Port Vale vs Exeter City: match statistics
Port Vale occupies the last place in the table (24th position) but has recently shown signs of improvement with three victories in the last five matches and a tally of 9 points. Exeter City ranks higher (13th place) and also presents good form with 6 points in the last five meetings. A key factor is Port Vale's poor home efficiency (64% of matches without scoring, only 18% wins), yet the hosts have the advantage in xG (1.54 vs 0.99 for Exeter away). Exeter performs better offensively overall (28 goals this season) but has a very poor record on the road (69% losses, only 23% wins). Considering the difficulties of both teams in their respective contexts and the balanced conversion rate (7% for both teams), I predict a tight contest with a slight advantage for the hosts, with a draw appearing the most probable result.
Port Vale vs Exeter City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Port Vale played against Exeter City in EFL League One (England). The game was played on January 24, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Port Vale has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Exeter City has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Port Vale scores 0.75 goals per game and allows 1.42. Exeter City scores 1.12 and allows 0.92. Games in this league average 2.53 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 29% of Port Vale's games and 32% of Exeter City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 36%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Port Vale has the higher season xG average, 1.35 to 1.20 per game. Port Vale takes 12.0 shots per game, while Exeter City takes 10.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Port Vale leads at halftime in 8% of its games and scores 0.54 goals per game after halftime. Exeter City leads at halftime in 28% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Port Vale's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Exeter City, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.53 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Port Vale occupies the last place in the table (24th position) but has recently shown signs of improvement with three victories in the last five matches and a tally of 9 points. Exeter City ranks higher (13th place) and also presents good form with 6 points in the last five meetings. A key factor is Port Vale's poor home efficiency (64% of matches without scoring, only 18% wins), yet the hosts have the advantage in xG (1.54 vs 0.99 for Exeter away). Exeter performs better offensively overall (28 goals this season) but has a very poor record on the road (69% losses, only 23% wins). Considering the difficulties of both teams in their respective contexts and the balanced conversion rate (7% for both teams), I predict a tight contest with a slight advantage for the hosts, with a draw appearing the most probable result.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Port Vale | Exeter City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Exeter City is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Port Vale · 2 pts / game - Exeter City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Exeter City is 49% better for: goals scored per game.
0.75 goals / game - Port Vale · 1.12 goals / game - Exeter City
Exeter City is 54% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.42 goals / game - Port Vale · 0.92 goals / game - Exeter City
Port Vale scores in 38% of games (9 of 24 meczów), while Exeter City keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 meczów).
Exeter City scores in 68% of games (17 of 25 meczów), while Port Vale keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Port Vale
Over / Under - Exeter City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Exeter City is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / game - Port Vale · 1.2 pts / game - Exeter City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Port Vale - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 8% of games and wins 17%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Exeter City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Port Vale
Exeter City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Port Vale | Liga | Exeter City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.17 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 50% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 48% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 28% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 42% | 68% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 80% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Port Vale's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Exeter City. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Port Vale vs Exeter City?
The EFL League One match finished Port Vale 1:3 Exeter City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Port Vale vs Exeter City?
Port Vale score 0.75 goals per game on average and Exeter City 1.12. The EFL League One average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Port Vale's matches and 32% of Exeter City's.
What form are Port Vale and Exeter City in?
Over the last 5 games Port Vale have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Exeter City 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Port Vale vs Exeter City?
The statistical background for Port Vale vs Exeter City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.