Italy - Serie C Group AData current as of September 07, 2026

Pro Patria vs Arzignano Valchiampo: match statistics

Pro Patria vs Arzignano Valchiampo: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Pro Patria played against Arzignano Valchiampo in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on April 19, 2026. Final score: 2:3.

Recent form

Pro Patria has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Arzignano Valchiampo has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Pro Patria scores 0.86 goals per game and allows 1.81. Arzignano Valchiampo scores 1.22 and allows 1.28. Games in this league average 2.32 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Pro Patria's games and 56% of Arzignano Valchiampo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 53%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 42% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Arzignano Valchiampo has the higher season xG average, 1.34 to 1.22 per game. Pro Patria takes 9.4 shots per game, while Arzignano Valchiampo takes 10.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Pro Patria leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.61 goals per game after halftime. Arzignano Valchiampo leads at halftime in 44% and scores 0.58 after halftime.

When the teams score

Pro Patria's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). For Arzignano Valchiampo, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group A games average 2.32 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 42% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Arzignano Valchiampo are the favorites — they sit 11th vs Pro Patria in 20th and have a markedly better run: 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 (2.6 points per game) vs Pro Patria’s 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses at home (0.8 pts/game). Although Pro Patria scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches vs Arzignano’s 5, the hosts conceded 10 goals in that period (2.0 per game), while Arzignano conceded only 1. At home Pro Patria have 31 goals this season, averaging 0.83 goals per game, and concede 1.94 per game with a goal difference of -20, whereas Arzignano average 1.22 goals away and concede 1.28 per game. The visitors are also more efficient with shots: 3.83 shots on target per game and 12% conversion vs 3.11 and 8% for the hosts, and xG shows a slight edge for the visitors (1.32 vs 1.28). Given the clear gap in form, the lower share of matches without scoring for the visitors (22% vs 44%) and Pro Patria’s weak defense, I predict an Arzignano win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Pro Patria has a seasonal BTTS rate of 61% and has conceded 65 goals this season (1.28 per match); in the last 5 home games they conceded 10 goals (2.0 per match) and show 80% BTTS in that sample, indicating defensive vulnerability. Arzignano has a seasonal BTTS of 50% and only 20% BTTS in the last 5 matches, with a record of 5 goals scored and 1 conceded (0.2 per match), i.e. 4 clean sheets in 5 games, demonstrating strong defensive form. Both teams have similar attacking outputs: offensive xG 1.37 (Pro Patria) vs 1.32 (Arzignano) and on average 4.06 and 3.83 shots on target, so scoring opportunities from both sides are realistic. Considering Pro Patria’s high 61% season BTTS and 80% in the last 5, combined with similar xG for both teams, I favor the "both teams to score" scenario and tip BTTS - Yes (60%) vs No (40%).

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Both teams average 1.22 goals per match, with xG of 1.37 (Pro Patria) and 1.32 (Arzignano). Using the hosts' attacking average (1.37 xG) against the visitors' defensive xG conceded (1.57) I estimate 1.47 expected goals for Pro Patria, and similarly 1.36 for Arzignano (1.32 vs 1.39), totaling 2.83 goals. At this xG level the probability of Over 1.5 goals is roughly 77%, Over 2.5 around 54% and Over 3.5 about 32%, which aligns with seasonal indicators (Over1.5: 67% home and 61% away; Over2.5: 50%/56%). Additionally Pro Patria have conceded 65 goals this season, and BTTS stands at 61%/50%, further supporting a scenario with at least two goals. Based on this, the strongest play is Over 1.5.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

I forecast a Half-Time draw and an away win (X/2). Arzignano is in markedly better form: over the last five matches they have an 80% win rate versus Pro Patria’s 20%, and in first halves during this period they average 1.6 points compared to 0.4 for the home side. The visitors are stronger after the break — they average 1.17 points in second halves versus 0.78 for the hosts and score 0.67 goals after halftime compared to the hosts’ 0.5, while Pro Patria concedes 0.94 goals on average after the break. The first half should be balanced (average goals to halftime 1.06 for the home team vs 1.11 for the visitors, with comparable xG: 1.37 vs 1.32), which increases the likelihood of an HT draw. Additionally, season-long metrics confirm the visitors’ edge (wins 44% vs 28% for the home side), hence X/2 is the strongest signal.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
2 : 2
Second half

Game stats

65Possession (%)35
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
13Shots12
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
5Shots on target7
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
1.81xG1.52
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
6Corners3
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
90Dangerous attacks38
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
11Fouls8
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
2Cards1
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
0.86Goals scored / game1.22
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
1.81Goals allowed / game1.28
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
47%Average possession43%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
2.81Shots on target / game3.94
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.42Shots per game10.72
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
2.81Shots on target3.94
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
9.1%Shot conversion11.4%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
47%Possession43%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
1.22xG for1.34
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
1.69xG against1.48
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo

Shooting quality

Pro Patria: BalancedArzignano Valchiampo: Balanced
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
Accuracy (shots on target)30%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Arzignano Valchiampo is 225% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Pro Patria · 2.6 pts / game - Arzignano Valchiampo

Pro Patria
LLLDW
Season result split
11% W31% R58% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-11-21
0.64 pts / game · goal difference -34
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-7-9
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
WDDLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Arzignano Valchiampo
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
36% W22% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-8-15
1.31 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
8-1-9
Last 5 away
4-0-1
LWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Arzignano Valchiampo is 42% better for: goals scored per game.

