Police Uganda vs Lugazi Municipal: match statistics
Police Uganda clearly dominates this matchup, occupying 6th place in the table with an impressive 71% home win rate and a +9 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts are in excellent form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2 goals per game while maintaining 43% clean sheets. Lugazi Municipal finds itself in a difficult situation in 11th position, having won no away matches this season (0% Win%) and averaging just 0.13 goals per away game. The visitors are failing offensively with an alarming rate of 88% matches without scoring away, which, combined with Police Uganda's solid defense (0.71 goals conceded on average at home), practically rules out their chances for points. The difference in quality, form, and xG statistics (1.85 vs 1.22) unequivocally points to a certain home victory.
Police Uganda vs Lugazi Municipal: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Police Uganda played against Lugazi Municipal in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game was played on February 12, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Police Uganda has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Lugazi Municipal has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Police Uganda scores 1.73 goals per game and allows 1.07. Lugazi Municipal scores 0.87 and allows 1.27. Games in this league average 2.24 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Police Uganda's games and 40% of Lugazi Municipal's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 47%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 39% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Police Uganda has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.44 per game. Police Uganda takes 11.5 shots per game, while Lugazi Municipal takes 8.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Police Uganda leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 1.07 goals per game after halftime. Lugazi Municipal leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.40 after halftime.
When the teams score
Police Uganda's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Lugazi Municipal, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uganda Premier League games average 2.24 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 39% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Police Uganda clearly dominates this matchup, occupying 6th place in the table with an impressive 71% home win rate and a +9 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts are in excellent form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2 goals per game while maintaining 43% clean sheets. Lugazi Municipal finds itself in a difficult situation in 11th position, having won no away matches this season (0% Win%) and averaging just 0.13 goals per away game. The visitors are failing offensively with an alarming rate of 88% matches without scoring away, which, combined with Police Uganda's solid defense (0.71 goals conceded on average at home), practically rules out their chances for points. The difference in quality, form, and xG statistics (1.85 vs 1.22) unequivocally points to a certain home victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Police Uganda | Lugazi Municipal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Police Uganda is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Police Uganda · 1 pts / game - Lugazi Municipal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Police Uganda is 99% better for: goals scored per game.
1.73 goals / game - Police Uganda · 0.87 goals / game - Lugazi Municipal
Police Uganda is 19% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.07 goals / game - Police Uganda · 1.27 goals / game - Lugazi Municipal
Police Uganda scores in 93% of games (14 of 15 games), while Lugazi Municipal keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 games).
Lugazi Municipal scores in 40% of games (6 of 15 games), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Police Uganda
Over / Under - Lugazi Municipal
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Police Uganda - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 53%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Lugazi Municipal - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 20%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Police Uganda
Lugazi Municipal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Police Uganda | Liga | Lugazi Municipal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.80 | 2.24 | ▼ 2.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 42% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 39% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 36% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 60% | • 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Police Uganda's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Lugazi Municipal. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Police Uganda vs Lugazi Municipal?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Police Uganda 2:1 Lugazi Municipal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Police Uganda vs Lugazi Municipal?
Police Uganda score 1.73 goals per game on average and Lugazi Municipal 0.87. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Police Uganda's matches and 40% of Lugazi Municipal's.
What form are Police Uganda and Lugazi Municipal in?
Over the last 5 games Police Uganda have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Lugazi Municipal 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police Uganda vs Lugazi Municipal?
The statistical background for Police Uganda vs Lugazi Municipal — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.