Pro Vercelli vs Novara: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced match with a slight edge for a draw. Pro Vercelli shows solid home form with a 50% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+3), however their recent form is concerning (only 1 point per game in the last 5 matches). Novara is characterized by an exceptional tendency to draw away from home – as many as 82% of matches end in a share of points, which is a key indicator. The visitors have a balanced goal difference away (0) and decent recent form (1.2 points per game). Pro Vercelli has an advantage in ball possession (55% vs 44%) and xG (1.55 vs 1.23), but low efficiency (9%) and poor recent form (2 draws, 2 losses, 1 win) suggest difficulties in securing three points. Considering the defensive stability of both teams and Novara's clear tendency to draw, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
Pro Vercelli vs Novara: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Pro Vercelli played against Novara in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on February 1, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Pro Vercelli has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Novara has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Pro Vercelli scores 1.04 goals per game and allows 1.43. Novara scores 0.96 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.27 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 39% of Pro Vercelli's games and 57% of Novara's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 26%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 40% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Pro Vercelli has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.39 per game. Pro Vercelli takes 11.7 shots per game, while Novara takes 11.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Pro Vercelli leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Novara leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.39 after halftime.
When the teams score
Pro Vercelli's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Novara, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group A games average 2.27 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 40% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced match with a slight edge for a draw. Pro Vercelli shows solid home form with a 50% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+3), however their recent form is concerning (only 1 point per game in the last 5 matches). Novara is characterized by an exceptional tendency to draw away from home – as many as 82% of matches end in a share of points, which is a key indicator. The visitors have a balanced goal difference away (0) and decent recent form (1.2 points per game). Pro Vercelli has an advantage in ball possession (55% vs 44%) and xG (1.55 vs 1.23), but low efficiency (9%) and poor recent form (2 draws, 2 losses, 1 win) suggest difficulties in securing three points. Considering the defensive stability of both teams and Novara's clear tendency to draw, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Pro Vercelli | Novara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Novara is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Pro Vercelli · 1.2 pts / game - Novara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pro Vercelli is 8% better for: goals scored per game.
1.04 goals / game - Pro Vercelli · 0.96 goals / game - Novara
Novara is 43% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.43 goals / game - Pro Vercelli · 1 goals / game - Novara
Pro Vercelli scores in 61% of games (14 of 23 meczów), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 meczów).
Novara scores in 70% of games (16 of 23 meczów), while Pro Vercelli keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pro Vercelli
Over / Under - Novara
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Novara is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / game - Pro Vercelli · 1.35 pts / game - Novara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pro Vercelli - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Novara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 17%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Pro Vercelli
Novara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Pro Vercelli | Liga | Novara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.48 | 2.27 | ▼ 1.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 50% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 43% | 40% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | • 30% | 30% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 66% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Pro Vercelli's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Novara. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Pro Vercelli vs Novara?
The Serie C Group A match finished Pro Vercelli 1:0 Novara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pro Vercelli vs Novara?
Pro Vercelli score 1.04 goals per game on average and Novara 0.96. The Serie C Group A average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Pro Vercelli's matches and 57% of Novara's.
What form are Pro Vercelli and Novara in?
Over the last 5 games Pro Vercelli have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Novara 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pro Vercelli vs Novara?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.