Port FC vs Lamphun Warrior: match statistics

Port FC are showing clearly better current form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored 8 goals in that run, while Lamphun Warrior have failed to win any game during the same period. The hosts are averaging 2 points per match across their last five appearances, compared with just 0.6 points for the visitors. Lamphun have scored only 3 goals in their last 5 matches while conceding 7, highlighting problems both in finishing and defensive organization. The start of the season also favors Port FC, who won their match 2:1, whereas Lamphun suffered a 1:4 defeat. Lamphun’s three draws in their last five fixtures increase the likelihood of a closely contested result, but the hosts’ attacking edge and more stable form make them the favorites.

The BTTS signal is moderate, but it is supported by the results from the last five matches: both teams recorded this market at 60%, close to the league average of 63%. Port FC averaged 1.6 goals and created chances worth 2.10 xG during this period, while Lamphun Warrior generated 1.48 xG despite scoring just 0.6 goals per match. The hosts conceded an average of 1.0 goals, while the visitors conceded 1.4, increasing Port FC’s chances of scoring and leaving room for a response from the opposition. In addition, Port FC has not kept a clean sheet in the season data, and its only previous match ended with BTTS - Yes, although the small sample size calls for caution. The advantage for the both-teams-to-score scenario is slight, as Lamphun Warrior scored only 3 goals in their last five appearances.

In their last 5 matches, Port FC have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, resulting in a total of 2.6 goals per game. Over the same period, Lamphun Warrior scored just 3 goals in 5 appearances, or 0.6 per match, while their games averaged 2.0 goals. The hosts create plenty of chances, as reflected by an xG of 2.10, but their average finishing efficiency does not automatically point to a very high-scoring game. Although Lamphun allow opponents an xG of 1.52, the visitors’ poor attacking output limits the prospects of a match with at least four goals. The strongest option is Under 3.5 goals, as the projected total of 2.40 goals leaves a clear margin below this line.

Port FC are in clearly better form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored an average of 1.6 goals, while Lamphun Warrior have failed to win any of their games, scoring just 0.6 goals and conceding 1.4 per match. The hosts were leading at the break in 60% of their last five matches, compared with just 20% for the visitors, while Lamphun were level at half-time in as many as 60% of cases. Port FC’s advantage before the interval is also reflected in their average of 1.2 goals scored in first halves, compared with just 0.2 for Lamphun. After the break, the hosts also maintain the more favourable performance profile, averaging 1.4 points per match in second halves compared with 0.6 for their opponents. The most likely scenario is therefore Port FC leading at half-time and holding on for victory at full-time, although there is a moderate draw risk given Lamphun’s 60% half-time draw rate across their last five matches.