Italy - Serie C Group AStadio Silvio PiolaData current as of October 15, 2026

Pro Vercelli vs Athletic Carpi: match statistics

Pro Vercelli crest
Pro Vercelli
2 : 0half-time 1:0
Athletic Carpi crest
Athletic Carpi

Pro Vercelli vs Athletic Carpi: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Pro Vercelli played against Athletic Carpi in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on October 3, 2026. Venue: Stadio Silvio Piola. Final score: 2:0.

Recent form

Pro Vercelli has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Athletic Carpi has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Pro Vercelli scores 0.86 goals per game and allows 1.57. Athletic Carpi scores 1.43 and allows 2.14. Games in this league average 2.25 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 57% of Pro Vercelli's games and 71% of Athletic Carpi's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 86%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Pro Vercelli has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.39 per game. Pro Vercelli takes 12.3 shots per game, while Athletic Carpi takes 9.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Pro Vercelli leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Athletic Carpi leads at halftime in 57% and scores 0.29 after halftime.

When the teams score

Pro Vercelli's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). For Athletic Carpi, it is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group A games average 2.25 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Pro Vercelli have a slight home advantage: across three home matches, they have recorded one win and two draws, while Athletic Carpi have managed one win, one draw and one defeat away from home. Both teams average 1.33 goals scored in these conditions, but the hosts concede 1.00 goal per match compared with 1.67 for the visitors. Pro Vercelli also threaten the opposition goal more often at home, averaging 5.33 shots on target compared with Athletic Carpi’s 4.33 away, while their xG stands at 1.65 against their opponents’ 1.46. However, the edge is not substantial: both sides have won just one of their last five matches and conceded 9 goals apiece over that period. A home win therefore looks the most likely outcome, although a draw remains a realistic possibility.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

BTTS has landed in 75% of Pro Vercelli matches and 67% of Athletic Carpi matches, compared with a league average of 49%, pointing towards goals for both teams. The hosts concede an average of 2.5 goals and have yet to keep a clean sheet, while the visitors score an average of 1.33 goals and have found the net in every match so far. Pro Vercelli, in turn, average 1.5 goals with an xG of 1.42, while Athletic Carpi concede an average of 1.67 goals and have an xG conceded of 1.65. Over their last five matches, both teams conceded an average of 1.8 goals, and both sides scored in 60% of those games. The risk to the BTTS - Yes pick is that the hosts have failed to score in 25% of their matches; however, the overall attacking and defensive profiles of both teams point more clearly to goals at both ends.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Pro Vercelli matches have averaged 4.0 goals, while Athletic Carpi fixtures have averaged 3.0, compared with a league average of just 2.21. The hosts concede an average of 2.5 goals per game and the visitors 1.67, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring. The xG data supports this outlook: Pro Vercelli create chances worth an average of 1.42 goals, while Athletic Carpi generate 1.46. Over their last five matches, both teams have conceded 1.8 goals per game and gone Over 2.5 goals in 60% and 80% of their fixtures, respectively. However, Over 1.5 goals remains the strongest pick: this line has been cleared in every home match and in 67% of the visitors’ matches, while higher lines carry significantly more risk.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Pro Vercelli led at the break in 3 of their 4 home matches, while Athletic Carpi were ahead after 45 minutes in just 1 of their 3 away games, making a home lead at half-time a plausible scenario. However, whether they can hold on until the final whistle is questionable: Pro Vercelli won none of those 4 matches, with 2 ending in draws. After the break, the hosts average just 0.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, which favors a turnaround by their opponents. Athletic Carpi concede an average of 0.67 goals in the second halves of away games, so I rate a draw after Pro Vercelli have led slightly more highly than either team winning in this HT/FT scenario. The edge for this outcome is small, particularly as the data covers only 4 of the hosts’ home matches and 3 of the visitors’ away games.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

44Possession (%)56
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
22Shots18
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
10Shots on target3
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
2.41xG1.91
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
3Corners4
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
45Dangerous attacks79
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
16Fouls9
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
4Cards1
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
0.86Goals scored / game1.43
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
1.57Goals allowed / game2.14
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
48%Average possession48%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
4.86Shots on target / game4.29
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.29Shots per game9.57
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
4.86Shots on target4.29
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
7%Shot conversion14.9%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
48%Possession48%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
1.51xG for1.39
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
2.05xG against1.81
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi

Shooting quality

Pro Vercelli: BalancedAthletic Carpi: Efficient finishing
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
Accuracy (shots on target)40%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.180.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Pro Vercelli
WLDLD
Season result split
14% W43% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-3
0.86 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Last 5 at home
1-2-0
DWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 2.08BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Athletic Carpi
WLDDL
Season result split
14% W43% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-3
0.86 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
LWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.78BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Athletic Carpi is 66% better for: goals scored per game.