0.86 goals / game - Pro Patria · 1.22 goals / game - Arzignano Valchiampo

Arzignano Valchiampo is 41% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.81 goals / game - Pro Patria · 1.28 goals / game - Arzignano Valchiampo

Pro Patria scoring profile: strong

Pro Patria scores in 56% of games (20 of 36 meczów), while Arzignano Valchiampo keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 meczów).

Arzignano Valchiampo scoring profile: very strong

Arzignano Valchiampo scores in 75% of games (27 of 36 meczów), while Pro Patria keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 meczów).

31Goals scored (season)44
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
65Goals conceded (season)46
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
2.67Average goals per game2.5
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
7Goals scored (last 5)5
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
10Goals conceded (last 5)1
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo

How often they score at least...

56%1 goal75%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
22%2 goals28%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
6%3 goals11%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
3%4 goals6%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal72%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
64%2 goals42%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
25%3 goals8%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
8%4 goals3%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

56%
Arzignano Valchiampo - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.20 of 36 meczów
50%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time11%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
6%BTTS in both halves6%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
17%Scored in both halves17%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
80%BTTS - last 520%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time72%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time17%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Arzignano Valchiampo is 110% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.78 pts / game - Pro Patria · 1.64 pts / game - Arzignano Valchiampo

Pro Patria - half-time state
11% leading44% draw44% trailing
Arzignano Valchiampo - half-time state
44% leading31% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.78Points per game (1st half)1.64
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
0.25Goals scored (1st half)0.64
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
0.83Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
1.08Average goals (1st half)1.08
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
47%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
78%No goal before half-time50%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo

After half-time (2nd half)

0.94Points per game (2nd half)0.97
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
0.61Goals scored (2nd half)0.58
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
0.97Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
1.58Average goals (2nd half)1.42
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
33%Clean sheet after half-time42%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo
50%No goal after half-time58%
Pro PatriaArzignano Valchiampo

Pro Patria - second-half results

17% W44% R39% P
28
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-21
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 11%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Arzignano Valchiampo - second-half results

19% W39% R42% P
59
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.64
PPG before half-time
Lead holding82%

Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 36%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Pro Patria - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.40
Goals scored / game0.21.2
Goals allowed / game1.20.8
Average goals per game1.42.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-5+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Arzignano Valchiampo - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.80
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.20.0
Average goals per game0.60.6
1 goal60%40%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Pro Patria
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
1
16
16-30
4
9
31-45
9
10
46-60
6
10
61-75
7
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

Arzignano Valchiampo
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
7
5
16-30
9
7
31-45
5
10
46-60
6
12
61-75
10
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.58
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Pro Patria

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
166%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Arzignano Valchiampo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+1.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

Pro PatriaLigaArzignano Valchiampo
Average goals per game 2.672.32 2.50
Both teams scored 50%50% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 56%42% 53%
Clean sheets 17%30% 28%
Goal before half-time 64%66% 72%
Goal after half-time 78%72% 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.32
Average goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.23
Home goals / game
1.09
Away goals / game
+13%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defensive advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Arzignano ValchiampoGoalNicola NanniAssist: Fabio Cariolato
  2. Pro PatriaYellow cardFerdinando Mastroianni
  3. Pro PatriaYellow cardJacopo Desogus
  4. Pro PatriaGoalBertony Renelus
  5. Arzignano ValchiampoGoalNicola Nanni
  6. Arzignano ValchiampoSubstitutionOn: Mirco MorettiOff: Andrea Mattioli
  7. Arzignano ValchiampoYellow cardEdoardo Bernardi
  8. Pro PatriaSubstitutionOn: Luca GiudiciOff: Mattia Motolese
  9. Arzignano ValchiampoGoalEddy Lanzi
  10. Pro PatriaGoalAlessandro Orfei

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Silvia GasperottiMatches officiated: 8
4Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 238%Home wins13%Draws50%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Pro Patria's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Arzignano Valchiampo. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Pro Patria vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

The Serie C Group A match finished Pro Patria 2:3 Arzignano Valchiampo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Pro Patria vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Pro Patria score 0.86 goals per game on average and Arzignano Valchiampo 1.22. The Serie C Group A average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Pro Patria's matches and 56% of Arzignano Valchiampo's.

What form are Pro Patria and Arzignano Valchiampo in?

Over the last 5 games Pro Patria have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Arzignano Valchiampo 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pro Patria vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.