Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów: match statistics
Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Polonia Warszawa played against Chrobry Głogów in 1. Liga (Poland). The game was played on April 25, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Polonia Warszawa has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Chrobry Głogów has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Polonia Warszawa scores 1.55 goals per game and allows 1.48. Chrobry Głogów scores 1.41 and allows 0.97. Games in this league average 2.95 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 72% of Polonia Warszawa's games and 55% of Chrobry Głogów's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 52%, compared with league averages of 65% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Polonia Warszawa has the higher season xG average, 1.66 to 1.64 per game. Polonia Warszawa takes 14.1 shots per game, while Chrobry Głogów takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Polonia Warszawa leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.93 goals per game after halftime. Chrobry Głogów leads at halftime in 34% and scores 0.86 after halftime.
When the teams score
Polonia Warszawa's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Chrobry Głogów, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1. Liga games average 2.95 goals. Both teams score in 65% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorites are the visitors — Chrobry Głogów sit 2nd vs Polonia’s 5th, with 14 wins this season (Polonia 12) and a 50% away win rate compared to Polonia’s 36% home win rate. Chrobry’s key advantage is defense: the visitors concede 0.93 goals per away match, keep a clean sheet in 36% of games vs Polonia’s 29%, and have a +5 away goal difference while Polonia have -5 at home and concede 1.64 on average. Offensively both teams nominally average 1.29 goals per game, but Polonia generate xG 1.71 at home and still score only 1.29 (≈ -0.42), whereas Chrobry have xG 1.59 and score 1.29 (≈ -0.30), indicating better efficiency from the visitors. Polonia do produce slightly more shots (14 vs 12.71) and more shots on target (4.43 vs 4.14), yet this does not convert into goals. Form supports the visitors’ edge: Polonia in the last 5 matches have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses (0.8 pts/match) and conceded 10 goals; Chrobry have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses (1.4 pts/match) and conceded 6 goals. Considering Chrobry’s superior defense, higher away win rate and Polonia’s poorer chance conversion (percentage of matches without scoring 29% vs 21%), I predict a Chrobry victory (approximately 55% probability).
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project BTTS - Yes (75%) because seasonal BTTS rates for Polonia and Chrobry are 60% and 50% respectively, while the league BTTS rate is high at 65%. In the last 5 matches Polonia had BTTS in 60% of games and Chrobry in 80%; over those five Polonia scored 6 and conceded 10 goals (avg 1.2 and 2.0), whereas Chrobry scored 6 and conceded 6 (avg 1.2 and 1.2). xG confirms both teams create chances: Polonia xG for 1.68 with xG against 1.61, Chrobry xG for 1.59 with xG against 1.47 — both generate around 1.6 xG per match. Shot metrics further support BTTS: Polonia 14.0 shots with 5.0 on target and 11% conversion, Chrobry 12.71 shots with 4.14 on target and 10% conversion, and the league averages 2.94 goals per game. Additionally, low percentages of clean-sheet matches (Polonia 13%, Chrobry 21%) and Polonia’s weaker recent defense (2.0 conceded in L5) strengthen the Both Teams To Score scenario versus the No Goal alternative (25%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I model expected goals using xG: Polonia has xG_for 1.68 at home, Chrobry xG_for 1.59 away, and xG_against of 1.61 (Polonia) and 1.47 (Chrobry); that yields expected goals of 1.58 for Polonia and 1.60 for Chrobry, totaling 3.18. This season Polonia records Over 1.5 in 87% of home matches, Chrobry in 71% of away matches; after accounting for the league home advantage (~18%) I estimate an 83% chance of Over 1.5. For the 2.5 line, the home side has Over 2.5 in 60% of games, the away side in 43%, giving roughly a 53% probability with an expected total of 3.18; this indicates a moderately strong signal for Over 2.5. Over 3.5 is unlikely: 7% (Polonia) vs 14% (Chrobry) this season, yielding about a 10% chance, so Under 3.5 is dominant. Additionally both teams have BTTS rates of 60% (Polonia) and 50% (Chrobry), which supports a both-teams-to-score scenario and the validity of an Over 2.5 bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is 2/2 — Chrobry leads at the break and wins the match. In the last five fixtures the away side led at half-time in 60% of cases, and season-long they lead at the break in 36% of matches, which averages to roughly a 48% chance of HT=2. Over the season Chrobry wins 50% of matches and has an average xG of 1.59 versus an xG against of 1.47, so away leads have a statistical basis and often translate into victory. Polonia, however, is stronger after the break — the home team scores on average 0.93 goals in the second half and in this part of the season collects an average of 1.8 points — therefore the model also accounts for a significant probability of a turnaround (2/1 15% and X/1 10%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Polonia Warszawa | Chrobry Głogów | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Chrobry Głogów is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Polonia Warszawa · 1.4 pts / game - Chrobry Głogów
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Polonia Warszawa is 10% better for: goals scored per game.
1.55 goals / game - Polonia Warszawa · 1.41 goals / game - Chrobry Głogów
Chrobry Głogów is 53% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.48 goals / game - Polonia Warszawa · 0.97 goals / game - Chrobry Głogów
Polonia Warszawa scores in 83% of games (24 of 29 meczów), while Chrobry Głogów keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 meczów).
Chrobry Głogów scores in 83% of games (24 of 29 meczów), while Polonia Warszawa keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Polonia Warszawa
Over / Under - Chrobry Głogów
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Polonia Warszawa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Chrobry Głogów - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 34% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Polonia Warszawa
Chrobry Głogów
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Polonia Warszawa | Liga | Chrobry Głogów | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.03 | 2.95 | ▼ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 65% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 59% | 60% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 20% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 74% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Polonia Warszawa's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Chrobry Głogów. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów?
The 1. Liga match finished Polonia Warszawa 1:0 Chrobry Głogów. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów?
Polonia Warszawa score 1.55 goals per game on average and Chrobry Głogów 1.41. The 1. Liga average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Polonia Warszawa's matches and 55% of Chrobry Głogów's.
What form are Polonia Warszawa and Chrobry Głogów in?
Over the last 5 games Polonia Warszawa have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Chrobry Głogów 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.