Polonia Warszawa vs Stal Mielec: match statistics
Polonia Warszawa are in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches and averaging 2.6 points per game. The hosts have a solid home record with a 44% win rate and a favourable xG differential (1.73 vs 1.39), indicating a qualitative advantage in attack. Stal Mielec are in a dire situation, sitting in 16th place with just 0.4 points per game in their last five matches and a catastrophic away record (67% losses). The visitors concede an average of 2.33 goals away from home, while scoring only 1.22 goals, making them highly susceptible to defeats. The disparity in form, quality of play, and home/away statistics unequivocally point to a certain victory for Polonia Warszawa.
Polonia Warszawa vs Stal Mielec: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Polonia Warszawa played against Stal Mielec in 1. Liga (Poland). The game was played on February 8, 2026. Final score: 5:2.
Recent form
Polonia Warszawa has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Stal Mielec has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Polonia Warszawa scores 1.53 goals per game and allows 1.42. Stal Mielec scores 1.11 and allows 2.11. Games in this league average 3.04 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 79% of Polonia Warszawa's games and 68% of Stal Mielec's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 68%, compared with league averages of 65% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Polonia Warszawa has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 1.45 per game. Polonia Warszawa takes 13.6 shots per game, while Stal Mielec takes 12.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Polonia Warszawa leads at halftime in 42% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Stal Mielec leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.74 after halftime.
When the teams score
Polonia Warszawa's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). For Stal Mielec, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1. Liga games average 3.04 goals. Both teams score in 65% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Polonia Warszawa are in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches and averaging 2.6 points per game. The hosts have a solid home record with a 44% win rate and a favourable xG differential (1.73 vs 1.39), indicating a qualitative advantage in attack. Stal Mielec are in a dire situation, sitting in 16th place with just 0.4 points per game in their last five matches and a catastrophic away record (67% losses). The visitors concede an average of 2.33 goals away from home, while scoring only 1.22 goals, making them highly susceptible to defeats. The disparity in form, quality of play, and home/away statistics unequivocally point to a certain victory for Polonia Warszawa.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Polonia Warszawa | Stal Mielec | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Polonia Warszawa is 550% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Polonia Warszawa · 0.4 pts / game - Stal Mielec
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Polonia Warszawa is 38% better for: goals scored per game.
1.53 goals / game - Polonia Warszawa · 1.11 goals / game - Stal Mielec
Polonia Warszawa is 49% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.42 goals / game - Polonia Warszawa · 2.11 goals / game - Stal Mielec
Polonia Warszawa scores in 89% of games (17 of 19 meczów), while Stal Mielec keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 meczów).
Stal Mielec scores in 74% of games (14 of 19 meczów), while Polonia Warszawa keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Polonia Warszawa
Over / Under - Stal Mielec
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Polonia Warszawa is 88% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / game - Polonia Warszawa · 0.84 pts / game - Stal Mielec
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Polonia Warszawa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Stal Mielec - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 16%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Polonia Warszawa
Stal Mielec
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Polonia Warszawa | Liga | Stal Mielec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.95 | 3.04 | ▲ 3.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 79% | 65% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 63% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 20% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Polonia Warszawa's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Stal Mielec. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Polonia Warszawa vs Stal Mielec?
The 1. Liga match finished Polonia Warszawa 5:2 Stal Mielec. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Polonia Warszawa vs Stal Mielec?
Polonia Warszawa score 1.53 goals per game on average and Stal Mielec 1.11. The 1. Liga average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 79% of Polonia Warszawa's matches and 68% of Stal Mielec's.
What form are Polonia Warszawa and Stal Mielec in?
Over the last 5 games Polonia Warszawa have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Stal Mielec 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Polonia Warszawa vs Stal Mielec?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.