Tanzania - Ligi kuu BaraData current as of October 19, 2026

Polisi Morogoro vs Pamba Jiji: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Polisi Morogoro vs Pamba Jiji: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Polisi Morogoro plays Pamba Jiji in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The game is scheduled for October 23, 2026.

Recent form

Polisi Morogoro has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Pamba Jiji has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Polisi Morogoro scores 1.38 goals per game and allows 1.25. Pamba Jiji scores 1.13 and allows 1.75. Games in this league average 2.56 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 63% of Polisi Morogoro's games and 63% of Pamba Jiji's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 63%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Polisi Morogoro has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.00 per game. Polisi Morogoro takes 8.5 shots per game, while Pamba Jiji takes 4.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Polisi Morogoro leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Pamba Jiji leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Polisi Morogoro's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Pamba Jiji, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ligi kuu Bara games average 2.56 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
1.38Goals scored / game1.13
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
1.25Goals allowed / game1.75
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
39%Average possession47%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
4Shots on target / game1.88
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

8.5Shots per game4.25
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
4Shots on target1.88
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
16.2%Shot conversion26.5%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
39%Possession47%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
1.44xG for1
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
1.39xG against1.46
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji

Shooting quality

Polisi Morogoro: Counter-attackingPamba Jiji: Counter-attacking
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
Accuracy (shots on target)47%44%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.24
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.60

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Polisi Morogoro
LLWLD
Season result split
38% W25% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-3
1.38 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
DWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Pamba Jiji
LLLWD
Season result split
13% W25% D63% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-5
0.63 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Last 5 away
0-1-3
LLLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.16Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Polisi Morogoro is 22% better for: goals scored per game.

1.38 goals / game - Polisi Morogoro · 1.13 goals / game - Pamba Jiji

Polisi Morogoro is 40% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.25 goals / game - Polisi Morogoro · 1.75 goals / game - Pamba Jiji

Polisi Morogoro scoring profile: very strong

Polisi Morogoro scores in 100% of games (8 of 8 games), while Pamba Jiji keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 games).

Pamba Jiji scoring profile: strong

Pamba Jiji scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 games), while Polisi Morogoro keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 games).

11Goals scored (season)9
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
10Goals conceded (season)14
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
2.63Average goals per game2.88
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
7Goals scored (last 5)6
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
9Goals conceded (last 5)9
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal75%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
38%2 goals13%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
0%3 goals13%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
0%4 goals13%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal88%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
38%2 goals63%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
13%3 goals25%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
13%4 goals0%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

51%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time38%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
13%Scored in both halves13%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
80%BTTS - last 540%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time100%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time13%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Polisi Morogoro is 84% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.38 pts / game - Polisi Morogoro · 0.75 pts / game - Pamba Jiji

Polisi Morogoro - half-time state
38% leading25% draw38% trailing
Pamba Jiji - half-time state
13% leading38% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per game (1st half)0.75
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
0.75Goals scored (1st half)0.63
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)1.63
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
1.5Average goals (1st half)2.25
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
63%Clean sheet before half-time13%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
50%No goal before half-time50%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per game (2nd half)1.63
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.13
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
1.13Average goals (2nd half)0.63
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
50%Clean sheet after half-time88%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji
38%No goal after half-time63%
Polisi MorogoroPamba Jiji

Polisi Morogoro - second-half results

25% W63% D13% L
11
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Pamba Jiji - second-half results

38% W50% D13% L
6
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 13%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-1.5

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Polisi Morogoro - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.20
Goals scored / game0.80.6
Goals allowed / game1.20.6
Average goals per game2.01.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Pamba Jiji - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.80
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game1.80.0
Average goals per game2.40.6
1 goal100%40%
2 goals100%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%100%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-6+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Polisi Morogoro
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
3
16-30
4
2
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
2
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Pamba Jiji
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
2
5
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Polisi Morogoro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
121%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.58
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Pamba Jiji

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).

Teams vs league

Polisi MorogoroLigaPamba Jiji
Average goals per game• 2.632.56▲ 2.88
Both teams scored▲ 63%51%▲ 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 38%44%▲ 63%
Clean sheets▲ 38%25%▼ 13%
Goal before half-time• 75%76%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▲ 75%71%▼ 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.56
Average goals per game
51%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / game
1.03
Away goals / game
+48%
Home attack advantage
+32%
Home defensive advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Polisi Morogoro and Pamba Jiji play?

Polisi Morogoro face Pamba Jiji on October 23, 2026 in Ligi kuu Bara. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Polisi Morogoro vs Pamba Jiji?

Polisi Morogoro score 1.38 goals per game on average and Pamba Jiji 1.13. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Polisi Morogoro's matches and 63% of Pamba Jiji's.

What form are Polisi Morogoro and Pamba Jiji in?

Over the last 5 games Polisi Morogoro have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Pamba Jiji 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Polisi Morogoro vs Pamba Jiji?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.