Police Uganda vs SC Villa: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a tightly contested matchup with a slight advantage for the hosts. Police Uganda displays solid home form with a 67% home win rate and a +8 goal difference, though their last five overall matches show a dip in form (only 1 PPG). SC Villa sits higher in the standings and stands out with excellent away defense (50% clean sheets, an average of 0.75 goals conceded), as well as better current form (1.8 PPG in the last five matches). The visitors are undefeated in their last five fixtures, confirming their stability. Taking into account Police Uganda's home advantage, alongside SC Villa's solid defense and good form, a draw seems the most probable scenario, although the hosts hold a slight edge thanks to their home-field advantage.
Police Uganda vs SC Villa: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Police Uganda played against SC Villa in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game was played on March 10, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Police Uganda has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. SC Villa has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Police Uganda scores 1.58 goals per game and allows 1.16. SC Villa scores 1.44 and allows 0.56. Games in this league average 2.15 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 68% of Police Uganda's games and 39% of SC Villa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 39%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 36% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Police Uganda has the higher season xG average, 1.66 to 1.41 per game. Police Uganda takes 11.5 shots per game, while SC Villa takes 9.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Police Uganda leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.89 goals per game after halftime. SC Villa leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
Police Uganda's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For SC Villa, it is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uganda Premier League games average 2.15 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 36% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a tightly contested matchup with a slight advantage for the hosts. Police Uganda displays solid home form with a 67% home win rate and a +8 goal difference, though their last five overall matches show a dip in form (only 1 PPG). SC Villa sits higher in the standings and stands out with excellent away defense (50% clean sheets, an average of 0.75 goals conceded), as well as better current form (1.8 PPG in the last five matches). The visitors are undefeated in their last five fixtures, confirming their stability. Taking into account Police Uganda's home advantage, alongside SC Villa's solid defense and good form, a draw seems the most probable scenario, although the hosts hold a slight edge thanks to their home-field advantage.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Police Uganda | SC Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
SC Villa is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Police Uganda · 1.8 pts / game - SC Villa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Police Uganda is 10% better for: goals scored per game.
1.58 goals / game - Police Uganda · 1.44 goals / game - SC Villa
SC Villa is 107% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.16 goals / game - Police Uganda · 0.56 goals / game - SC Villa
Police Uganda scores in 89% of games (17 of 19 games), while SC Villa keeps a clean sheet in 56% (10 of 18 games).
SC Villa scores in 78% of games (14 of 18 games), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Police Uganda
Over / Under - SC Villa
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
SC Villa is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / game - Police Uganda · 1.44 pts / game - SC Villa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Police Uganda - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
SC Villa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Police Uganda
SC Villa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Police Uganda | Liga | SC Villa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.74 | 2.15 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 41% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 36% | ▲ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 37% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 60% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Police Uganda's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against SC Villa. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Police Uganda vs SC Villa?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Police Uganda 1:0 SC Villa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Police Uganda vs SC Villa?
Police Uganda score 1.58 goals per game on average and SC Villa 1.44. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Police Uganda's matches and 39% of SC Villa's.
What form are Police Uganda and SC Villa in?
Over the last 5 games Police Uganda have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and SC Villa 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police Uganda vs SC Villa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.