Progreso vs Boston River: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a closely contested match between two teams in poor form. Progreso have not won any home matches this season (0% win rate), conceding an average of 2 goals per game and with a goal difference of -4. Boston River have also failed to secure a single away victory (0% win rate), scoring only 0.5 goals per match. Both teams share identical PPG over their last 5 matches (1.0) and have a similar conversion rate (8%). Progreso hold a slight advantage due to home turf and a marginally better xG (1.02 vs 0.79), yet neither side has kept a clean sheet in their recent fixtures. Considering the poor form of both sides and their tendency to draw, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
Progreso vs Boston River: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Progreso play Boston River in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 22 March 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Progreso: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Boston River: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Progreso scores 0.80 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Boston River scores 0.95 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Progreso 45%, Boston River 45%. Over 2.5: Progreso 45%, Boston River 40%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Boston River has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.18. Progreso: 8.6 shots per match, Boston River: 10.3.
Match halves
Progreso: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.45. Boston River: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Progreso: 76-90+ (6 goals). Boston River: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to a closely contested match between two teams in poor form. Progreso have not won any home matches this season (0% win rate), conceding an average of 2 goals per game and with a goal difference of -4. Boston River have also failed to secure a single away victory (0% win rate), scoring only 0.5 goals per match. Both teams share identical PPG over their last 5 matches (1.0) and have a similar conversion rate (8%). Progreso hold a slight advantage due to home turf and a marginally better xG (1.02 vs 0.79), yet neither side has kept a clean sheet in their recent fixtures. Considering the poor form of both sides and their tendency to draw, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Progreso | Boston River | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Boston River is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Progreso · 1 pts / match - Boston River
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Boston River is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - Progreso · 0.95 goals / match - Boston River
Boston River is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Progreso · 1.3 goals / match - Boston River
Progreso scores in 50% of matches (10 of 20 matches), while Boston River keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
Boston River scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Progreso
Over / Under — Boston River
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Boston River is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.65 pts / match - Progreso · 1.05 pts / match - Boston River
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Progreso - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Boston River - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Progreso
Boston River
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Progreso | Liga | Boston River | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.40 | 2.42 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 53% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 45% | 46% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 27% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 69% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Progreso 1 - 1 - 1 Boston River. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Progreso vs Boston River?
The Primera División match finished Progreso 0:1 Boston River. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Progreso and Boston River?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Progreso won 1, Boston River won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Progreso vs Boston River?
Progreso score 0.80 goals per game on average and Boston River 0.95. The Primera División average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Progreso's matches and 45% of Boston River's.
What form are Progreso and Boston River in?
Over the last 5 games Progreso have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Boston River 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Progreso vs Boston River?
The statistical background for Progreso vs Boston River — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.