0.86 goals / game - Pro Vercelli · 1.43 goals / game - Athletic Carpi

Pro Vercelli is 36% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.57 goals / game - Pro Vercelli · 2.14 goals / game - Athletic Carpi

Pro Vercelli scoring profile: very strong

Pro Vercelli scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 games), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).

Athletic Carpi scoring profile: very strong

Athletic Carpi scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 games), while Pro Vercelli keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).

6Goals scored (season)10
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
11Goals conceded (season)15
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
2.43Average goals per game3.57
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
5Goals scored (last 5)6
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
9Goals conceded (last 5)9
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal86%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
14%2 goals43%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
0%3 goals14%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
0%4 goals0%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal86%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
43%2 goals86%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
14%3 goals43%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
14%4 goals0%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time57%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
0%BTTS in both halves29%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
14%Scored in both halves29%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS71%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
60%BTTS - last 560%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
14%Min. 2 goals before half-time71%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time43%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
71%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Athletic Carpi is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.29 pts / game - Pro Vercelli · 1.86 pts / game - Athletic Carpi

Pro Vercelli - half-time state
29% leading43% draw29% trailing
Athletic Carpi - half-time state
57% leading14% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.29Points per game (1st half)1.86
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
0.29Goals scored (1st half)1.14
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
0.43Goals conceded (1st half)1
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
0.71Average goals (1st half)2.14
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
71%Clean sheet before half-time29%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
71%No goal before half-time14%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi

After half-time (2nd half)

0.57Points per game (2nd half)0.29
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
0.57Goals scored (2nd half)0.29
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
1.14Goals conceded (2nd half)1.14
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
1.71Average goals (2nd half)1.43
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
14%Clean sheet after half-time14%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi
43%No goal after half-time71%
Pro VercelliAthletic Carpi

Pro Vercelli - second-half results

0% W57% D43% L
9
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding48%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.7

Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Athletic Carpi - second-half results

0% W29% D71% L
13
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding25%

Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Pro Vercelli - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.60
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.61.2
Average goals per game1.01.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Athletic Carpi - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.000.40
Goals scored / game1.00.2
Goals allowed / game0.81.0
Average goals per game1.81.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+1-4
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Pro Vercelli
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
3
2
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Athletic Carpi
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
6
0
16-30
2
4
31-45
1
3
46-60
0
2
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
133%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Pro Vercelli

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.54
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.65
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
143%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Athletic Carpi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
186%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.8
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

Pro VercelliLigaAthletic Carpi
Average goals per game▲ 2.432.25▲ 3.57
Both teams scored▲ 57%50%▲ 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 43%47%▲ 86%
Clean sheets▼ 14%34%▼ 14%
Goal before half-time• 57%56%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▲ 86%68%▲ 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.25
Average goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.15
Home goals / game
1.10
Away goals / game
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defensive advantage
+-2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Pro VercelliYellow cardNiccolò Ronchi
  2. Pro VercelliGoalMarco Bertoli
  3. Athletic CarpiYellow cardMatteo Figoli
  4. Athletic CarpiSubstitutionOn: Tommaso CecottiOff: Giovanni Vaglica
  5. Pro VercelliYellow cardAngelo Burruano
  6. Pro VercelliGoalLuca Coccolo
  7. Pro VercelliYellow cardMarco Pagliari
  8. Pro VercelliYellow cardAlessandro Carosso
  9. Athletic CarpiSubstitutionOn: Abdoulaye SallOff: Vincenzo Vitale

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Pro Vercelli vs Athletic Carpi?

The Serie C Group A match finished Pro Vercelli 2:0 Athletic Carpi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Pro Vercelli vs Athletic Carpi?

Pro Vercelli score 0.86 goals per game on average and Athletic Carpi 1.43. The Serie C Group A average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Pro Vercelli's matches and 71% of Athletic Carpi's.

What form are Pro Vercelli and Athletic Carpi in?

Over the last 5 games Pro Vercelli have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Athletic Carpi 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pro Vercelli vs Athletic Carpi?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pro Vercelli vs Athletic Carpi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.