Portugal vs Croatia: match statistics
Portugal vs Croatia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Portugal played against Croatia in World Cup (International). The game was played on July 2, 2026. Venue: BMO Field. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Portugal has 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.67 points per game. Croatia has 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Portugal scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 0.33. Croatia scores 1.67 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 2.94 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of Portugal's games and 67% of Croatia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 67%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Portugal has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.05 per game. Portugal takes 12.3 shots per game, while Croatia takes 8.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Portugal leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Croatia leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Portugal's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). For Croatia, it is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
World Cup games average 2.94 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Typ 1X2 after 90 minutes: 1. Portugal has more quality in the final third, but Croatia is a team that knows how to slow down the match and take it into nervous territory. We don't see the dominance of the favorite here, just a match for one moment of quality, a set piece or an error on the lead. Portugal is the minimum bet, but a draw after 90 minutes has very strong grounds. Our prediction is 38% for Portugal, 34% for draw and 28% for Croatia. Most likely exact score: 1-0. Promotion: Portugal (56% vs 44%). Status: NOBET
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Typ BTTS: no. Portugal has more quality in the final third, but Croatia is the team that knows how to slow down the match and take it into nervous territory. We don't see the dominance of the favorite here, just a match for one moment of quality, a set piece or an error on the lead. Portugal is the minimum bet, but a draw after 90 minutes has very strong grounds. Control of one side and the limited volume of underdog situations are more important here, so it is more likely that at least one team will finish the match without a goal. The model gives 43% on BTTS Yes and 57% on BTTS No, with expected goals of Portugal 1.15, Croatia 0.90. Status: SMALL BET
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Typ: under 2.5. Portugal has more quality in the final third, but Croatia is the team that knows how to slow down the match and take it into nervous territory. We don't see the dominance of the favorite here, just a match for one moment of quality, a set piece or an error on the lead. Portugal is the minimum bet, but a draw after 90 minutes has very strong grounds. The gate model gives 34% on Over 2.5 and 66% on Under 2.5. xG: Portugal 1.15, Croatia 0.90, total 2.05. Most likely result: 1-0. Line 2.5 separates a controlled match from an open match. In this pair, the underlying score and the need for caution after conceding a goal for the first time are more important than the teams' branding itself. Status: BET
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Typ HT/FT: X/X. Portugal has more quality in the final third, but Croatia is the team that knows how to slow down the match and take it into nervous territory. We don't see the dominance of the favorite here, just a match for one moment of quality, a set piece or an error on the lead. Portugal is a minimal bet, but a draw after 90 minutes has very strong foundations. We assume a cautious start and the outcome only after one side increases the risk or the favorite finds more space. The highest model paths were X/X 24%, X/1 19% and 1/1 17%. The HT/FT spread is calibrated to our 1X2 38%-34%-28% and does not use odds. Status: NOBET
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Portugal | Croatia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Croatia is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.67 pts / game - Portugal · 2 pts / game - Croatia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Portugal is 20% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - Portugal · 1.67 goals / game - Croatia
Portugal is 406% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.33 goals / game - Portugal · 1.67 goals / game - Croatia
Portugal scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 meczów), while Croatia keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 meczów).
Croatia scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while Portugal keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Portugal
Over / Under - Croatia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Portugal - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Croatia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 33% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 100% |
| No goal | 33% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Portugal
Croatia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (World Cup).
Teams vs league
| Portugal | Liga | Croatia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.33 | 2.94 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 54% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 55% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 33% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Portugal vs Croatia?
The World Cup match finished Portugal 2:1 Croatia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Portugal vs Croatia?
Portugal score 2.00 goals per game on average and Croatia 1.67. The World Cup average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Portugal's matches and 67% of Croatia's.
What form are Portugal and Croatia in?
Over the last 5 games Portugal have a 1-2-0 record (1.67 points per game) and Croatia 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Portugal vs Croatia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Portugal vs Croatia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.