Port Vale vs Burton Albion: match statistics
The match is shaping up to be a very even contest between two teams from the lower reaches of the table. Port Vale displays poor home form with just 15% wins and 62% losses at their own stadium, yet their xG (1.5) exceeds their actual goal output (0.85 goals per game). Burton Albion shows slightly better attacking efficiency away from home (1 goal per game with a 9% shot conversion rate), but they concede an average of 1.5 goals in away matches. The recent form of both teams is unsatisfactory - Port Vale has earned 1.2 points per match in their last five games, while Burton has managed only 0.8 points per match. Considering the hosts' high FTS% (62%) and the defensive issues of both sides, the most likely outcome appears to be a draw or a narrow victory for either team, with a slight edge for the hosts playing in front of their own fans.
Port Vale vs Burton Albion: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Port Vale played against Burton Albion in EFL League One (England). The game was played on February 7, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Port Vale has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Burton Albion has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Port Vale scores 0.74 goals per game and allows 1.41. Burton Albion scores 1.07 and allows 1.48. Games in this league average 2.54 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 30% of Port Vale's games and 45% of Burton Albion's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 59%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Burton Albion has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.33 per game. Port Vale takes 11.8 shots per game, while Burton Albion takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Port Vale leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.52 goals per game after halftime. Burton Albion leads at halftime in 28% and scores 0.55 after halftime.
When the teams score
Port Vale's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Burton Albion, it is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.54 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match is shaping up to be a very even contest between two teams from the lower reaches of the table. Port Vale displays poor home form with just 15% wins and 62% losses at their own stadium, yet their xG (1.5) exceeds their actual goal output (0.85 goals per game). Burton Albion shows slightly better attacking efficiency away from home (1 goal per game with a 9% shot conversion rate), but they concede an average of 1.5 goals in away matches. The recent form of both teams is unsatisfactory - Port Vale has earned 1.2 points per match in their last five games, while Burton has managed only 0.8 points per match. Considering the hosts' high FTS% (62%) and the defensive issues of both sides, the most likely outcome appears to be a draw or a narrow victory for either team, with a slight edge for the hosts playing in front of their own fans.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Port Vale | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Port Vale is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Port Vale · 0.8 pts / game - Burton Albion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Burton Albion is 45% better for: goals scored per game.
0.74 goals / game - Port Vale · 1.07 goals / game - Burton Albion
Port Vale is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.41 goals / game - Port Vale · 1.48 goals / game - Burton Albion
Port Vale scores in 41% of games (11 of 27 meczów), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 meczów).
Burton Albion scores in 59% of games (17 of 29 meczów), while Port Vale keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Port Vale
Over / Under - Burton Albion
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Burton Albion is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / game - Port Vale · 1.24 pts / game - Burton Albion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Port Vale - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 19%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Burton Albion - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Port Vale
Burton Albion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Port Vale | Liga | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.15 | 2.54 | • 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 50% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 49% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 68% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 81% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Port Vale's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Burton Albion. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Port Vale vs Burton Albion?
The EFL League One match finished Port Vale 2:2 Burton Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Port Vale vs Burton Albion?
Port Vale score 0.74 goals per game on average and Burton Albion 1.07. The EFL League One average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Port Vale's matches and 45% of Burton Albion's.
What form are Port Vale and Burton Albion in?
Over the last 5 games Port Vale have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Burton Albion 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Port Vale vs Burton Albion?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Port Vale vs Burton Albion: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.