Police Uganda vs Calvary: match statistics
Police Uganda presents significantly higher form and class than Calvary, reflected in the statistics. The hosts occupy 4th place in the table with 67% home wins, while Calvary sits in 16th position without a single away victory all season. Police Uganda has scored 23 goals this season, conceding only 12, resulting in a +7 goal difference at their home stadium. Conversely, Calvary has scored a mere 6 goals while conceding 22, with a disastrous -12 record on the road. Recent form also favors the hosts - Police has won 3 of their last 5 matches, whereas Calvary has failed to win any of their last 5 away games. Additionally, the visitors failed to score in 71% of away matches, which, combined with Police Uganda's efficiency (18% shot conversion), points to a sure victory for the hosts.
Police Uganda vs Calvary: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Police Uganda played against Calvary in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game was played on January 21, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Police Uganda has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Calvary has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Police Uganda scores 1.92 goals per game and allows 1.00. Calvary scores 0.50 and allows 1.83. Games in this league average 2.32 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 75% of Police Uganda's games and 33% of Calvary's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 33%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Police Uganda has the higher season xG average, 1.75 to 1.17 per game. Police Uganda takes 11.4 shots per game, while Calvary takes 3.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Police Uganda leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.08 goals per game after halftime. Calvary leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.25 after halftime.
When the teams score
Police Uganda's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Calvary, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uganda Premier League games average 2.32 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Police Uganda presents significantly higher form and class than Calvary, reflected in the statistics. The hosts occupy 4th place in the table with 67% home wins, while Calvary sits in 16th position without a single away victory all season. Police Uganda has scored 23 goals this season, conceding only 12, resulting in a +7 goal difference at their home stadium. Conversely, Calvary has scored a mere 6 goals while conceding 22, with a disastrous -12 record on the road. Recent form also favors the hosts - Police has won 3 of their last 5 matches, whereas Calvary has failed to win any of their last 5 away games. Additionally, the visitors failed to score in 71% of away matches, which, combined with Police Uganda's efficiency (18% shot conversion), points to a sure victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Police Uganda | Calvary | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.32 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Police Uganda is 400% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Police Uganda · 0.4 pts / game - Calvary
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Police Uganda is 284% better for: goals scored per game.
1.92 goals / game - Police Uganda · 0.5 goals / game - Calvary
Police Uganda is 83% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Police Uganda · 1.83 goals / game - Calvary
Police Uganda scores in 100% of games (12 of 12 meczów), while Calvary keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 meczów).
Calvary scores in 33% of games (4 of 12 meczów), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Police Uganda
Over / Under - Calvary
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Police Uganda is 238% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / game - Police Uganda · 0.42 pts / game - Calvary
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Police Uganda - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 58%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Calvary - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Police Uganda
Calvary
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Police Uganda | Liga | Calvary | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.92 | 2.32 | • 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 45% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 41% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 32% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 61% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 62% | ▼ 42% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Police Uganda vs Calvary?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Police Uganda 2:0 Calvary. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Police Uganda vs Calvary?
Police Uganda score 1.92 goals per game on average and Calvary 0.50. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Police Uganda's matches and 33% of Calvary's.
What form are Police Uganda and Calvary in?
Over the last 5 games Police Uganda have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Calvary 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police Uganda vs Calvary?
The statistical background for Police Uganda vs Calvary — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


