Progreso vs Nacional: match statistics
Nacional decidedly outperforms Progreso in every statistical aspect. The hosts have not won any match this season, have not scored a goal in home matches, and have lost 100% of their home games, conceding an average of 3 goals per match. Nacional, on the other hand, wins 100% of away matches, scoring an average of 2 goals and conceding only 1 goal per game. The form of both teams is drastically different – Progreso averages only 0.2 points per match in the last 5 games, while Nacional averages 1.8 points. Additionally, Nacional surpasses the rival in key offensive parameters: averaging 6 shots on target per away match with an 18% conversion rate, while Progreso has only 2 shots on target and a 0% conversion rate. All indicators point to a certain victory for the visitors.
Progreso vs Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Progreso played against Nacional in Primera División (Uruguay). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Progreso has 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.00 points per game. Nacional has 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Progreso scores 0.00 goals per game and allows 2.50. Nacional scores 1.50 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.60 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 0% of Progreso's games and 100% of Nacional's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nacional has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 0.95 per game. Progreso takes 6.5 shots per game, while Nacional takes 12.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Progreso leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.00 goals per game after halftime. Nacional leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Progreso's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (0 goals). For Nacional, it is minutes 16-30 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.60 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nacional decidedly outperforms Progreso in every statistical aspect. The hosts have not won any match this season, have not scored a goal in home matches, and have lost 100% of their home games, conceding an average of 3 goals per match. Nacional, on the other hand, wins 100% of away matches, scoring an average of 2 goals and conceding only 1 goal per game. The form of both teams is drastically different – Progreso averages only 0.2 points per match in the last 5 games, while Nacional averages 1.8 points. Additionally, Nacional surpasses the rival in key offensive parameters: averaging 6 shots on target per away match with an 18% conversion rate, while Progreso has only 2 shots on target and a 0% conversion rate. All indicators point to a certain victory for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Progreso | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nacional is 150% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.5 goals / game - Progreso · 1 goals / game - Nacional
Progreso scores in 0% of games (0 of 2 meczów), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 meczów).
Nacional scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 meczów), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Progreso
Over / Under - Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Progreso - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Nacional - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Progreso
Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Progreso | Liga | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.50 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 55% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 25% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 65% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- ProgresoYellow cardSebastián Cardozo Coitinho
- ProgresoYellow cardSebastián Cardozo Coitinho
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Progreso's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses against Nacional. Games average 3.67 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Progreso vs Nacional?
The Primera División match finished Progreso 0:1 Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Progreso and Nacional?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Progreso won 0, Nacional won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Progreso vs Nacional?
Progreso score 0.00 goals per game on average and Nacional 1.50. The Primera División average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Progreso's matches and 100% of Nacional's.
What form are Progreso and Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Progreso have a 0-0-2 record (0.00 points per game) and Nacional 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Progreso vs Nacional?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Progreso vs Nacional: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.