Preston North End vs Derby County: match statistics
Preston North End is demonstrating solid home form with 46% wins and only 15% losses at their own stadium, sitting high in 4th place in the table. The hosts possess a positive home goal difference of +7 and capitalize on chances effectively with a 13% shot conversion rate. Derby County is earning only 0.8 points per game in their last five matches, losing 3 of those 5, which indicates a clear crisis in form. On the road, the visitors concede an average of 1.25 goals, and their xG Against (1.65) significantly exceeds their xG For (0.95), pointing to defensive issues and a lower quality of created chances. Given the hosts' advantage in form, home statistics, and Derby's poor recent disposition, Preston North End has clear chances of securing a victory.
Preston North End vs Derby County: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Preston North End played against Derby County in Championship (England). The game was played on January 17, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Preston North End has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Derby County has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Preston North End scores 1.38 goals per game and allows 0.96. Derby County scores 1.35 and allows 1.35. Games in this league average 2.62 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of Preston North End's games and 73% of Derby County's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 50%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Preston North End has the higher season xG average, 1.30 to 1.13 per game. Preston North End takes 11.2 shots per game, while Derby County takes 9.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Preston North End leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.77 goals per game after halftime. Derby County leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.73 after halftime.
When the teams score
Preston North End's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Derby County, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.62 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Preston North End is demonstrating solid home form with 46% wins and only 15% losses at their own stadium, sitting high in 4th place in the table. The hosts possess a positive home goal difference of +7 and capitalize on chances effectively with a 13% shot conversion rate. Derby County is earning only 0.8 points per game in their last five matches, losing 3 of those 5, which indicates a clear crisis in form. On the road, the visitors concede an average of 1.25 goals, and their xG Against (1.65) significantly exceeds their xG For (0.95), pointing to defensive issues and a lower quality of created chances. Given the hosts' advantage in form, home statistics, and Derby's poor recent disposition, Preston North End has clear chances of securing a victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Preston North End | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Preston North End is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Preston North End · 1 pts / game - Derby County
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Preston North End is 41% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.96 goals / game - Preston North End · 1.35 goals / game - Derby County
Preston North End scores in 85% of games (22 of 26 meczów), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 meczów).
Derby County scores in 92% of games (24 of 26 meczów), while Preston North End keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Preston North End
Over / Under - Derby County
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Preston North End - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Preston North End
Derby County
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Preston North End | Liga | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.35 | 2.62 | • 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 58% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 24% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 73% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 78% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Preston North End's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Derby County. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Preston North End vs Derby County?
The Championship match finished Preston North End 0:1 Derby County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Preston North End vs Derby County?
Preston North End score 1.38 goals per game on average and Derby County 1.35. The Championship average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Preston North End's matches and 73% of Derby County's.
What form are Preston North End and Derby County in?
Over the last 5 games Preston North End have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Derby County 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Preston North End vs Derby County?
The statistical background for Preston North End vs Derby County — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.