Police Uganda vs Kitara: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Police Uganda play Kitara in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 27 November 2025 at 14:00. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Police Uganda: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Kitara: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Police Uganda scores 1.40 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Kitara scores 1.38 and concedes 0.72. League average: 2.09 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Police Uganda 63%, Kitara 38%. Over 2.5: Police Uganda 53%, Kitara 31%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

xG, shots and style

Kitara has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.54. Police Uganda: 10.5 shots per match, Kitara: 11.3.

Match halves

Police Uganda: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.77. Kitara: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 0.48.

Goals by minute

Police Uganda: 76-90+ (11 goals). Kitara: 0-15 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
Police UgandaKitara
6Shots11
Police UgandaKitara
3Shots on target5
Police UgandaKitara
0xG0
Police UgandaKitara
3Corners1
Police UgandaKitara
0Dangerous attacks0
Police UgandaKitara
11Fouls19
Police UgandaKitara
0Cards0
Police UgandaKitara

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Police UgandaKitara
1.4Goals scored / match1.38
Police UgandaKitara
1.2Goals conceded / match0.72
Police UgandaKitara
46%Average possession46%
Police UgandaKitara
3.73Shots on target / match4.69
Police UgandaKitara

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.47Shots per match11.31
Police UgandaKitara
3.73Shots on target4.69
Police UgandaKitara
13.4%Shot conversion12.2%
Police UgandaKitara
46%Possession46%
Police UgandaKitara
1.54xG for1.65
Police UgandaKitara
1.5xG against1.31
Police UgandaKitara

Shooting quality

Police Uganda: Counter-attackingKitara: Counter-attacking
Police UgandaKitara
Accuracy (shots on target)36%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Police Uganda
WLLDD
Season result split
43% W23% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-7-10
1.53 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-2-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.10Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Kitara
WLLDD
Season result split
55% W24% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-7-6
1.90 pts / match · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-3-5
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.82Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kitara is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.2 goals / match - Police Uganda · 0.72 goals / match - Kitara

Police Uganda scoring profile: strong

Police Uganda scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while Kitara keeps a clean sheet in 45% (13 of 29 matches).

Kitara scoring profile: very strong

Kitara scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).

42Goals scored (season)40
Police UgandaKitara
36Goals conceded (season)21
Police UgandaKitara
2.6Average goals in match2.1
Police UgandaKitara
5Goals scored (last 5)7
Police UgandaKitara
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
Police UgandaKitara

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal76%
Police UgandaKitara
47%2 goals41%
Police UgandaKitara
7%3 goals14%
Police UgandaKitara
3%4 goals7%
Police UgandaKitara

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal55%
Police UgandaKitara
30%2 goals14%
Police UgandaKitara
10%3 goals3%
Police UgandaKitara
3%4 goals0%
Police UgandaKitara

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time10%
Police UgandaKitara
0%BTTS in both halves3%
Police UgandaKitara
20%Scored in both halves21%
Police UgandaKitara

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS24%
Police UgandaKitara
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
Police UgandaKitara
40%BTTS - last 560%
Police UgandaKitara

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
Police UgandaKitara
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
Police UgandaKitara
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
Police UgandaKitara

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time55%
Police UgandaKitara
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time24%
Police UgandaKitara
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time7%
Police UgandaKitara

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kitara is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.27 pts / match - Police Uganda · 1.93 pts / match - Kitara

Police Uganda - half-time state
27% leading47% draw27% trailing
Kitara - half-time state
55% leading28% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per match (1st half)1.93
Police UgandaKitara
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.9
Police UgandaKitara
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.34
Police UgandaKitara
1.13Average goals (1st half)1.24
Police UgandaKitara
57%Clean sheet before half-time76%
Police UgandaKitara
53%No goal before half-time38%
Police UgandaKitara

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per match (2nd half)1.21
Police UgandaKitara
0.77Goals scored (2nd half)0.48
Police UgandaKitara
0.63Goals conceded (2nd half)0.38
Police UgandaKitara
1.4Average goals (2nd half)0.86
Police UgandaKitara
50%Clean sheet after half-time62%
Police UgandaKitara
47%No goal after half-time66%
Police UgandaKitara

Police Uganda - second-half results

40% W27% R33% P
38
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding159%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kitara - second-half results

21% W59% R21% P
56
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+16
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.93
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Police Uganda - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Kitara - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.81.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Police Uganda
ScoredConceded
6
5
0-15
9
4
16-30
4
8
31-45
4
3
46-60
8
4
61-75
11
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Kitara
ScoredConceded
12
2
0-15
2
4
16-30
12
4
31-45
4
1
46-60
1
6
61-75
9
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.35
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
51%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+70%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Police Uganda

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
145%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Kitara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.59
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
166%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
57%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.90
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 30% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

Police UgandaLigaKitara
Average goals in match 2.602.09 2.10
Both teams scored 63%38% 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%35% 31%
Clean sheets 23%39% 45%
Goal before half-time 67%59% 76%
Goal after half-time 83%62% 55%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.09
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.26
Home goals / match
0.83
Away goals / match
+52%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Police Uganda 0 - 1 - 0 Kitara. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Police Uganda vs Kitara?

The Uganda Premier League match finished Police Uganda 1:2 Kitara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Police Uganda vs Kitara?

Police Uganda score 1.40 goals per game on average and Kitara 1.38. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Police Uganda's matches and 38% of Kitara's.

What form are Police Uganda and Kitara in?

Over the last 5 games Police Uganda have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Kitara 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police Uganda vs Kitara?

The statistical background for Police Uganda vs Kitara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.