Police Uganda vs Lugazi Municipal: match statistics
Police Uganda clearly dominates this matchup, occupying 6th place in the table with an impressive 71% home win rate and a +9 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts are in excellent form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2 goals per game while maintaining 43% clean sheets. Lugazi Municipal finds itself in a difficult situation in 11th position, having won no away matches this season (0% Win%) and averaging just 0.13 goals per away game. The visitors are failing offensively with an alarming rate of 88% matches without scoring away, which, combined with Police Uganda's solid defense (0.71 goals conceded on average at home), practically rules out their chances for points. The difference in quality, form, and xG statistics (1.85 vs 1.22) unequivocally points to a certain home victory.
Police Uganda vs Lugazi Municipal: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Police Uganda play Lugazi Municipal in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 12 February 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Police Uganda: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Lugazi Municipal: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Police Uganda scores 1.40 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Lugazi Municipal scores 0.63 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Police Uganda 63%, Lugazi Municipal 30%. Over 2.5: Police Uganda 53%, Lugazi Municipal 37%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Police Uganda has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.28. Police Uganda: 10.5 shots per match, Lugazi Municipal: 8.2.
Match halves
Police Uganda: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.77. Lugazi Municipal: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.30.
Goals by minute
Police Uganda: 76-90+ (11 goals). Lugazi Municipal: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Police Uganda clearly dominates this matchup, occupying 6th place in the table with an impressive 71% home win rate and a +9 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts are in excellent form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2 goals per game while maintaining 43% clean sheets. Lugazi Municipal finds itself in a difficult situation in 11th position, having won no away matches this season (0% Win%) and averaging just 0.13 goals per away game. The visitors are failing offensively with an alarming rate of 88% matches without scoring away, which, combined with Police Uganda's solid defense (0.71 goals conceded on average at home), practically rules out their chances for points. The difference in quality, form, and xG statistics (1.85 vs 1.22) unequivocally points to a certain home victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Police Uganda | Lugazi Municipal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Police Uganda is 122% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Police Uganda · 0.63 goals / match - Lugazi Municipal
Police Uganda scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while Lugazi Municipal keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
Lugazi Municipal scores in 37% of matches (11 of 30 matches), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Police Uganda
Over / Under — Lugazi Municipal
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Police Uganda is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Police Uganda · 1.1 pts / match - Lugazi Municipal
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Police Uganda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lugazi Municipal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 17%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Police Uganda
Lugazi Municipal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Police Uganda | Liga | Lugazi Municipal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.60 | 2.09 | ▼ 1.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 38% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 35% | ▲ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 39% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 62% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Police Uganda 0 - 1 - 0 Lugazi Municipal. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Police Uganda vs Lugazi Municipal?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Police Uganda 2:1 Lugazi Municipal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Police Uganda vs Lugazi Municipal?
Police Uganda score 1.40 goals per game on average and Lugazi Municipal 0.63. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Police Uganda's matches and 30% of Lugazi Municipal's.
What form are Police Uganda and Lugazi Municipal in?
Over the last 5 games Police Uganda have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Lugazi Municipal 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police Uganda vs Lugazi Municipal?
The statistical background for Police Uganda vs Lugazi Municipal — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.