Uruguay - Primera DivisiónParque Abraham PaladinoData current as of 22 July 2026

Progreso vs Albion: match statistics

Progreso crest
Progreso
1 : 2half-time 0:2
Albion crest
Albion

Progreso vs Albion: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Progreso play Albion in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 7 June 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Parque Abraham Paladino. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Progreso: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Albion: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Progreso scores 0.81 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Albion scores 1.43 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.41 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Progreso 43%, Albion 57%. Over 2.5: Progreso 43%, Albion 52%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Albion has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.16. Progreso: 8.5 shots per match, Albion: 9.4.

Match halves

Progreso: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.43. Albion: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Progreso: 76-90+ (6 goals). Albion: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

I predict an away win (Albion). Progreso have scored only 15 goals this season, while Albion have 27; Progreso average 0.89 goals per home match versus Albion’s 1.00 goals per away match. Defensively Albion clearly have the edge: Progreso concede 1.78 goals per home game and have 0% clean sheets, whereas Albion concede just 0.63 goals on the road and keep clean sheets in 50% of away matches. xG is nearly identical (1.17 for Progreso at home vs 1.19 for Albion away), but Albion register more shots on target (3.88 vs 2.78) and are less likely to finish a match without scoring (fail to score in 25% of games vs 56% for Progreso), indicating superior conversion of chances. Additionally, Progreso’s last 5 matches show 1 win and 4 losses with an average of 0.6 points per game, while Albion have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses with 1.4 points per game, supporting a higher probability of an away victory.

Half-by-half

0 : 2
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

57Possession (%)43
ProgresoAlbion
10Shots8
ProgresoAlbion
4Shots on target5
ProgresoAlbion
1.49xG1.21
ProgresoAlbion
7Corners4
ProgresoAlbion
80Dangerous attacks48
ProgresoAlbion
-1Fouls-1
ProgresoAlbion
2Cards4
ProgresoAlbion

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.81Goals scored / match1.43
ProgresoAlbion
1.52Goals conceded / match1.05
ProgresoAlbion
47%Average possession52%
ProgresoAlbion
3.24Shots on target / match4.14
ProgresoAlbion

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.48Shots per match9.43
ProgresoAlbion
3.24Shots on target4.14
ProgresoAlbion
9.6%Shot conversion15.2%
ProgresoAlbion
47%Possession52%
ProgresoAlbion
1.16xG for1.22
ProgresoAlbion
1.46xG against1.42
ProgresoAlbion

Shooting quality

Progreso: BalancedAlbion: Efficient finishing
ProgresoAlbion
Accuracy (shots on target)38%44%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Progreso is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Progreso · 0.8 pts / match - Albion

Progreso
LWLLW
Season result split
19% W19% R62% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-13
0.76 pts / match · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-7
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Albion
LLWDL
Season result split
43% W29% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-6-6
1.57 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-4-1
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.89Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Albion is 77% better for: goals scored per match.

0.81 goals / match - Progreso · 1.43 goals / match - Albion

Albion is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.52 goals / match - Progreso · 1.05 goals / match - Albion

Progreso scoring profile: mixed

Progreso scores in 52% of matches (11 of 21 matches), while Albion keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).

Albion scoring profile: very strong

Albion scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 matches).

17Goals scored (season)30
ProgresoAlbion
32Goals conceded (season)22
ProgresoAlbion
2.33Average goals in match2.48
ProgresoAlbion
5Goals scored (last 5)4
ProgresoAlbion
7Goals conceded (last 5)6
ProgresoAlbion

How often they score at least...

52%1 goal76%
ProgresoAlbion
24%2 goals38%
ProgresoAlbion
5%3 goals14%
ProgresoAlbion
0%4 goals5%
ProgresoAlbion

How often they concede at least...

90%1 goal71%
ProgresoAlbion
52%2 goals29%
ProgresoAlbion
10%3 goals5%
ProgresoAlbion
0%4 goals0%
ProgresoAlbion

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time29%
ProgresoAlbion
10%BTTS in both halves5%
ProgresoAlbion
19%Scored in both halves14%
ProgresoAlbion

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS48%
ProgresoAlbion
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
ProgresoAlbion
60%BTTS - last 560%
ProgresoAlbion

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
ProgresoAlbion
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
ProgresoAlbion
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
ProgresoAlbion

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time62%
ProgresoAlbion
24%Min. 2 goals after half-time24%
ProgresoAlbion
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
ProgresoAlbion

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Albion is 82% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.76 pts / match - Progreso · 1.38 pts / match - Albion

Progreso - half-time state
14% leading33% draw52% trailing
Albion - half-time state
33% leading38% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.76Points per match (1st half)1.38
ProgresoAlbion
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.76
ProgresoAlbion
0.95Goals conceded (1st half)0.62
ProgresoAlbion
1.33Average goals (1st half)1.38
ProgresoAlbion
33%Clean sheet before half-time48%
ProgresoAlbion
67%No goal before half-time43%
ProgresoAlbion

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.29
ProgresoAlbion
0.43Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
ProgresoAlbion
0.57Goals conceded (2nd half)0.43
ProgresoAlbion
1Average goals (2nd half)1.1
ProgresoAlbion
48%Clean sheet after half-time62%
ProgresoAlbion
62%No goal after half-time67%
ProgresoAlbion

Progreso - second-half results

19% W43% R38% P
16
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding136%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Albion - second-half results

29% W43% R29% P
29
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding130%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Progreso - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Albion - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Progreso
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
1
8
16-30
3
7
31-45
2
4
46-60
1
5
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Albion
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
4
5
16-30
7
5
31-45
3
2
46-60
4
3
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.41
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+66%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Progreso

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
61%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
141%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

Albion

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.58
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.77
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

ProgresoLigaAlbion
Average goals in match 2.332.41 2.48
Both teams scored 43%52% 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 43%46% 52%
Clean sheets 10%27% 29%
Goal before half-time 81%69% 81%
Goal after half-time 71%73% 62%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.41
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.08
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Progreso 0 - 1 - 0 Albion. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Progreso vs Albion?

The Primera División match finished Progreso 1:2 Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Progreso vs Albion?

Progreso score 0.81 goals per game on average and Albion 1.43. The Primera División average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Progreso's matches and 57% of Albion's.

What form are Progreso and Albion in?

Over the last 5 games Progreso have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Albion 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Progreso vs Albion?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.