Pogoń Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź: match statistics
Pogoń Szczecin presents significantly better home form with an impressive record of 55% matches won at home and a positive goal difference (+7). The hosts score an average of 2.09 goals per home match with an xG of 2.01, demonstrating their efficiency. Widzew Łódź has very poor away form with as many as 73% of away matches lost and only 27% won, having recorded four defeats in their last five away games. The difference in expected goals is clear in favor of Pogoń (2.01 xG vs 1.49 xG for Widzew), and the form of the last five matches also speaks for the hosts (1.2 PPG vs 0.8 PPG). Taking into account all statistics, especially Pogoń's dominance in home matches and Widzew's away crisis, I predict a victory for the hosts, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the slight difference in the overall quality of the teams.
Pogoń Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Pogoń Szczecin played against Widzew Łódź in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Pogoń Szczecin has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Widzew Łódź has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Pogoń Szczecin scores 1.45 goals per game and allows 1.59. Widzew Łódź scores 1.32 and allows 1.45. Games in this league average 2.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of Pogoń Szczecin's games and 55% of Widzew Łódź's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 55%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Pogoń Szczecin has the higher season xG average, 1.78 to 1.56 per game. Pogoń Szczecin takes 16.1 shots per game, while Widzew Łódź takes 14.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Pogoń Szczecin leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Widzew Łódź leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.73 after halftime.
When the teams score
Pogoń Szczecin's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). For Widzew Łódź, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ekstraklasa games average 2.76 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pogoń Szczecin presents significantly better home form with an impressive record of 55% matches won at home and a positive goal difference (+7). The hosts score an average of 2.09 goals per home match with an xG of 2.01, demonstrating their efficiency. Widzew Łódź has very poor away form with as many as 73% of away matches lost and only 27% won, having recorded four defeats in their last five away games. The difference in expected goals is clear in favor of Pogoń (2.01 xG vs 1.49 xG for Widzew), and the form of the last five matches also speaks for the hosts (1.2 PPG vs 0.8 PPG). Taking into account all statistics, especially Pogoń's dominance in home matches and Widzew's away crisis, I predict a victory for the hosts, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the slight difference in the overall quality of the teams.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Pogoń Szczecin | Widzew Łódź | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Pogoń Szczecin is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Pogoń Szczecin · 0.8 pts / game - Widzew Łódź
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pogoń Szczecin is 10% better for: goals scored per game.
1.45 goals / game - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.32 goals / game - Widzew Łódź
Widzew Łódź is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.59 goals / game - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.45 goals / game - Widzew Łódź
Pogoń Szczecin scores in 77% of games (17 of 22 meczów), while Widzew Łódź keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 meczów).
Widzew Łódź scores in 77% of games (17 of 22 meczów), while Pogoń Szczecin keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pogoń Szczecin
Over / Under - Widzew Łódź
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Widzew Łódź is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / game - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.36 pts / game - Widzew Łódź
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pogoń Szczecin - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Widzew Łódź - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Pogoń Szczecin
Widzew Łódź
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Pogoń Szczecin | Liga | Widzew Łódź | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.05 | 2.76 | • 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 59% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 53% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 24% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Pogoń Szczecin's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Widzew Łódź. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Pogoń Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Pogoń Szczecin 1:0 Widzew Łódź. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pogoń Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź?
Pogoń Szczecin score 1.45 goals per game on average and Widzew Łódź 1.32. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Pogoń Szczecin's matches and 55% of Widzew Łódź's.
What form are Pogoń Szczecin and Widzew Łódź in?
Over the last 5 games Pogoń Szczecin have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Widzew Łódź 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pogoń Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź?
The statistical background for Pogoń Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.