Port Vale vs Burton Albion: match statistics
The match is shaping up to be a very even contest between two teams from the lower reaches of the table. Port Vale displays poor home form with just 15% wins and 62% losses at their own stadium, yet their xG (1.5) exceeds their actual goal output (0.85 goals per game). Burton Albion shows slightly better attacking efficiency away from home (1 goal per game with a 9% shot conversion rate), but they concede an average of 1.5 goals in away matches. The recent form of both teams is unsatisfactory - Port Vale has earned 1.2 points per match in their last five games, while Burton has managed only 0.8 points per match. Considering the hosts' high FTS% (62%) and the defensive issues of both sides, the most likely outcome appears to be a draw or a narrow victory for either team, with a slight edge for the hosts playing in front of their own fans.
Port Vale vs Burton Albion: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Port Vale play Burton Albion in EFL League One (England). The match date is 7 February 2026 at 13:31. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Port Vale: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Burton Albion: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Port Vale scores 0.78 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Burton Albion scores 1.09 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Port Vale 35%, Burton Albion 48%. Over 2.5: Port Vale 39%, Burton Albion 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Burton Albion has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.24. Port Vale: 11.1 shots per match, Burton Albion: 11.5.
Match halves
Port Vale: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.37. Burton Albion: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Port Vale: 0-15 (10 goals). Burton Albion: 46-60 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
The match is shaping up to be a very even contest between two teams from the lower reaches of the table. Port Vale displays poor home form with just 15% wins and 62% losses at their own stadium, yet their xG (1.5) exceeds their actual goal output (0.85 goals per game). Burton Albion shows slightly better attacking efficiency away from home (1 goal per game with a 9% shot conversion rate), but they concede an average of 1.5 goals in away matches. The recent form of both teams is unsatisfactory - Port Vale has earned 1.2 points per match in their last five games, while Burton has managed only 0.8 points per match. Considering the hosts' high FTS% (62%) and the defensive issues of both sides, the most likely outcome appears to be a draw or a narrow victory for either team, with a slight edge for the hosts playing in front of their own fans.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Port Vale | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Burton Albion is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Port Vale · 1.4 pts / match - Burton Albion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Burton Albion is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - Port Vale · 1.09 goals / match - Burton Albion
Port Vale scores in 48% of matches (22 of 46 matches), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 46 matches).
Burton Albion scores in 65% of matches (30 of 46 matches), while Port Vale keeps a clean sheet in 28% (13 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Port Vale
Over / Under — Burton Albion
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Burton Albion is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Port Vale · 1.22 pts / match - Burton Albion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Port Vale - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Burton Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Port Vale
Burton Albion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Port Vale | Liga | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 52% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 51% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 70% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 81% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Port Vale 0 - 1 - 0 Burton Albion. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Port Vale vs Burton Albion?
The EFL League One match finished Port Vale 2:2 Burton Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Port Vale vs Burton Albion?
Port Vale score 0.78 goals per game on average and Burton Albion 1.09. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Port Vale's matches and 48% of Burton Albion's.
What form are Port Vale and Burton Albion in?
Over the last 5 games Port Vale have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Burton Albion 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Port Vale vs Burton Albion?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Port Vale vs Burton Albion: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.