Port Vale vs Luton Town: match statistics
Luton Town appears to be the favorite in this meeting despite weaker away form. Port Vale occupies the last, 24th place in the table with only a 13% win rate at home and an alarming 53% rate of home losses. The hosts failed to score in 53% of home matches, which, with an average of just 0.93 goals per match, puts them in a very difficult situation. Luton Town, despite 63% losses away, has significantly better scoring efficiency (1.06 goals/match) and higher shot conversion (10% vs 7%). Additionally, the visitors have the advantage in possession (58% vs 48%) and better form in the last five matches (1.4 points/match vs 1.0). Given Port Vale's desperate situation and Luton Town's relatively better statistics, I expect a win for the visitors, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
Port Vale vs Luton Town: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Port Vale played against Luton Town in EFL League One (England). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Port Vale has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Luton Town has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Port Vale scores 0.81 goals per game and allows 1.39. Luton Town scores 1.27 and allows 1.21. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 35% of Port Vale's games and 42% of Luton Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 48%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Luton Town has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.30 per game. Port Vale takes 11.6 shots per game, while Luton Town takes 12.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Port Vale leads at halftime in 16% of its games and scores 0.48 goals per game after halftime. Luton Town leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.70 after halftime.
When the teams score
Port Vale's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Luton Town, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Luton Town appears to be the favorite in this meeting despite weaker away form. Port Vale occupies the last, 24th place in the table with only a 13% win rate at home and an alarming 53% rate of home losses. The hosts failed to score in 53% of home matches, which, with an average of just 0.93 goals per match, puts them in a very difficult situation. Luton Town, despite 63% losses away, has significantly better scoring efficiency (1.06 goals/match) and higher shot conversion (10% vs 7%). Additionally, the visitors have the advantage in possession (58% vs 48%) and better form in the last five matches (1.4 points/match vs 1.0). Given Port Vale's desperate situation and Luton Town's relatively better statistics, I expect a win for the visitors, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Port Vale | Luton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Luton Town is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Port Vale · 1.4 pts / game - Luton Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Luton Town is 57% better for: goals scored per game.
0.81 goals / game - Port Vale · 1.27 goals / game - Luton Town
Luton Town is 15% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.39 goals / game - Port Vale · 1.21 goals / game - Luton Town
Port Vale scores in 48% of games (15 of 31 meczów), while Luton Town keeps a clean sheet in 33% (11 of 33 meczów).
Luton Town scores in 73% of games (24 of 33 meczów), while Port Vale keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Port Vale
Over / Under - Luton Town
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Luton Town is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Port Vale · 1.24 pts / game - Luton Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Port Vale - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 19%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Luton Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Port Vale
Luton Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Port Vale | Liga | Luton Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.19 | 2.61 | ▼ 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 52% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 51% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 70% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 81% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Port Vale's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Luton Town. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Port Vale vs Luton Town?
The EFL League One match finished Port Vale 1:1 Luton Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Port Vale vs Luton Town?
Port Vale score 0.81 goals per game on average and Luton Town 1.27. The EFL League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Port Vale's matches and 42% of Luton Town's.
What form are Port Vale and Luton Town in?
Over the last 5 games Port Vale have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Luton Town 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Port Vale vs Luton Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.