Kenya - Kenyan Premier LeagueData current as of 22 July 2026

Police vs APS Bomet: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Police vs APS Bomet: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Police play APS Bomet in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 28 February 2026 at 13:00.

Current form

Police: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. APS Bomet: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Police scores 0.97 and concedes 0.62 goals per match. APS Bomet scores 1.00 and concedes 1.18. League average: 2.01 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Police 31%, APS Bomet 50%. Over 2.5: Police 21%, APS Bomet 43%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.

xG, shots and style

Police has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.17. Police: 12.4 shots per match, APS Bomet: 7.3.

Match halves

Police: half-time lead 3%, second-half goals 0.00. APS Bomet: half-time lead 4%, second-half goals 0.14.

Goals by minute

Police: 0-15 (27 goals). APS Bomet: 0-15 (22 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kenyan Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.97Goals scored / match1
PoliceAPS Bomet
0.62Goals conceded / match1.18
PoliceAPS Bomet
51%Average possession44%
PoliceAPS Bomet
3.97Shots on target / match2.54
PoliceAPS Bomet

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.38Shots per match7.25
PoliceAPS Bomet
3.97Shots on target2.54
PoliceAPS Bomet
7.8%Shot conversion13.8%
PoliceAPS Bomet
51%Possession44%
PoliceAPS Bomet
1.62xG for1.17
PoliceAPS Bomet
1.36xG against1.4
PoliceAPS Bomet

Shooting quality

Police: BalancedAPS Bomet: Counter-attacking
PoliceAPS Bomet
Accuracy (shots on target)32%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Police is 44% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Police · 1.8 pts / match - APS Bomet

Police
WDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
45% W38% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-11-5
1.72 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-7-2
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 2.00Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
APS Bomet
DDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
21% W36% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-10-12
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-4-5
Last 5 away
2-2-1
LDDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Police is 90% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.62 goals / match - Police · 1.18 goals / match - APS Bomet

Police scoring profile: strong

Police scores in 62% of matches (18 of 29 matches), while APS Bomet keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).

APS Bomet scoring profile: mixed

APS Bomet scores in 61% of matches (17 of 28 matches), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 52% (15 of 29 matches).

28Goals scored (season)28
PoliceAPS Bomet
18Goals conceded (season)33
PoliceAPS Bomet
1.59Average goals in match2.18
PoliceAPS Bomet
8Goals scored (last 5)5
PoliceAPS Bomet
2Goals conceded (last 5)1
PoliceAPS Bomet

How often they score at least...

62%1 goal61%
PoliceAPS Bomet
28%2 goals25%
PoliceAPS Bomet
7%3 goals11%
PoliceAPS Bomet
0%4 goals4%
PoliceAPS Bomet

How often they concede at least...

48%1 goal68%
PoliceAPS Bomet
14%2 goals32%
PoliceAPS Bomet
0%3 goals11%
PoliceAPS Bomet
0%4 goals7%
PoliceAPS Bomet

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time7%
PoliceAPS Bomet
0%BTTS in both halves4%
PoliceAPS Bomet
0%Scored in both halves4%
PoliceAPS Bomet

BTTS and goal count

17%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
PoliceAPS Bomet
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
PoliceAPS Bomet
40%BTTS - last 520%
PoliceAPS Bomet

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

7%Min. 1 goal before half-time14%
PoliceAPS Bomet
7%Min. 2 goals before half-time7%
PoliceAPS Bomet
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time4%
PoliceAPS Bomet

2nd half

3%Min. 1 goal after half-time25%
PoliceAPS Bomet
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time11%
PoliceAPS Bomet
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time4%
PoliceAPS Bomet

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Police - half-time state
3% leading93% draw3% trailing
APS Bomet - half-time state
4% leading89% draw7% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.03Points per match (1st half)1
PoliceAPS Bomet
0.07Goals scored (1st half)0.11
PoliceAPS Bomet
0.07Goals conceded (1st half)0.18
PoliceAPS Bomet
0.14Average goals (1st half)0.29
PoliceAPS Bomet
97%Clean sheet before half-time89%
PoliceAPS Bomet
97%No goal before half-time89%
PoliceAPS Bomet

After half-time (2nd half)

0.97Points per match (2nd half)0.93
PoliceAPS Bomet
0Goals scored (2nd half)0.14
PoliceAPS Bomet
0.03Goals conceded (2nd half)0.25
PoliceAPS Bomet
0.03Average goals (2nd half)0.39
PoliceAPS Bomet
97%Clean sheet after half-time79%
PoliceAPS Bomet
100%No goal after half-time86%
PoliceAPS Bomet

Police - second-half results

0% W97% R3% P
30
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.03
PPG before half-time
Lead holding1500%

Leads at half-time in 3% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

APS Bomet - second-half results

4% W82% R14% P
28
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding525%

Leads at half-time in 4% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Police - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.00.0
1 goal0%0%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
APS Bomet - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match0.20.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.20.0
1 goal20%0%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal80%100%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Police
ScoredConceded
27
16
0-15
1
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (27 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

APS Bomet
ScoredConceded
22
25
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
2
46-60
0
0
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (22 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (25). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.89
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-47%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
15%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Police

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.65
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.74
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.88
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 96% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

APS Bomet

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.80
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 79% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

PoliceLigaAPS Bomet
Average goals in match 1.592.01 2.18
Both teams scored 31%43% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 21%33% 43%
Clean sheets 52%36% 32%
Goal before half-time 7%21% 14%
Goal after half-time 3%22% 25%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.01
Average goals per match
43%
Both teams scored
33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
36%
Clean sheets
1.02
Home goals / match
0.99
Away goals / match
+3%
Home attack advantage
+3%
Home defence advantage
+-2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
21%
1 goal
8%
2 goals
2%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
22%
1 goal
11%
2 goals
2%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Police 1 - 0 - 0 APS Bomet. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

APS Bomet
0 : 1
Police

FAQ

When do Police and APS Bomet play?

Police face APS Bomet on 28 February 2026 in Kenyan Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Police vs APS Bomet?

Police score 0.97 goals per game on average and APS Bomet 1.00. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Police's matches and 50% of APS Bomet's.

What form are Police and APS Bomet in?

Over the last 5 games Police have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and APS Bomet 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police vs APS Bomet?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Police vs APS Bomet: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.