Italy - Serie C Group CData current as of September 13, 2026

Potenza Calcio vs Virtus Casarano: match statistics

Potenza Calcio crest
Potenza Calcio
3 : 1half-time 2:0
Virtus Casarano crest
Virtus Casarano
155%(2.19)
X25%(3.11)
220%(3.11)
BTTSOver/UnderHT/FT
Pick: 1Won
Pick score:Pick score — the strength of the NoFluffPicks model signal for this pick.42.31
Value:Value — how much the bookmaker price is above our estimated probability. Positive value is favorable long term.20.45%
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Potenza Calcio vs Virtus Casarano: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Potenza Calcio played against Virtus Casarano in Serie C Group C (Italy). The game was played on November 30, 2025. Final score: 3:1.

Recent form

Potenza Calcio has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Virtus Casarano has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Potenza Calcio scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 1.47. Virtus Casarano scores 1.73 and allows 1.73. Games in this league average 2.60 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 47% of Potenza Calcio's games and 53% of Virtus Casarano's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 73%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Potenza Calcio has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.26 per game. Potenza Calcio takes 12.6 shots per game, while Virtus Casarano takes 9.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Potenza Calcio leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Virtus Casarano leads at halftime in 33% and scores 1.07 after halftime.

When the teams score

Potenza Calcio's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Virtus Casarano, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group C games average 2.60 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

2 : 0
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

47Possession (%)53
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
15Shots11
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
9Shots on target5
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
1.89xG1.46
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
5Corners7
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
44Dangerous attacks57
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
11Fouls10
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
2Cards3
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.33Points per gamePPG - points per game.1.6
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
1.33Goals scored / game1.73
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
1.47Goals allowed / game1.73
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
1.48xG forxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.1.26
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
56%Average possession50%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
4.33Shots on target / game4.33
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
33%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.40%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
47%Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.53%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.6Shots per game9.93
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
4.33Shots on target4.33
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
10.6%Shot conversion17.4%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
56%Possession50%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
1.48xG for1.26
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
1.54xG against1.57
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

Shooting quality

Potenza Calcio: BalancedVirtus Casarano: Efficient finishing
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
Accuracy (shots on target)34%44%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Potenza Calcio is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Potenza Calcio · 1.2 pts / game - Virtus Casarano

Potenza Calcio
LWLWD
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-5
1.33 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.10Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Virtus Casarano
LLLWW
Season result split
47% W20% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-3-5
1.60 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-3
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DWLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 0.96Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Virtus Casarano is 30% better for: goals scored per game.

1.33 goals / game - Potenza Calcio · 1.73 goals / game - Virtus Casarano

Potenza Calcio is 18% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.47 goals / game - Potenza Calcio · 1.73 goals / game - Virtus Casarano

Potenza Calcio scoring profile: strong

Potenza Calcio scores in 67% of games (10 of 15 meczów), while Virtus Casarano keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 meczów).

Virtus Casarano scoring profile: very strong

Virtus Casarano scores in 87% of games (13 of 15 meczów), while Potenza Calcio keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 meczów).

20Goals scored (season)26
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
22Goals conceded (season)26
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
2.8Average goals per game3.47
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
6Goals scored (last 5)7
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
8Goals conceded (last 5)12
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
Potenza Calcio
33%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.5 of 15 meczów
33%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.5 of 15 meczów
Virtus Casarano
40%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.6 of 15 meczów
13%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.2 of 15 meczów

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal87%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
47%2 goals53%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
20%3 goals33%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
0%4 goals0%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal60%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
53%2 goals47%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
27%3 goals33%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
0%4 goals20%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

47%
Potenza Calcio - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.7 of 15 meczów
53%
Virtus Casarano - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.8 of 15 meczów
51%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time27%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
20%BTTS in both halves13%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
40%Scored in both halves27%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS53%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
40%BTTS - last 580%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

87%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.93%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
80%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.80%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
60%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.73%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
27%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.47%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
20%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.27%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

