Preston North End vs Millwall: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to even chances for both teams, favoring a draw. Preston North End displays solid home form with a 41% win rate and a positive goal difference (+4), though their recent form has been weaker (1.2 pts/game). Millwall sits high in 3rd place with better overall form (2.0 pts/game in the last 5 matches) and an impressive away win rate of 44%. Both teams are characterized by similar xG figures (around 1.3) and average goals per match (approx. 2.35-2.38), suggesting a balanced level of offense and defense. Preston's high draw percentage at home (35%) and the close possession statistics (45-46%) further support a point-splitting scenario. Considering all factors, a draw appears the most likely outcome of this encounter.
Preston North End vs Millwall: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Preston North End played against Millwall in Championship (England). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Preston North End has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Millwall has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Preston North End scores 1.21 goals per game and allows 1.12. Millwall scores 1.32 and allows 1.18. Games in this league average 2.60 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Preston North End's games and 47% of Millwall's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 50%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Millwall has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.25 per game. Preston North End takes 10.8 shots per game, while Millwall takes 12.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Preston North End leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.65 goals per game after halftime. Millwall leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.79 after halftime.
When the teams score
Preston North End's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Millwall, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.60 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to even chances for both teams, favoring a draw. Preston North End displays solid home form with a 41% win rate and a positive goal difference (+4), though their recent form has been weaker (1.2 pts/game). Millwall sits high in 3rd place with better overall form (2.0 pts/game in the last 5 matches) and an impressive away win rate of 44%. Both teams are characterized by similar xG figures (around 1.3) and average goals per match (approx. 2.35-2.38), suggesting a balanced level of offense and defense. Preston's high draw percentage at home (35%) and the close possession statistics (45-46%) further support a point-splitting scenario. Considering all factors, a draw appears the most likely outcome of this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Preston North End | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Millwall is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Preston North End · 2 pts / game - Millwall
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Millwall is 9% better for: goals scored per game.
1.21 goals / game - Preston North End · 1.32 goals / game - Millwall
Preston North End is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.12 goals / game - Preston North End · 1.18 goals / game - Millwall
Preston North End scores in 76% of games (26 of 34 meczów), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 meczów).
Millwall scores in 79% of games (27 of 34 meczów), while Preston North End keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Preston North End
Over / Under - Millwall
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Preston North End - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 35%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Millwall - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Preston North End
Millwall
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Preston North End | Liga | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.32 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 56% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 51% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 25% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 71% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Preston North End's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Millwall. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Preston North End vs Millwall?
The Championship match finished Preston North End 0:2 Millwall. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Preston North End vs Millwall?
Preston North End score 1.21 goals per game on average and Millwall 1.32. The Championship average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Preston North End's matches and 47% of Millwall's.
What form are Preston North End and Millwall in?
Over the last 5 games Preston North End have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Millwall 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Preston North End vs Millwall?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Preston North End vs Millwall: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.