Port Vale vs Exeter City: match statistics
Port Vale occupies the last place in the table (24th position) but has recently shown signs of improvement with three victories in the last five matches and a tally of 9 points. Exeter City ranks higher (13th place) and also presents good form with 6 points in the last five meetings. A key factor is Port Vale's poor home efficiency (64% of matches without scoring, only 18% wins), yet the hosts have the advantage in xG (1.54 vs 0.99 for Exeter away). Exeter performs better offensively overall (28 goals this season) but has a very poor record on the road (69% losses, only 23% wins). Considering the difficulties of both teams in their respective contexts and the balanced conversion rate (7% for both teams), I predict a tight contest with a slight advantage for the hosts, with a draw appearing the most probable result.
Port Vale vs Exeter City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Port Vale play Exeter City in EFL League One (England). The match date is 24 January 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Port Vale: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Exeter City: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Port Vale scores 0.78 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Exeter City scores 1.13 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Port Vale 35%, Exeter City 43%. Over 2.5: Port Vale 39%, Exeter City 46%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Port Vale has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.22. Port Vale: 11.1 shots per match, Exeter City: 10.5.
Match halves
Port Vale: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.37. Exeter City: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Port Vale: 0-15 (10 goals). Exeter City: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Port Vale occupies the last place in the table (24th position) but has recently shown signs of improvement with three victories in the last five matches and a tally of 9 points. Exeter City ranks higher (13th place) and also presents good form with 6 points in the last five meetings. A key factor is Port Vale's poor home efficiency (64% of matches without scoring, only 18% wins), yet the hosts have the advantage in xG (1.54 vs 0.99 for Exeter away). Exeter performs better offensively overall (28 goals this season) but has a very poor record on the road (69% losses, only 23% wins). Considering the difficulties of both teams in their respective contexts and the balanced conversion rate (7% for both teams), I predict a tight contest with a slight advantage for the hosts, with a draw appearing the most probable result.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Port Vale | Exeter City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Exeter City is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Port Vale · 1.2 pts / match - Exeter City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Exeter City is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - Port Vale · 1.13 goals / match - Exeter City
Port Vale scores in 48% of matches (22 of 46 matches), while Exeter City keeps a clean sheet in 28% (13 of 46 matches).
Exeter City scores in 65% of matches (30 of 46 matches), while Port Vale keeps a clean sheet in 28% (13 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Port Vale
Over / Under — Exeter City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Port Vale is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Port Vale · 0.98 pts / match - Exeter City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Port Vale - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Exeter City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Port Vale
Exeter City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Port Vale | Liga | Exeter City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.46 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 52% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 51% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 27% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 81% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Port Vale 1 - 0 - 0 Exeter City. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Port Vale vs Exeter City?
The EFL League One match finished Port Vale 1:3 Exeter City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Port Vale vs Exeter City?
Port Vale score 0.78 goals per game on average and Exeter City 1.13. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Port Vale's matches and 43% of Exeter City's.
What form are Port Vale and Exeter City in?
Over the last 5 games Port Vale have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Exeter City 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Port Vale vs Exeter City?
The statistical background for Port Vale vs Exeter City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.