Police vs Nairobi United: match statistics
Nairobi United displays significantly better away form with a 60% win rate and a superior goal difference (+1) on the road. Police has a very poor home offense, averaging only 0.29 goals per home match, with 71% of games ending without them scoring. The visitors average 0.8 goals away and have a higher average of shots on target (4.0 vs 2.29). Nairobi United also achieves better xG values (0.87 vs 0.75), confirming their offensive advantage. Given Police's poor efficiency in home matches (29% win rate) and the solid away form of the guests, I predict a win for Nairobi United.
Police vs Nairobi United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Police played against Nairobi United in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game was played on January 16, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Police has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Nairobi United has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Police scores 0.75 goals per game and allows 0.69. Nairobi United scores 1.25 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 1.92 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 25% of Police's games and 44% of Nairobi United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 19% and 31%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 30% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nairobi United has the higher season xG average, 1.61 to 1.57 per game. Police takes 11.3 shots per game, while Nairobi United takes 10.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Police leads at halftime in 6% of its games and scores 0.00 goals per game after halftime. Nairobi United leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.31 after halftime.
When the teams score
Police's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (11 goals). For Nairobi United, it is minutes 0-15 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kenyan Premier League games average 1.92 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 30% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nairobi United displays significantly better away form with a 60% win rate and a superior goal difference (+1) on the road. Police has a very poor home offense, averaging only 0.29 goals per home match, with 71% of games ending without them scoring. The visitors average 0.8 goals away and have a higher average of shots on target (4.0 vs 2.29). Nairobi United also achieves better xG values (0.87 vs 0.75), confirming their offensive advantage. Given Police's poor efficiency in home matches (29% win rate) and the solid away form of the guests, I predict a win for Nairobi United.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Police | Nairobi United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nairobi United is 67% better for: goals scored per game.
0.75 goals / game - Police · 1.25 goals / game - Nairobi United
Police is 64% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.69 goals / game - Police · 1.13 goals / game - Nairobi United
Police scores in 50% of games (8 of 16 meczów), while Nairobi United keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 meczów).
Nairobi United scores in 69% of games (11 of 16 meczów), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Police
Over / Under - Nairobi United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nairobi United is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / game - Police · 1.19 pts / game - Nairobi United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Police - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 6% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Nairobi United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Police
Nairobi United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Police | Liga | Nairobi United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.44 | 1.92 | ▲ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 41% | ▲ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 19% | 30% | • 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 38% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 13% | 32% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 6% | 35% | ▲ 38% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Police vs Nairobi United?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Police 1:1 Nairobi United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Police vs Nairobi United?
Police score 0.75 goals per game on average and Nairobi United 1.25. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Police's matches and 44% of Nairobi United's.
What form are Police and Nairobi United in?
Over the last 5 games Police have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Nairobi United 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police vs Nairobi United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Police vs Nairobi United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.