% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-10
1.11 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-3
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWLWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 2.22Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Nieciecza
WWLWL
Season result split
26% W21% D53% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-10
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-4
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DLLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.07Opponent xG: 2.04BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Pogoń Szczecin is 21% better for: goals scored per game.

1.53 goals / game - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.26 goals / game - Nieciecza

Pogoń Szczecin is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.79 goals / game - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.89 goals / game - Nieciecza

Pogoń Szczecin scoring profile: very strong

Pogoń Szczecin scores in 74% of games (14 of 19 meczów), while Nieciecza keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 meczów).

Nieciecza scoring profile: very strong

Nieciecza scores in 79% of games (15 of 19 meczów), while Pogoń Szczecin keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 19 meczów).

29Goals scored (season)24
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
34Goals conceded (season)36
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
3.32Average goals per game3.16
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
9Goals scored (last 5)7
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
9Goals conceded (last 5)8
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal79%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
47%2 goals37%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
16%3 goals5%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
11%4 goals5%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza

How often they concede at least...

95%1 goal84%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
53%2 goals47%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
16%3 goals37%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
11%4 goals16%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

37%BTTS at half-time32%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
5%BTTS in both halves11%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
32%Scored in both halves32%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza

BTTS and goal count

63%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
80%BTTS - last 560%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

89%Min. 1 goal before half-time89%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
53%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time42%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
26%Min. 3 goals after half-time26%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nieciecza is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.11 pts / game - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.42 pts / game - Nieciecza

Pogoń Szczecin - half-time state
26% leading32% draw42% trailing
Nieciecza - half-time state
37% leading32% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.11Points per game (1st half)1.42
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
0.79Goals scored (1st half)0.79
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
0.84Goals conceded (1st half)0.74
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
1.63Average goals (1st half)1.53
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
26%Clean sheet before half-time42%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
47%No goal before half-time37%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza

After half-time (2nd half)

1.32Points per game (2nd half)1
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
0.74Goals scored (2nd half)0.47
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
0.95Goals conceded (2nd half)1.16
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
1.68Average goals (2nd half)1.63
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
53%Clean sheet after half-time37%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza
47%No goal after half-time53%
Pogoń SzczecinNieciecza

Pogoń Szczecin - second-half results

37% W21% D42% L
21
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Nieciecza - second-half results

26% W21% D53% L
27
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding70%

Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 26%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Pogoń Szczecin - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.00
Goals scored / game1.40.4
Goals allowed / game1.00.8
Average goals per game2.41.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals100%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7
Nieciecza - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.40
Goals scored / game0.80.6
Goals allowed / game0.61.0
Average goals per game1.41.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Pogoń Szczecin
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
2
6
16-30
10
5
31-45
3
8
46-60
3
2
61-75
8
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Nieciecza
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
6
4
16-30
4
6
31-45
1
10
46-60
2
8
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.23
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.7 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
66%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-38%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Pogoń Szczecin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
148%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Nieciecza

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.80
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).

Teams vs league

Pogoń SzczecinLigaNieciecza
Average goals per game 3.322.87 3.16
Both teams scored 68%60% 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 68%55% 53%
Clean sheets 5%23% 16%
Goal before half-time 89%74% 89%
Goal after half-time 79%82% 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.87
Average goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.66
Home goals / game
1.21
Away goals / game
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. NiecieczaYellow cardKrzysztof Kubica
  2. Pogoń SzczecinYellow cardFredrik Stensøe Ulvestad
  3. Pogoń SzczecinGoalSam Greenwood
  4. NiecieczaYellow cardMaciej Ambrosiewicz
  5. NiecieczaSubstitutionOn: Radu Ştefăniţă BobocOff: Maciej Wolski
  6. Pogoń SzczecinYellow cardValentin Alexandru Cojocaru
  7. Pogoń SzczecinSubstitutionOn: Hussein AliOff: Leonardo Borges da Silva
  8. NiecieczaGoalRafał Kurzawa
  9. Pogoń SzczecinSubstitutionOn: Musa JuwaraOff: Kamil Grosicki
  10. Pogoń SzczecinYellow cardDanijel Lončar

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Mateusz PiszczelokMatches officiated: 8
4.5Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 238%Home wins50%Draws13%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Pogoń Szczecin's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Nieciecza. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

LKS Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza
1 : 1
MKS Pogoń Szczecin

FAQ

What was the result of Pogoń Szczecin vs Nieciecza?

The Ekstraklasa match finished Pogoń Szczecin 1:1 Nieciecza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Pogoń Szczecin vs Nieciecza?

Pogoń Szczecin score 1.53 goals per game on average and Nieciecza 1.26. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Pogoń Szczecin's matches and 63% of Nieciecza's.

What form are Pogoń Szczecin and Nieciecza in?

Over the last 5 games Pogoń Szczecin have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Nieciecza 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pogoń Szczecin vs Nieciecza?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.