Poole Town vs Yate Town: match statistics

Yate Town have shown significantly more consistent form, winning 3 and drawing 2 of their last five matches without suffering a defeat, while Poole Town have lost 3 of their five games. During this period, the visitors scored 8 goals and conceded only 4, whereas the hosts scored 7 but allowed as many as 9. Poole Town have lost both of their home matches so far, failing to score in either and conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game. Yate Town also drew both away fixtures, but scored in each, averaging 6 shots, including 5 on target, which points to greater attacking potential. Although the visitors’ away xG average stands at 1.03 against 1.47 xG conceded, the hosts’ offensive weakness increases Yate Town’s chances of securing a narrow victory.

The BTTS signal is moderately positive, as both teams scored in 100% of Yate Town’s matches this season and in 50% of Poole Town’s. In their last five fixtures, these figures stood at 80% for Yate and 60% for Poole, with an average of 1.6 and 1.4 goals scored respectively. Poole have conceded as many as 1.8 goals per match recently, which boosts the visitors’ chances of scoring, especially since Yate have not kept a clean sheet in any league match this season. The main risk to the pick is Poole’s solid defensive record across the season, averaging just 0.5 goals conceded and recording 50% clean sheets; however, the hosts’ current defensive run is clearly weaker. Therefore, the more likely scenario is that both sides will score, although the edge is not particularly strong.

Poole Town average 1.5 goals scored and just 0.5 conceded at home, while keeping a clean sheet in half of their matches so far. Yate Town score an average of 1.0 goals away from home, with an average xG of 1.03; however, this figure has dropped to just 0.03 over their last five matches. Neither team has recorded a match with at least 4 goals, and 100% of their games have finished below the 3.5-goal line. Poole’s recent form has been more open, with their matches producing an average of 3.2 goals across their last five appearances, although Yate conceded only 0.8 goals per match during this period. The projected total of 2.35 goals points to a moderately paced game, making Under 3.5 the selection best supported by the data.

Yate Town are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording three wins and two draws, while Poole Town have lost three of their five fixtures and averaged only 1.2 points per game during this period, compared with 2.2 for their opponents. At half-time, both teams have shown considerable defensive stability: each conceded an average of just 0.2 goals in the first halves of their last five appearances, while the score was level after 45 minutes in 60% of Poole’s matches and 40% of Yate’s. The hosts do have a perfect record of two home wins in the available seasonal sample and have scored an average of 1.5 goals, but their recent defense has allowed as many as 1.8 goals per game. Yate have conceded just 0.8 goals on average across their last five matches, so the most likely outcome is a level score at the break, followed by the visitors capitalising on their superior current form to win the second half and secure the turnaround.