Portland Hearts of Pine vs Greenville Triumph: match statistics
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Greenville Triumph: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Portland Hearts of Pine played against Greenville Triumph in USL League One (United States). The game was played on May 23, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Portland Hearts of Pine has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Greenville Triumph has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Portland Hearts of Pine scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 1.13. Greenville Triumph scores 1.33 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 2.77 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Portland Hearts of Pine's games and 50% of Greenville Triumph's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 67%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Greenville Triumph has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.26 per game. Portland Hearts of Pine takes 10.1 shots per game, while Greenville Triumph takes 13.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Portland Hearts of Pine leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Greenville Triumph leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Portland Hearts of Pine's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). For Greenville Triumph, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL League One games average 2.77 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Portland Hearts of Pine holds a clear advantage across key metrics: the hosts have scored 9 goals this season (9 in the last 5 matches as well) and at home average 1.33 goals with 5.33 shots on target and 16.67 total shots per match, while Greenville averages 0 goals away with only 2 shots on target and 7 total shots. xG comparison confirms this qualitative gap — Portland generates 1.92 xG at home versus 0.95 xG for the visitors away, meaning the hosts create almost twice as many high-quality chances. Defensively the hosts concede just 0.67 goals per home match and have a 33% clean sheet rate, whereas Greenville concedes 1.5 goals on average away and has conceded 11 goals in the last 5 matches. The form gap is significant: Portland has 1.6 points per match in the last 5 (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), and Greenville only 0.6 points (1 win, 4 losses) with 100% away defeats and 100% of away matches without scoring. Considering the superior chance quality (xG 1.92 vs 0.95), higher shooting efficiency (8% vs 0%), and more stable defense (0.67 vs 1.5 goals conceded), I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Portland Hearts of Pine strongly supports the BTTS - Yes scenario: season BTTS rate is 75% and 80% in the last 5 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and conceded per match in the last 5. Greenville Triumph has weaker offensive metrics — season goals scored avg 0.0 and only 0.8 in the last 5, season BTTS 0% and 20% in the last 5, reducing their likelihood of scoring. Looking at xG, hosts have season xG 1.82 vs guests 0.95, but in the last 5 guests’ xG is 1.37 vs hosts’ 1.35, indicating Greenville is creating chances despite low conversion. Additionally, Portland averages 16.25 shots and 6.5 on target vs 7.0 and 2.0 for the visitors, and hosts concede 2.25 goals per match on the season — this combination of offensive superiority and susceptibility to conceding leads to assessing BTTS as more likely (60% vs 40%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I estimate 1.66 goals for Portland (1.82 offensive xG and 1.50 xG conceded) and 1.11 for Greenville (0.95 and 1.27), totalling 2.77 goals. At this average the probability of Over 1.5 is about 76%, Over 2.5 around 52%, and Over 3.5 only about 30%, so the strongest signal is Over 1.5. Portland averages 2.0 goals and has 100% of matches with over 1.5 goals this season and 6.5 shots on target per match versus Greenville’s 2.0, which reinforces the expectation of at least two goals. Greenville has weaker attacking metrics (0.95 xG and 0.8 goals in the last 5 matches) and concedes 1.5 goals on average, so it’s hard to rely on them alone for a high-scoring game. Consequently I recommend Over 1.5 as the best line to play due to the highest probability (76%) and the home side’s advantage in shooting statistics.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (home team leads at the break and wins) because the home side has a clear offensive advantage: xG 1.82 versus 0.95 for the visitors and on average 6.5 shots on target compared to 2.0, which favors early goals. The home team averages 1.25 goals by half-time and concedes 0.75, and in their last five matches they led at the break in 60% of games, increasing the likelihood of a lead after 45 minutes. The visitors have a seasonal record of 0% wins and 100% losses, scored only one goal by half-time this season and generate lower xG and SOT, so a turnaround is unlikely. Based on this I assign a 54% probability to the 1/1 outcome, with smaller probabilities for X/1 (16%) and X/X (20%); scenarios where the visitors lead at the break I regard as practically impossible (0%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Portland Hearts of Pine | Greenville Triumph | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Greenville Triumph is 18% better for: goals scored per game.
1.13 goals / game - Portland Hearts of Pine · 1.33 goals / game - Greenville Triumph
Portland Hearts of Pine is 77% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.13 goals / game - Portland Hearts of Pine · 2 goals / game - Greenville Triumph
Portland Hearts of Pine scores in 50% of games (4 of 8 meczów), while Greenville Triumph keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 meczów).
Greenville Triumph scores in 50% of games (3 of 6 meczów), while Portland Hearts of Pine keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Portland Hearts of Pine
Over / Under - Greenville Triumph
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Portland Hearts of Pine is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / game - Portland Hearts of Pine · 1 pts / game - Greenville Triumph
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Portland Hearts of Pine - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 25%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.9 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Greenville Triumph - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Portland Hearts of Pine
Greenville Triumph
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Portland Hearts of Pine | Liga | Greenville Triumph | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.25 | 2.77 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 77% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Portland Hearts of Pine's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Greenville Triumph. Games average 4.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Portland Hearts of Pine vs Greenville Triumph?
The USL League One match finished Portland Hearts of Pine 1:1 Greenville Triumph. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Portland Hearts of Pine and Greenville Triumph?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Portland Hearts of Pine won 2, Greenville Triumph won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Portland Hearts of Pine vs Greenville Triumph?
Portland Hearts of Pine score 1.13 goals per game on average and Greenville Triumph 1.33. The USL League One average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Portland Hearts of Pine's matches and 50% of Greenville Triumph's.
What form are Portland Hearts of Pine and Greenville Triumph in?
Over the last 5 games Portland Hearts of Pine have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Greenville Triumph 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Greenville Triumph?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.