Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów: match statistics
Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Polonia Warszawa play Chrobry Głogów in 1. Liga (Poland). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 19:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Polonia Warszawa: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Chrobry Głogów: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Polonia Warszawa scores 1.54 and concedes 1.49 goals per match. Chrobry Głogów scores 1.39 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Polonia Warszawa 71%, Chrobry Głogów 58%. Over 2.5: Polonia Warszawa 60%, Chrobry Głogów 50%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Polonia Warszawa has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.61. Polonia Warszawa: 14.8 shots per match, Chrobry Głogów: 13.1.
Match halves
Polonia Warszawa: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.94. Chrobry Głogów: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Polonia Warszawa: 76-90+ (14 goals). Chrobry Głogów: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
The favorites are the visitors — Chrobry Głogów sit 2nd vs Polonia’s 5th, with 14 wins this season (Polonia 12) and a 50% away win rate compared to Polonia’s 36% home win rate. Chrobry’s key advantage is defense: the visitors concede 0.93 goals per away match, keep a clean sheet in 36% of games vs Polonia’s 29%, and have a +5 away goal difference while Polonia have -5 at home and concede 1.64 on average. Offensively both teams nominally average 1.29 goals per game, but Polonia generate xG 1.71 at home and still score only 1.29 (≈ -0.42), whereas Chrobry have xG 1.59 and score 1.29 (≈ -0.30), indicating better efficiency from the visitors. Polonia do produce slightly more shots (14 vs 12.71) and more shots on target (4.43 vs 4.14), yet this does not convert into goals. Form supports the visitors’ edge: Polonia in the last 5 matches have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses (0.8 pts/match) and conceded 10 goals; Chrobry have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses (1.4 pts/match) and conceded 6 goals. Considering Chrobry’s superior defense, higher away win rate and Polonia’s poorer chance conversion (percentage of matches without scoring 29% vs 21%), I predict a Chrobry victory (approximately 55% probability).
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Polonia Warszawa | Chrobry Głogów | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Polonia Warszawa is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Polonia Warszawa · 1 pts / match - Chrobry Głogów
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Polonia Warszawa is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.54 goals / match - Polonia Warszawa · 1.39 goals / match - Chrobry Głogów
Chrobry Głogów is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.49 goals / match - Polonia Warszawa · 1.08 goals / match - Chrobry Głogów
Polonia Warszawa scores in 83% of matches (29 of 35 matches), while Chrobry Głogów keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).
Chrobry Głogów scores in 81% of matches (29 of 36 matches), while Polonia Warszawa keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Polonia Warszawa
Over / Under — Chrobry Głogów
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Polonia Warszawa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Chrobry Głogów - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Polonia Warszawa
Chrobry Głogów
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Polonia Warszawa | Liga | Chrobry Głogów | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.03 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 65% | ▼ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 60% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 20% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 74% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Polonia Warszawa 0 - 0 - 1 Chrobry Głogów. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów?
The 1. Liga match finished Polonia Warszawa 1:0 Chrobry Głogów. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów?
Polonia Warszawa score 1.54 goals per game on average and Chrobry Głogów 1.39. The 1. Liga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Polonia Warszawa's matches and 58% of Chrobry Głogów's.
What form are Polonia Warszawa and Chrobry Głogów in?
Over the last 5 games Polonia Warszawa have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Chrobry Głogów 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.