Port Vale vs Grimsby Town: match statistics
Port Vale vs Grimsby Town: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Port Vale played against Grimsby Town in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Vale Park. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Port Vale has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Grimsby Town has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Port Vale scores 0.43 goals per game and allows 1.29. Grimsby Town scores 1.44 and allows 1.11. Games in this league average 2.49 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 29% of Port Vale's games and 56% of Grimsby Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 14% and 56%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Grimsby Town has the higher season xG average, 1.70 to 1.28 per game. Port Vale takes 10.7 shots per game, while Grimsby Town takes 15.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Port Vale leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.14 goals per game after halftime. Grimsby Town leads at halftime in 44% and scores 0.56 after halftime.
When the teams score
Port Vale's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). For Grimsby Town, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.49 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Grimsby Town sit 9th and Port Vale 23rd, but their records at the respective venues significantly increase the likelihood of a draw: the hosts have drawn 67% of their home matches, while the visitors have drawn 75% of their away games. Port Vale are yet to lose at home and concede an average of just 0.33 goals there, although they score only 0.67 goals per match. Grimsby average 1.25 goals away from home and create chances worth 1.50 xG, but have failed to win any of their four such matches. Neither side’s recent form points to a clear favorite: Port Vale have won 1 of their last 5 matches, while Grimsby have won 2 of 5. The visitors’ attacking threat on the road could break down the hosts’ defense, but their average of 1.5 goals conceded away from home makes a draw the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Port Vale kept a clean sheet in 60% of its matches, while both teams scored in only 40% of its games, which slightly favors BTTS - No. Grimsby has had BTTS in 75% of its matches and averages 1.25 goals, so its scoring threat cannot be ruled out. The hosts average 1.6 goals, while the visitors concede 1.5, making Port Vale more likely to find the net. The last five matches weaken confidence in this pick: Port Vale conceded an average of 1.4 goals in that span, while Grimsby scored 1.4. Even so, the hosts’ clean-sheet record gives a slight edge to the scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been reached in 80% of Port Vale’s matches and 75% of Grimsby Town’s. The hosts average 1.6 goals and 5.6 shots on target per match, while the visitors concede 1.5 goals on average, which bodes well for Port Vale to score. Grimsby bring their own attacking threat, with an average xG of 1.50, although Port Vale have kept a clean sheet in 60% of their matches. Caution is warranted on higher lines given the hosts’ last five matches, in which they averaged just 0.6 goals, with Over 2.5 goals landing in only 20% of cases. With a projected total of 2.60 goals, the Over 1.5 line offers a clearer signal than the less certain Over 2.5 goals pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Port Vale led at the break in 3 of their 5 home matches, scoring an average of 1.2 goals before half-time, while Grimsby averaged 0.5 goals in that period away from home. The hosts also have the edge in chance creation: their average xG is 1.86 compared with the visitors’ 1.50, and they average 5.6 shots on target against 3.75. The case for Port Vale holding on to their lead is supported by their 60% home win rate, Grimsby’s failure to win away, and the fact that the hosts drew the second half in all 5 of their home matches. However, caution is warranted: across their last 5 matches overall, Port Vale have averaged just 0.6 goals, while Grimsby have averaged 1.4. Despite this difference in recent form, the hosts’ advantage before half-time and their home record make a Port Vale lead at half-time and at full-time the most likely single HT/FT scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Port Vale | Grimsby Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Grimsby Town is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Port Vale · 1.4 pts / game - Grimsby Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grimsby Town is 235% better for: goals scored per game.
0.43 goals / game - Port Vale · 1.44 goals / game - Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town is 16% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.29 goals / game - Port Vale · 1.11 goals / game - Grimsby Town
Port Vale scores in 43% of games (3 of 7 games), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 games).
Grimsby Town scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Port Vale keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Port Vale
Over / Under - Grimsby Town
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grimsby Town is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / game - Port Vale · 1.67 pts / game - Grimsby Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Port Vale - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 14%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Grimsby Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 33%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Port Vale
Grimsby Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Port Vale | Liga | Grimsby Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.71 | 2.49 | • 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 52% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 14% | 44% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 29% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 66% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Port Vale vs Grimsby Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Port Vale 1:0 Grimsby Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Port Vale vs Grimsby Town?
Port Vale score 0.43 goals per game on average and Grimsby Town 1.44. The EFL League Two average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Port Vale's matches and 56% of Grimsby Town's.
What form are Port Vale and Grimsby Town in?
Over the last 5 games Port Vale have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Grimsby Town 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Port Vale vs Grimsby Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Port Vale vs Grimsby Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.