Polessya vs Karpaty: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Polessya play Karpaty in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The match date is 13 December 2025 at 17:00. Final score: 3:2.

Current form

Polessya: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Karpaty: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Polessya scores 1.70 and concedes 0.70 goals per match. Karpaty scores 1.33 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Polessya 30%, Karpaty 37%. Over 2.5: Polessya 40%, Karpaty 40%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Polessya has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.62. Polessya: 14.8 shots per match, Karpaty: 13.6.

Match halves

Polessya: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.73. Karpaty: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

Polessya: 31-45+ (11 goals). Karpaty: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ukrainian Premier League: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
1 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

51Possession (%)49
PolessyaKarpaty
11Shots13
PolessyaKarpaty
5Shots on target5
PolessyaKarpaty
1.4xG1.51
PolessyaKarpaty
2Corners4
PolessyaKarpaty
48Dangerous attacks47
PolessyaKarpaty
8Fouls9
PolessyaKarpaty
0Cards2
PolessyaKarpaty

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.7Goals scored / match1.33
PolessyaKarpaty
0.7Goals conceded / match1.03
PolessyaKarpaty
55%Average possession53%
PolessyaKarpaty
5.1Shots on target / match5.3
PolessyaKarpaty

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.77Shots per match13.63
PolessyaKarpaty
5.1Shots on target5.3
PolessyaKarpaty
11.5%Shot conversion9.8%
PolessyaKarpaty
55%Possession53%
PolessyaKarpaty
1.65xG for1.62
PolessyaKarpaty
1.06xG against1.43
PolessyaKarpaty

Shooting quality

Polessya: DominantKarpaty: Balanced
PolessyaKarpaty
Accuracy (shots on target)35%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Polessya is 100% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Polessya · 1 pts / match - Karpaty

Polessya
WWLDW
Season result split
60% W17% R23% P
Season (W-D-L)
18-5-7
1.97 pts / match · goal difference +30
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-4-3
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.31Opponent xG: 0.98BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Karpaty
DLDWL
Season result split
33% W37% R30% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-11-9
1.37 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-5-4
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WDWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Polessya is 28% better for: goals scored per match.

1.7 goals / match - Polessya · 1.33 goals / match - Karpaty

Polessya is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.7 goals / match - Polessya · 1.03 goals / match - Karpaty

Polessya scoring profile: strong

Polessya scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Karpaty keeps a clean sheet in 47% (14 of 30 matches).

Karpaty scoring profile: mixed

Karpaty scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Polessya keeps a clean sheet in 57% (17 of 30 matches).

51Goals scored (season)40
PolessyaKarpaty
21Goals conceded (season)31
PolessyaKarpaty
2.4Average goals in match2.37
PolessyaKarpaty
7Goals scored (last 5)5
PolessyaKarpaty
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
PolessyaKarpaty

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal70%
PolessyaKarpaty
57%2 goals40%
PolessyaKarpaty
27%3 goals17%
PolessyaKarpaty
13%4 goals7%
PolessyaKarpaty

How often they concede at least...

43%1 goal53%
PolessyaKarpaty
17%2 goals33%
PolessyaKarpaty
7%3 goals17%
PolessyaKarpaty
3%4 goals0%
PolessyaKarpaty

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time10%
PolessyaKarpaty
0%BTTS in both halves7%
PolessyaKarpaty
40%Scored in both halves23%
PolessyaKarpaty

BTTS and goal count

27%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%
PolessyaKarpaty
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
PolessyaKarpaty
40%BTTS - last 540%
PolessyaKarpaty

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
PolessyaKarpaty
37%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
PolessyaKarpaty
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
PolessyaKarpaty

2nd half

70%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
PolessyaKarpaty
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
PolessyaKarpaty
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
PolessyaKarpaty

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Polessya is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.9 pts / match - Polessya · 1.37 pts / match - Karpaty

Polessya - half-time state
50% leading40% draw10% trailing
Karpaty - half-time state
33% leading37% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.9Points per match (1st half)1.37
PolessyaKarpaty
0.97Goals scored (1st half)0.5
PolessyaKarpaty
0.23Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
PolessyaKarpaty
1.2Average goals (1st half)1
PolessyaKarpaty
83%Clean sheet before half-time63%
PolessyaKarpaty
40%No goal before half-time60%
PolessyaKarpaty

After half-time (2nd half)

1.57Points per match (2nd half)1.7
PolessyaKarpaty
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
PolessyaKarpaty
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.53
PolessyaKarpaty
1.2Average goals (2nd half)1.37
PolessyaKarpaty
63%Clean sheet after half-time67%
PolessyaKarpaty
47%No goal after half-time47%
PolessyaKarpaty

Polessya - second-half results

40% W37% R23% P
57
Half-time points
29
Half-time goals
+22
Goal difference (1st half)
47
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.90
PPG before half-time
Lead holding120%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Karpaty - second-half results

47% W30% R23% P
41
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Polessya - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.60
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.8
Average goals in match0.41.8
1 goal40%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Karpaty - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Polessya
ScoredConceded
8
0
0-15
10
2
16-30
11
5
31-45
5
7
46-60
8
2
61-75
9
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Karpaty
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
7
7
16-30
5
5
31-45
10
5
46-60
7
7
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.38
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
34%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
51%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Polessya

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.59
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-18.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
55%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Karpaty

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).

Teams vs league

PolessyaLigaKarpaty
Average goals in match 2.402.57 2.37
Both teams scored 30%43% 37%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%47% 40%
Clean sheets 57%33% 47%
Goal before half-time 67%68% 67%
Goal after half-time 70%76% 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
43%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.29
Home goals / match
1.28
Away goals / match
+1%
Home attack advantage
+1%
Home defence advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Polessya 1 - 0 - 0 Karpaty. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FC Karpaty Lviv
0 : 2
Polessya Zhitomir

FAQ

What was the result of Polessya vs Karpaty?

The Ukrainian Premier League match finished Polessya 3:2 Karpaty. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Polessya vs Karpaty?

Polessya score 1.70 goals per game on average and Karpaty 1.33. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Polessya's matches and 37% of Karpaty's.

What form are Polessya and Karpaty in?

Over the last 5 games Polessya have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Karpaty 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Polessya vs Karpaty?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Polessya vs Karpaty: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.