Uruguay - Primera DivisiónData current as of 16 July 2026

Progreso vs Liverpool FC Montevideo: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Progreso vs Liverpool FC Montevideo: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Progreso play Liverpool FC Montevideo in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 31 March 2026 at 16:00.

Current form

Progreso: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Liverpool FC Montevideo: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Progreso scores 0.80 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Liverpool FC Montevideo scores 1.15 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.42 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Progreso 45%, Liverpool FC Montevideo 45%. Over 2.5: Progreso 45%, Liverpool FC Montevideo 40%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Liverpool FC Montevideo has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.18. Progreso: 8.6 shots per match, Liverpool FC Montevideo: 11.0.

Match halves

Progreso: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.45. Liverpool FC Montevideo: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.40.

Goals by minute

Progreso: 76-90+ (6 goals). Liverpool FC Montevideo: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.45)
(3.10)
(2.05)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
0.8Goals scored / match1.15
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
1.6Goals conceded / match1.1
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
47%Average possession51%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
3.2Shots on target / match4.1
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.55Shots per match11
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
3.2Shots on target4.1
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
9.4%Shot conversion10.5%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
47%Possession51%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
1.18xG for1.4
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
1.46xG against1.34
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo

Shooting quality

Progreso: BalancedLiverpool FC Montevideo: Balanced
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
Accuracy (shots on target)37%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Liverpool FC Montevideo is 67% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Progreso · 1 pts / match - Liverpool FC Montevideo

Progreso
LLWLL
Season result split
15% W20% R65% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-13
0.65 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-7
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Liverpool FC Montevideo
LDWDL
Season result split
30% W35% R35% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-7-7
1.25 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-3-3
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WDLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Liverpool FC Montevideo is 44% better for: goals scored per match.

0.8 goals / match - Progreso · 1.15 goals / match - Liverpool FC Montevideo

Liverpool FC Montevideo is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.6 goals / match - Progreso · 1.1 goals / match - Liverpool FC Montevideo

Progreso scoring profile: mixed

Progreso scores in 50% of matches (10 of 20 matches), while Liverpool FC Montevideo keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).

Liverpool FC Montevideo scoring profile: very strong

Liverpool FC Montevideo scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 20 matches).

16Goals scored (season)23
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
32Goals conceded (season)22
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
2.4Average goals in match2.25
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
4Goals scored (last 5)3
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
9Goals conceded (last 5)4
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal70%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
25%2 goals30%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
5%3 goals15%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
0%4 goals0%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo

How often they concede at least...

95%1 goal60%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
55%2 goals35%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
10%3 goals15%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
0%4 goals0%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

45%
Liverpool FC Montevideo - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.9 of 20 matches
53%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time30%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
10%BTTS in both halves10%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
20%Scored in both halves15%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
60%BTTS - last 540%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Liverpool FC Montevideo is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.65 pts / match - Progreso · 1.3 pts / match - Liverpool FC Montevideo

Progreso - half-time state
10% leading35% draw55% trailing
Liverpool FC Montevideo - half-time state
25% leading55% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.65Points per match (1st half)1.3
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
0.35Goals scored (1st half)0.75
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
1.35Average goals (1st half)1.35
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
30%Clean sheet before half-time55%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
70%No goal before half-time45%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
0.45Goals scored (2nd half)0.4
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
1.05Average goals (2nd half)0.9
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
45%Clean sheet after half-time55%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo
60%No goal after half-time70%
ProgresoLiverpool FC Montevideo

Progreso - second-half results

20% W40% R40% P
13
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-13
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.65
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Liverpool FC Montevideo - second-half results

15% W55% R30% P
26
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding120%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Progreso - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.40
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match1.40.4
Average goals in match1.61.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet0%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-6+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Liverpool FC Montevideo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.20.2
1 goal60%20%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Progreso
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
1
8
16-30
3
7
31-45
2
4
46-60
1
5
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Liverpool FC Montevideo
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
7
7
31-45
2
3
46-60
4
2
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.33
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
35%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
15%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Progreso

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
147%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

Liverpool FC Montevideo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
9% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
9%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

ProgresoLigaLiverpool FC Montevideo
Average goals in match 2.402.42 2.25
Both teams scored 45%53% 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 45%46% 40%
Clean sheets 5%27% 40%
Goal before half-time 80%69% 70%
Goal after half-time 75%73% 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.42
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Progreso 0 - 0 - 2 Liverpool FC Montevideo. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Liverpool FC Montevideo
3 : 1
Club Atlético Progreso
Club Atlético Progreso
0 : 2
Liverpool FC Montevideo

FAQ

When do Progreso and Liverpool FC Montevideo play?

Progreso face Liverpool FC Montevideo on 31 March 2026 in Primera División. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Progreso and Liverpool FC Montevideo?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Progreso won 0, Liverpool FC Montevideo won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Progreso vs Liverpool FC Montevideo?

Progreso score 0.80 goals per game on average and Liverpool FC Montevideo 1.15. The Primera División average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Progreso's matches and 45% of Liverpool FC Montevideo's.

What form are Progreso and Liverpool FC Montevideo in?

Over the last 5 games Progreso have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Liverpool FC Montevideo 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Progreso vs Liverpool FC Montevideo?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Progreso vs Liverpool FC Montevideo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.