Over / Under - Potenza Calcio

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 87%Under 13%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 80%Under 20%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 60%Under 40%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 27%Under 73%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 20%Under 80%

Over / Under - Virtus Casarano

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 93%Under 7%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 80%Under 20%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 73%Under 27%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 47%Under 53%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 27%Under 73%

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time87%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time47%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Potenza Calcio is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.53 pts / game - Potenza Calcio · 1.4 pts / game - Virtus Casarano

Potenza Calcio - half-time state
40% leading33% draw27% trailing
Virtus Casarano - half-time state
33% leading40% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.53Points per game (1st half)1.4
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
0.73Goals scored (1st half)0.67
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
1.27Average goals (1st half)1.33
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
60%Clean sheet before half-time53%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
47%No goal before half-time47%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per game (2nd half)1.4
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)1.07
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
0.93Goals conceded (2nd half)1.07
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
1.53Average goals (2nd half)2.13
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
33%Clean sheet after half-time47%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
47%No goal after half-time40%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

Potenza Calcio - second-half results

20% W40% D40% L
23
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.53
PPG before half-time
Lead holding83%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 33%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Virtus Casarano - second-half results

40% W20% D40% L
21
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Potenza Calcio - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.00
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.61.0
Average goals per game1.21.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Virtus Casarano - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.000.80
Goals scored / game1.00.4
Goals allowed / game0.61.8
Average goals per game1.62.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2-7
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Potenza Calcio
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
4
5
16-30
5
1
31-45
4
3
46-60
2
7
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Virtus Casarano
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
4
5
16-30
2
3
31-45
3
4
46-60
5
3
61-75
8
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.13
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
120%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Potenza Calcio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
132%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Virtus Casarano

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.47
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
156%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).

Teams vs league

Potenza CalcioLigaVirtus Casarano
Average goals per game▲ 2.802.60▲ 3.47
Both teams scored▼ 47%51%▲ 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 60%53%▲ 73%
Clean sheets▲ 33%29%▲ 40%
Goal before half-time▲ 73%66%▲ 73%
Goal after half-time• 80%79%▲ 87%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.60
Average goals per game
51%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / game
1.11
Away goals / game
+34%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defensive advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Potenza CalcioGoalMatteo GhisolfiAssist: Emanuele Schimmenti
  2. Potenza CalcioGoalGabriele SelleriAssist: Emanuele Schimmenti
  3. Virtus CasaranoYellow cardGaetano Logoluso
  4. Potenza CalcioYellow cardEmanuele Schimmenti
  5. Virtus CasaranoSubstitutionOn: Giovanni PintoOff: Flavio Di Dio
  6. Potenza CalcioGoalGabriele SelleriAssist: Emanuele Schimmenti
  7. Potenza CalcioYellow cardMattia Novella
  8. Virtus CasaranoSubstitutionOn: Emanuele ZanaboniOff: Leonardo Perez
  9. Virtus CasaranoSubstitutionOn: Vincenzo MillicoOff: Ismael Cajazzo
  10. Potenza CalcioSubstitutionOn: Francesco MaistoOff: Gabriele Selleri
  11. Virtus CasaranoYellow cardBright Gyamfi
  12. Virtus CasaranoYellow cardEmanuele Zanaboni
  13. Virtus CasaranoGoalCosimo Chiricò

FAQ

What was the result of Potenza Calcio vs Virtus Casarano?

The Serie C Group C match finished Potenza Calcio 3:1 Virtus Casarano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Potenza Calcio vs Virtus Casarano?

Potenza Calcio score 1.33 goals per game on average and Virtus Casarano 1.73. The Serie C Group C average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Potenza Calcio's matches and 53% of Virtus Casarano's.

What form are Potenza Calcio and Virtus Casarano in?

Over the last 5 games Potenza Calcio have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Virtus Casarano 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Potenza Calcio vs Virtus Casarano?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Potenza Calcio vs Virtus Casarano: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.