Uruguay - Primera DivisiónParque Abraham PaladinoData current as of October 28, 2026

Progreso vs Defensor Sporting: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Progreso vs Defensor Sporting: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Progreso plays Defensor Sporting in Primera División (Uruguay). The game is scheduled for November 1, 2026. Venue: Parque Abraham Paladino.

Recent form

Progreso has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Defensor Sporting has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Progreso scores 0.91 goals per game and allows 1.38. Defensor Sporting scores 0.97 and allows 1.26. Games in this league average 2.38 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 44% of Progreso's games and 56% of Defensor Sporting's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 35%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Defensor Sporting has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.19 per game. Progreso takes 8.7 shots per game, while Defensor Sporting takes 11.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Progreso leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.56 goals per game after halftime. Defensor Sporting leads at halftime in 18% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Progreso's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Defensor Sporting, it is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Primera División games average 2.38 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.47)
(3.08)
(2.58)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

ProgresoDefensor Sporting
0.91Goals scored / game0.97
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
1.38Goals allowed / game1.26
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
46%Average possession52%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
3.56Shots on target / game3.82
ProgresoDefensor Sporting

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

8.71Shots per game11.12
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
3.56Shots on target3.82
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
10.5%Shot conversion8.7%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
46%Possession52%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
1.19xG for1.42
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
1.51xG against1.55
ProgresoDefensor Sporting

Shooting quality

Progreso: BalancedDefensor Sporting: Balanced
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
Accuracy (shots on target)41%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Progreso is 150% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Progreso · 0.8 pts / game - Defensor Sporting

Progreso
WLDWW
Season result split
29% W15% D56% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-5-19
1.03 pts / game · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-9
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.79BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Defensor Sporting
WLLLD
Season result split
24% W35% D41% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-12-14
1.06 pts / game · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-8-7
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DDLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Defensor Sporting is 7% better for: goals scored per game.

0.91 goals / game - Progreso · 0.97 goals / game - Defensor Sporting

Defensor Sporting is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.38 goals / game - Progreso · 1.26 goals / game - Defensor Sporting

Progreso scoring profile: strong

Progreso scores in 62% of games (21 of 34 games), while Defensor Sporting keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 games).

Defensor Sporting scoring profile: very strong

Defensor Sporting scores in 71% of games (24 of 34 games), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 games).

31Goals scored (season)33
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
47Goals conceded (season)43
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
2.29Average goals per game2.24
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
8Goals scored (last 5)8
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
5Goals conceded (last 5)10
ProgresoDefensor Sporting

How often they score at least...

62%1 goal71%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
26%2 goals24%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
3%3 goals3%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
0%4 goals0%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal76%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
44%2 goals29%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
12%3 goals18%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
0%4 goals3%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time29%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
6%BTTS in both halves3%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
18%Scored in both halves21%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS32%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
60%BTTS - last 560%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time26%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Defensor Sporting is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Progreso · 1.09 pts / game - Defensor Sporting

Progreso - half-time state
21% leading38% draw41% trailing
Defensor Sporting - half-time state
18% leading56% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)1.09
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
0.35Goals scored (1st half)0.47
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.59
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
1.06Average goals (1st half)1.06
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
50%Clean sheet before half-time50%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
68%No goal before half-time56%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting

After half-time (2nd half)

1.06Points per game (2nd half)1.26
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
0.68Goals conceded (2nd half)0.68
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
1.24Average goals (2nd half)1.18
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
41%Clean sheet after half-time56%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
53%No goal after half-time53%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting

Progreso - second-half results

21% W44% D35% L
34
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding138%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Defensor Sporting - second-half results

29% W38% D32% L
37
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Progreso - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.60
Goals scored / game0.41.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.8
Average goals per game0.62.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Defensor Sporting - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.00
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.81.2
Average goals per game1.62.0
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Progreso
ScoredConceded
5
8
0-15
4
8
16-30
3
8
31-45
4
6
46-60
2
7
61-75
13
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Defensor Sporting
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
7
7
16-30
6
7
31-45
4
3
46-60
6
3
61-75
7
17
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.26
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+32%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
44%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Progreso

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
130%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.97
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
42% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
42%

Defensor Sporting

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

ProgresoLigaDefensor Sporting
Average goals per game• 2.292.38▼ 2.24
Both teams scored▼ 44%50%▲ 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 41%44%▼ 35%
Clean sheets▼ 18%29%▼ 24%
Goal before half-time▲ 71%67%▼ 65%
Goal after half-time▲ 79%73%▼ 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.38
Average goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.32
Home goals / game
1.06
Away goals / game
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Progreso's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses against Defensor Sporting. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.

Defensor Sporting
1 : 0
Progreso
Club Atlético Progreso
2 : 3
Defensor Sporting Club
Defensor Sporting Club
1 : 2
Club Atlético Progreso

FAQ

When do Progreso and Defensor Sporting play?

Progreso face Defensor Sporting on November 1, 2026 in Primera División at Parque Abraham Paladino. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Progreso and Defensor Sporting?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Progreso won 1, Defensor Sporting won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Progreso vs Defensor Sporting?

Progreso score 0.91 goals per game on average and Defensor Sporting 0.97. The Primera División average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Progreso's matches and 56% of Defensor Sporting's.

What form are Progreso and Defensor Sporting in?

Over the last 5 games Progreso have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Defensor Sporting 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Progreso vs Defensor Sporting?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Progreso vs Defensor Sporting: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.