Polonia Środa vs Tłuchowia Tłuchowo: match statistics
Polonia Środa vs Tłuchowia Tłuchowo: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Polonia Środa played against Tłuchowia Tłuchowo in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The game was played on May 8, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Polonia Środa has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Polonia Środa scores 1.93 goals per game and allows 1.31. Tłuchowia Tłuchowo scores 0.86 and allows 1.86. Games in this league average 2.95 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 59% of Polonia Środa's games and 41% of Tłuchowia Tłuchowo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 52%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Polonia Środa has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.34 per game. Polonia Środa takes 9.2 shots per game, while Tłuchowia Tłuchowo takes 8.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Polonia Środa leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 1.07 goals per game after halftime. Tłuchowia Tłuchowo leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.41 after halftime.
When the teams score
Polonia Środa's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (14 goals). For Tłuchowia Tłuchowo, it is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
3 Liga Group 2 games average 2.95 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Polonia Środa holds a clear seasonal advantage in attack – 56 goals scored versus Tłuchowia’s 25, with a home scoring rate of 2.14 goals per match compared to the visitors’ 0.93 on the road. The hosts produce more shots (15.33 vs 10.88) and more shots on target (6.5 vs 4.5), with superior conversion rate 15% versus the opponents’ 8% and higher xG (1.78 vs 1.28), indicating better quality and efficiency of chances. Defensively Polonia concedes 1.71 goals at home while Tłuchowia concedes 2.00 away and has a negative away goal difference of -15; xG against is 1.45 for the hosts versus 1.82 for the visitors, which also favors the hosts in head-to-head terms. The last five matches show poor form for both teams (Polonia: 0 wins, 3 goals scored and 6 conceded; Tłuchowia: 0 wins, 4 scored and 9 conceded), but the high percentage of matches without a goal for the visitors (FTS 43% vs 14% for the hosts) increases Polonia’s probability of winning.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict a 'No' (both teams not to score) is more likely — I assign it 60% probability vs 40% for 'Yes'. Both sides have low goalscoring averages: Polonia 0.8 G/Match and Tłuchowia 0.93, with conceded averages of 1.73 and 2.00 respectively, which more often produces one-sided matches than goal exchanges. Season BTTS rates are 47% for Polonia and only 36% for Tłuchowia, and in the last 5 matches both have BTTS at 40%, indicating limited frequency of mutual scoring. Although season xG are 1.37 (Polonia) and 1.28 (Tłuchowia), actual conversion is low (conversion rate 7% and 8%), and in the last 5 matches Polonia scored 3 and conceded 6 while Tłuchowia scored 4 and conceded 9, so many created chances do not become goals. Consequently, despite the league-wide BTTS of 53%, the teams’ profiles (low finishing efficiency and relatively low season BTTS) provide a stronger signal for 'No' in this fixture.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model predicts a total of 3.08 expected goals: home around 1.60 (attacking xG 1.37 vs conceded xG 1.82 → (1.37+1.82)/2≈1.60), away around 1.48 (attacking xG 1.28 vs conceded xG 1.69 → ≈1.48). Actual goal averages are lower: Polonia scores 0.80 goals per game, Tłuchowia 0.93, and shot conversion is 7% and 8% on averages of 11.07 and 10.88 shots, yielding simple outputs of ~0.77 and ~0.87 goals — indicating underperformance in finishing despite high xG. Season-long percentages confirm a tendency for goals: Over 1.5 in 67% of Polonia’s matches and 64% of Tłuchowia’s, Over 2.5 in 53% and 50% (league 56% Over 2.5), and Over 0.5 in as many as 87% and 86% of games, supporting a minimum two-goal scenario. Additionally, BTTS occurs in 47%/36% of matches, and the second half yields on average 1.8 (home) and 1.46 (away) goals with Over 0.5 in the 2nd half in 73%/62% of games, which increases the likelihood of further goals after halftime. Based on this I recommend backing Over 1.5 (strongest signal), with estimated P(over1.5)=78%, P(over2.5)=60% and P(over3.5)=32% (thus under probabilities 22%, 40%, 68% respectively).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 2/2 (away leading at the break and winning) because the data indicate an away advantage in the first half: away teams score on average 0.62 goals by halftime vs 0.27 for home teams and have 21 first-half goals versus 11 for hosts. Away sides led at the break in 31% of matches, while home teams did so in only 20%, and full-season figures also favor the visitors (1.0 points per game vs 0.67 for hosts and 29% wins vs 13%). Although home teams have a slightly higher xG (1.37 home vs 1.28 away), the visitors register more shots on target (4.5 vs 3.86) and a higher conversion rate (8% vs 7%), reflecting greater efficiency in creating chances. Hosts score more frequently late (6 goals in minutes 61–75), so a turnaround is possible, but overall first-half numbers and season metrics provide a stronger signal for the away team to keep the lead at the break and secure the Half-Time/Full-Time away win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Polonia Środa | Tłuchowia Tłuchowo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Polonia Środa · 0.6 pts / game - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Polonia Środa is 124% better for: goals scored per game.
1.93 goals / game - Polonia Środa · 0.86 goals / game - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Polonia Środa is 42% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.31 goals / game - Polonia Środa · 1.86 goals / game - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Polonia Środa scores in 86% of games (25 of 29 meczów), while Tłuchowia Tłuchowo keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 meczów).
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo scores in 55% of games (16 of 29 meczów), while Polonia Środa keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Polonia Środa
Over / Under - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Polonia Środa is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / game - Polonia Środa · 1.1 pts / game - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Polonia Środa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 21%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Polonia Środa
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Polonia Środa | Liga | Tłuchowia Tłuchowo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.24 | 2.95 | ▼ 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 53% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 56% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 27% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 69% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 73% | ▼ 66% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Polonia ŚrodaGoalPatryk Mikita
- Polonia ŚrodaGoalSzymon Sarbinowski
Head-to-head
Record from Polonia Środa's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Tłuchowia Tłuchowo. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Polonia Środa vs Tłuchowia Tłuchowo?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Polonia Środa 3:1 Tłuchowia Tłuchowo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Polonia Środa vs Tłuchowia Tłuchowo?
Polonia Środa score 1.93 goals per game on average and Tłuchowia Tłuchowo 0.86. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Polonia Środa's matches and 41% of Tłuchowia Tłuchowo's.
What form are Polonia Środa and Tłuchowia Tłuchowo in?
Over the last 5 games Polonia Środa have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Tłuchowia Tłuchowo 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Polonia Środa vs Tłuchowia Tłuchowo?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.